Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being
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Distributions of Earth's species are changing at accelerating rates, increasingly driven by human-mediated climate change. Such changes are already altering the composition of ecological communities, but beyond conservation of natural systems, how and why does this matter? We review evidence that climate-driven species redistribution at regional to global scales affects ecosystem functioning, human well-being, and the dynamics of climate change itself. Production of natural resources required for food security, patterns of disease transmission, and processes of carbon sequestration are all altered by changes in species distribution. Consideration of these effects of biodiversity redistribution is critical yet lacking in most mitigation and adaptation strategies, including the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals.
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Even moderate warming will likely be detrimental for biodiversity and associated benefits to people.
“Even moderate warming will likely be detrimental for biodiversity ( 90 ) and associated benefits to people ( 91 ).”
From Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change (2019) · cites this paper as [90]
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Self-citationResponses of High Arctic wet sedge tundra to climate warming since 1980
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Range Expansion of Moose in Arctic Alaska Linked to Warming and Increased Shrub Habitat
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Microhabitats in the tropics buffer temperature in a globally coherent manner
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Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future
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Maximum rates of climate change are systematically underestimated in the geological record
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Ocean warming, a rapid distributional shift, and the hybridization of a coastal fish species
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Assisted colonization: good intentions and dubious risk assessment
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Legal Strategies for Adaptive Management under Climate Change
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No barrier to emergence of bathyal king crabs on the Antarctic shelf
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Self-citationDesertification in the Sahel: Local Practice Meets Global Narrative
Toulmin, C., & Brock, K. (2016) · Springer earth system sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-16014-1_2 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Adaptation strategies for biodiversity conservation: Has Australian law got what it takes?
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Self-citationArctic Vegetation Cover: Patterns, Processes and Expected Change
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Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 3
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondízio, E. S., Ngo, H. T., Agard, J., Arneth, A., Balvanera, P., Brauman, K. A., Butchart, S. H. M., Chan, K. M. A., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aax3100 · Cited by 2,773 · see citing works
Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century.
Oliver, E. C. J., Donat, M. G., Burrows, M. T., Moore, P. J., Smale, D. A., Alexander, L. V., Benthuysen, J. A., Feng, M., Sen Gupta, A., Hobday, A. J., et al. (2018) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9 · Cited by 2,133 · see citing works
Self-citationClimate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk
Carlson, C. J., Albery, G. F., Merow, C., Trisos, C. H., Zipfel, C. M., Eskew, E. A., Olival, K. J., Ross, N., & Bansal, S. (2022) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-022-04788-w · Cited by 1,099 · see citing works
Ozone depletion, ultraviolet radiation, climate change and prospects for a sustainable future
Barnes, P. W., Williamson, C. E., Lucas, R. M., Robinson, S. A., Madronich, S., Paul, N. D., Bornman, J. F., Bais, A. F., Sulzberger, B., Wilson, S. R., et al. (2019) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0314-2 · Cited by 360 · see citing works
Self-citationThe contributions of Indigenous Peoples and local communities to ecological restoration
Reyes‐García, V., Fernández‐Llamazares, Á., McElwee, P., Molnár, Z., Öllerer, K., Wilson, S. J., & Brondizio, E. S. (2019) · Restoration Ecology · doi:10.1111/rec.12894 · Cited by 337 · see citing works
Sauer, W. H. H., Gleadall, I. G., Downey-Breedt, N., Doubleday, Z., Gillespie, G., Haimovici, M., Ibáñez, C. M., Katugin, O. N., Leporati, S., Lipinski, M. R., et al. (2021) · Reviews in Fisheries Science & Aquaculture · doi:10.1080/23308249.2019.1680603 · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean
Erauskin‐Extramiana, M., Arrizabalaga, H., Hobday, A. J., Cabré, A., Ibaibarriaga, L., Arregui, I., Murua, H., & Chust, G. (2019) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.14630 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
Self-citationWilliamson, C. E., Neale, P. J., Hylander, S., Rose, K. C., Figueroa, F. L., Robinson, S. A., Häder, D.-P., Wä, S.-Å., & Worrest, R. C. (2019) · Photochemical & Photobiological Sciences · doi:10.1039/c8pp90062k · Cited by 169 · see citing works
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Contribution of climate change to the spatial expansion of West Nile virus in Europe
Erazo, D., Grant, L., Ghisbain, G., Marini, G., Colón-González, F. J., Wint, W., Rizzoli, A., Van Bortel, W., Vogels, C. B. F., Grubaugh, N. D., et al. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-45290-3 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
A unifying framework for studying and managing climate-driven rates of ecological change
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Global patterns of coastal cephalopod diversity under climate change
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Borges, F. O., Guerreiro, M., Santos, C. P., Paula, J. R., & Rosa, R. (2022) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.1018766 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
“, 2021) are responsible for significant changes to the earth’s climate and the global ocean system (Pecl et al., 2017).”
BackgroundLima, F., Ángeles-González, L., Leite, T., & Lima, S. (2020) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps13486 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
- Authors
- Pecl, G. T., Araújo, M. B., Bell, J. D., Blanchard, J., Bonebrake, T. C., Chen, I.-C., Clark, T. D., Colwell, R. K., Danielsen, F., Evengård, B., Falconi, L., Ferrier, S., Frusher, S., Garcia, R. A., Griffis, R. B., Hobday, A. J., Janion-Scheepers, C., Jarzyna, M. A., Jennings, S., Lenoir, J., Linnetved, H. I., Martin, V. Y., McCormack, P. C., McDonald, J., Mitchell, N. J., Mustonen, T., Pandolfi, J. M., Pettorelli, N., Popova, E., Robinson, S. A., Scheffers, B. R., Shaw, J. D., Sorte, C. J. B., Strugnell, J. M., Sunday, J. M., Tuanmu, M.-N., Vergés, A., Villanueva, C., Wernberg, T., Wapstra, E., & Williams, S. E.
- Affiliations
- Centre for Marine Socioecology (AU)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- Conservation International (US)
- University of Hong Kong (HK)
- National Cheng Kung University (TW)
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU)
- Nordisk Fond for Miljø og Udvikling (DK)
- Umeå University (SE)
- James Cook University (AU)
- CSIRO Land and Water (AU)
- University of Cape Town (ZA)
- NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (US)
- CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere (AU)
- Monash University, School of Biological Sciences, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia.
- Yale University (US)
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Southern Cross University (AU)
- The University of Western Australia (AU)
- University of Eastern Finland (FI)
- The University of Queensland (AU)
- Zoological Society of London (GB)
- National Oceanography Centre (GB)
- University of Wollongong (AU)
- University of Florida (US)
- University of California, Irvine (US)
- La Trobe University (AU)
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica (TW)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Pecl, Gretta T.
- Araújo, Miguel B.
- ORCID
- Pecl, Gretta T.
- Araújo, Miguel B.
- Bell, Johann D.
- Blanchard, Julia
- Bonebrake, Timothy C.
- Chen, I-Ching
- Clark, Timothy D.
- Colwell, Robert K.
- Danielsen, Finn
- Evengård, Birgitta
- Falconi, Lorena
- Ferrier, Simon
- Frusher, Stewart
- Garcia, Raquel A.
- Griffis, Roger B.
- Hobday, Alistair J.
- Janion-Scheepers, Charlene
- Jarzyna, Marta A.
- Jennings, Sarah
- Lenoir, Jonathan
- Linnetved, Hlif I.
- Martin, Victoria Y.
- McCormack, Phillipa C.
- McDonald, Jan
- Mitchell, Nicola J.
- Mustonen, Tero
- Pandolfi, John M.
- Pettorelli, Nathalie
- Popova, Ekaterina
- Robinson, Sharon A.
- Scheffers, Brett R.
- Shaw, Justine D.
- Sorte, Cascade J. B.
- Strugnell, Jan M.
- Sunday, Jennifer M.
- Tuanmu, Mao-Ning
- Vergés, Adriana
- Villanueva, Cecilia
- Wernberg, Thomas
- Wapstra, Erik
- Williams, Stephen E.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2017-03-31
- Volume
- 355
- Issue
- 6332
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2598701004
- Cited by
- 3,668
- References
- 120
- Citations by year
- 2026: 412 · 2025: 501 · 2024: 493 · 2023: 426 · 2022: 456 · 2021: 435 · 2020: 357 · 2019: 308 · 2018: 220 · 2017: 57 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 18.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.sciencemag.org
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (publishedVersion)
- UTAS Research Repository (acceptedVersion)
- QUT ePrints (Queensland University of Technology) (submittedVersion)
- ResearchOnline at James Cook University (James Cook University) (submittedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
- Cross Connect (Southern Cross University) (submittedVersion)
- Research Online (University of Wollongong) (submittedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- UEF eRepo (University of Eastern Finland) (submittedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion)
- The HKU Scholars Hub (University of Hong Kong) (submittedVersion)
- SUNScholar (Stellenbosch University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (CIBIO-UID/BIA/50027/2013)
- Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (CGL2015-68438-P)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Keywords
- climate change, range shifts, ecosystem functioning, human well-being, food security, disease transmission, carbon sequestration, climate change mitigation, climate change adaptation, Sustainable Development Goals, community composition
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Food Supply, Health, Humans, Biodiversity, Climate Change
About these checks
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