From armed conflict to disaster vulnerability
Abstract
Purpose: – The purpose of this paper is to estimate the effect of armed conflict on the vulnerability to natural hazards. Design/methodology/approach: – The authors employ panel estimates of disaster deaths on a lagged indicator of the presence of armed conflict. Findings: – Disaster deaths following armed conflict are on average 40 percent higher compared to disasters that are chronologically detached from armed conflict events; a legacy of armed conflict accounts for roughly 14 percent of the approximately five million disaster deaths between 1961 and 2010. Practical implications: – A global estimate of the relationship between armed conflict and disaster vulnerability can help disaster management planners identify policy priorities associated with disaster prevention and management. Originality/value: – The analysis reinforces the findings in previous qualitative studies of a causal link between armed conflict and increased disaster vulnerability and provides a quantitative estimate of the average magnitude of this relationship.
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Nine of the 10 most vulnerable countries in 2018 were located in sub-Saharan Africa, the tenth being Afghanistan, and all ten have a recent history of armed conflict.
“Nine of the 10 most vulnerable countries in 2018 were located in sub-Saharan Africa, the tenth being Afghanistan, and all ten countries have a recent history of armed conflict (31).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [31]
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- Authors
- Marktanner, M., Mienie, E., & Noiset, L.
- Affiliations
- Kennesaw State University (US)
- Venue
- Disaster Prevention and Management
- Publisher
- Emerald
- Published
- 2015-02-02
- Volume
- 24
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 53-69
- ISSN
- 0965-3562 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2055372446
- Cited by
- 29
- References
- 25
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 7 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 2
- FWCI
- 3.32
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Disaster Prevention and Management An International Journal (publishedVersion)
- DigitalCommons - Kennesaw State University (Kennesaw State University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health and Conflict Studies
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies
- Keywords
- armed conflict, disaster vulnerability, natural hazards, disaster mortality, armed conflict legacy, disaster risk, disaster management, disaster prevention
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