Progression to and spontaneous regression of high-grade anal squamous intraepithelial lesions in HIV-infected and uninfected men.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To quantify incidence of, and risk factors for, progression to and spontaneous regression of high-grade anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (ASILs). DESIGN: Retrospective review of patients at St Vincent's Hospital Anal Cancer Screening Clinic during a period when high-grade ASILs were not routinely treated (2004-2011). METHODS: All patients who had an anal Papanicolaou smear or high-resolution anoscopy were included, except for patients with previous anal cancer. High-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) was defined as a composite of histologically confirmed grade 2 or 3 anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN2/3) and/or high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion on anal cytology. Analyses were repeated restricting to histologically confirmed AIN3. RESULTS: There were 574 patients: median age 45 years (interquartile range, IQR 36-51), 99.3% male and 73.0% HIV-infected [median HIV duration was 13.8 years (IQR 6.4-19.8), median CD4+ T-lymphocyte count was 500 cells/μl (IQR 357-662), 83.5% had undetectable plasma HIV viral load]. Median follow-up was 1.1 years (IQR 0.26-2.76). Progression rate to HGAIN was 7.4/100 person-years (95% confidence interval, CI 4.73-11.63). No risk factor for progression to HGAIN was identified; progression to AIN3 was more likely with increasing age (Ptrend = 0.004) and in those who were HIV-infected [hazard ratio 2.8 (95% CI 1.18-6.68) versus HIV-uninfected; P = 0.019], particularly in those whose nadir CD4+ T-lymphocyte count was less than 200 cells/μl (Ptrend = 0.003). In 101 patients with HGAIN, 24 (23.8%) patients had spontaneous regression [rate 23.5/100 person-years (95% CI 15.73-35.02)], mostly to AIN1. Regression was less likely in older patients (Ptrend = 0.048). Two patients with HGAIN developed anal cancer. CONCLUSION: High-grade ASILs frequently spontaneously regress. Longer-term, prospective studies are required to determine whether these regressions are sustained.
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Evidence exists that HSIL might spontaneously regress without treatment.
“In addition, evidence exists that HSIL might spontaneously regress without treatment (1294,1295).”
From Sexually Transmitted Infections Treatment Guidelines, 2021 (2021) · cites this paper as [1295]
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Sexually Transmitted Infections Treatment Guidelines, 2021
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Tong, W. W. Y., Jin, F., McHugh, L. C., Maher, T., Sinclair, B., Grulich, A. E., Hillman, R. J., & Carr, A.
- Affiliations
- The University of Sydney (AU)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Hillman, Richard J.
- Carr, Andrew
- Venue
- AIDS
- Published
- 2013-09-10
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 14
- Pages
- 2233-2243
- ISSN
- 0269-9370 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2013874226
- Cited by
- 112
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 9 · 2014: 9 · 2013: 2
- FWCI
- 7.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- AIDS (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Colorectal and Anal Carcinomas
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
- Keywords
- anal squamous intraepithelial lesions, high-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia, HIV infection, anal cancer screening, disease progression, spontaneous regression, high-resolution anoscopy, CD4 count, risk factors, men, anal cancer prevention
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Anus Neoplasms, Carcinoma in Situ, Cytological Techniques, Histocytochemistry, Humans, Male, Remission, Spontaneous, Retrospective Studies, Cohort Studies, HIV Infections, Incidence, Young Adult, Papanicolaou Test
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