The tropicalization of temperate marine ecosystems: climate-mediated changes in herbivory and community phase shifts
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Climate-driven changes in biotic interactions can profoundly alter ecological communities, particularly when they impact foundation species. In marine systems, changes in herbivory and the consequent loss of dominant habitat forming species can result in dramatic community phase shifts, such as from coral to macroalgal dominance when tropical fish herbivory decreases, and from algal forests to ‘barrens’ when temperate urchin grazing increases. Here, we propose a novel phase-shift away from macroalgal dominance caused by tropical herbivores extending their range into temperate regions. We argue that this phase shift is facilitated by poleward-flowing boundary currents that are creating ocean warming hotspots around the globe, enabling the range expansion of tropical species and increasing their grazing rates in temperate areas. Overgrazing of temperate macroalgae by tropical herbivorous fishes has already occurred in Japan and the Mediterranean. Emerging evidence suggests similar phenomena are occurring in other temperate regions, with increasing occurrence of tropical fishes on temperate reefs.
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Tropicalization of the environment might cause the displacement or substitution of species adapted to the relatively colder waters along the African shelf.
“As a consequence, the tropicalization of the environment might also cause the displacement or substitution of species that are adapted to the relatively colder waters along the African shelf (Verges et al., 2014).”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Verges et al., 2014
The Introduction (page unavailable) identifies South Africa as a region where tropical fishes have entered temperate waters and proposes that expanding tropical herbivores may cause declines in temperate algae and seagrass. The Conclusion (page unavailable) likewise suggests a broader shift in temperate communities. Our copy does not specifically predict displacement or replacement of cold-water species along the African shelf; the proposed losses concern temperate habitat-forming plants, and the clearest documented impacts are elsewhere. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDistribution limits of tropical marine species are believed to shift poleward induced by future warming of the ocean.
“Distribution limits of tropical marine species are believed to shift poleward induced by future warming of the ocean (Verges et al., 2014).”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Verges et al., 2014
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- Authors
- Vergés, A., Steinberg, P. D., Hay, M. E., Poore, A. G. B., Campbell, A. H., Ballesteros, E., Heck, K. L., Booth, D. J., Coleman, M. A., Feary, D. A., Figueira, W., Langlois, T., Marzinelli, E. M., Mizerek, T., Mumby, P. J., Nakamura, Y., Roughan, M., van Sebille, E., Gupta, A. S., Smale, D. A., Tomas, F., Wernberg, T., & Wilson, S. K.
- Affiliations
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Nanyang Technological University (SG)
- Georgia Institute of Technology (US)
- Centre d'Estudis Avançats de Blanes (ES)
- Dauphin Island Sea Lab (US)
- University of Technology Sydney (AU)
- Department of Primary Industries, NSW Fisheries, PO Box 4321, Coffs Harbour, New South Wales 2450, Australia
- The University of Sydney (AU)
- The University of Western Australia (AU)
- Sydney Institute of Marine Science (AU)
- The University of Queensland (AU)
- University of Kochi (JP)
- Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales 2052, Australia
- Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom (GB)
- Instituto Mediterráneo de Estudios Avanzados (CSIC-UIB), Esporles, Illes Balears 07190, Spain
- Corresponding author
- Vergés, Adriana
- ORCID
- Vergés, Adriana
- Steinberg, Peter D.
- Hay, Mark E.
- Poore, Alistair G. B.
- Campbell, Alexandra H.
- Ballesteros, Enric
- Heck, Kenneth L.
- Booth, David J.
- Coleman, Melinda A.
- Feary, David A.
- Figueira, Will
- Langlois, Tim
- Marzinelli, Ezequiel M.
- Mumby, Peter J.
- Nakamura, Yohei
- Roughan, Moninya
- Gupta, Alex Sen
- Smale, Dan A.
- Wernberg, Thomas
- Wilson, Shaun K.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2014-08-22
- Volume
- 281
- Issue
- 1789
- Pages
- 20140846
- ISSN
- 0080-4649 (ISSN-L)
- 0962-8452
- 1471-2954
- PMC
- PMC4100510
- OpenAlex
- W2163520583
- Cited by
- 1,021
- References
- 1
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- en
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- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
- DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion)
- UTS ePRESS (University of Technology Sydney) (submittedVersion)
- Marine Biological Association (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/K008439/1)
- Fogarty International Center (U19TW007401)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal plant biology
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine Ecology and Invasive Species
- Keywords
- tropicalization, temperate marine ecosystems, herbivory, range expansion, urchin barrens, foundation species, overgrazing, climate change
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Fishes, Models, Biological, Seaweed, Ecosystem, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Aquatic Organisms, Herbivory
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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