Fire-mediated dieback and compositional cascade in an Amazonian forest
Open accessAbstract
The only fully coupled land–atmosphere global climate model predicts a widespread dieback of Amazonian forest cover through reduced precipitation. Although these predictions are controversial, the structural and compositional resilience of Amazonian forests may also have been overestimated, as current vegetation models fail to consider the potential role of fire in the degradation of forest ecosystems. We examine forest structure and composition in the Arapiuns River basin in the central Brazilian Amazon, evaluating post-fire forest recovery and the consequences of recurrent fires for the patterns of dominance of tree species. We surveyed tree plots in unburned and once-burned forests examined 1, 3 and 9 years after an unprecedented fire event, in twice-burned forests examined 3 and 9 years after fire and in thrice-burned forests examined 5 years after the most recent fire event. The number of trees recorded in unburned primary forest control plots was stable over time. However, in both once- and twice-burned forest plots, there was a marked recruitment into the 10–20 cm diameter at breast height tree size classes between 3 and 9 years post-fire. Considering tree assemblage composition 9 years after the first fire contact, we observed (i) a clear pattern of community turnover among small trees and the most abundant shrubs and saplings, and (ii) that species that were common in any of the four burn treatments (unburned, once-, twice- and thrice-burned) were often rare or entirely absent in other burn treatments. We conclude that episodic wildfires can lead to drastic changes in forest structure and composition, with cascading shifts in forest composition following each additional fire event. Finally, we use these results to evaluate the validity of the savannization paradigm.
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In stable forest regions of the Amazon with annual rainfall above 1,800 mm, forest cover usually recovers within a few years or decades after disturbances, yet forest composition and functioning may remain degraded for decades or centuries.
“In stable forest regions of the Amazon with annual rainfall above 1,800 mm (Extended Data Fig. 1b), forest cover usually recovers within a few years or decades after disturbances, yet forest composition and functioning may remain degraded for decades or centuries84–87.”
From Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system (2024) · cites this paper as [87]
The Conclusion (p. not provided) says that compositional recovery after forest disturbance can take hundreds of years or longer. The Results report recruitment of smaller trees within nine years, and the Methods describe a study area averaging 2,041 mm of annual rainfall. But the paper does not establish that forest cover usually recovers within years or decades across stable Amazonian regions receiving more than 1,800 mm of rain annually. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the degraded forest trajectory, feedbacks often involve competition between trees and other opportunistic plants, as well as interactions between deforestation, fire and seed limitation.
“In the ‘degraded forest’ trajectory, feedbacks often involve competition between trees and other opportunistic plants85,90,92, as well as interactions between deforestation, fire and seed limitation84,87,105.”
From Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system (2024) · cites this paper as [87]
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- Authors
- Barlow, J., & Peres, C. A.
- Affiliations
- Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi (BR)
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Barlow, Jos
- Venue
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2008-02-11
- Volume
- 363
- Issue
- 1498
- Pages
- 1787-1794
- ISSN
- 0962-8436 (ISSN-L)
- 1471-2970
- PMC
- PMC2373873
- OpenAlex
- W2125023288
- Cited by
- 360
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 15 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 28 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 26 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 15 · 2013: 18 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 15.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Lancaster EPrints (Lancaster University) (submittedVersion)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/E500811/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Keywords
- post-fire forest recovery, tree species composition, community turnover, savannization, forest structure, tree recruitment
- MeSH terms
- Brazil, Fires, Plants, Trees, Tropical Climate, Ecosystem, Plant Stems, Plant Development
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