Nonlinear Model Predictive Control for Heavy-Duty Hybrid Electric Vehicles Using Random Power Prediction Method
Open accessAbstract
A primary challenge to the implementation of hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) is the design of the energy management strategy for the vehicle. Most conventional strategies have been designed for passenger vehicles using rule-based or optimization-based control strategies that rely on navigation support; therefore, the optimal performance of heavy-duty HEVs that lack navigation support cannot be achieved using conventional strategies. In this study, we propose a nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) for heavy-duty HEVs based on a random power prediction method. To obtain the models of multiple power sources, we analyzed the structure and powertrain of the vehicle using mathematical modeling methods. To account for the lack of navigation support, we used the data-driven prediction method by combining the grey model and Markov chain methods to obtain higher-accuracy ultra-short-term power prediction. Considering the predicted disturbance power, we established a multi-objective optimization function with explicit constraints to optimize fuel consumption, bus voltage, and battery state of charge. Under these constraints, a nonlinear programming problem based on the NMPC could be restricted to find an optimal numerical solution in real time. We validated the control strategy on a hardware-in-the-loop simulation platform and compared its results with those obtained using thermostat control, fuzzy, and dynamic programming approaches. The proposed control strategy achieved a considerably better all-round performance than rule-based control strategies; moreover, the results were considerably similar compared with those of offline global optimization strategies. Furthermore, the proposed method achieved excellent real-time operation capability, thereby providing a valuable reference for practical engineering applications.
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The four driving cycles FTP75, LA92, UDDS, and HWFET are extensively utilized in scholarly research focused on EV simulation and performance evaluations.
“Each of these driving cycles is extensively utilized in scholarly research focused on EV simulation and performance evaluations.(Chen et al., 2020;Peng et al., 2019;Karavalakis et al., 2013;Liu et al., 2016)”
From State-of-charge estimation of commercial electric vehicles by using battery-aware transformer network algorithms (2025) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2020
In the Grey Markov Chain Framework and Results and Discussions (page numbers unavailable), Chen et al. use HWFET to evaluate a simulated heavy-duty hybrid electric vehicle. The cited passages do not establish extensive use across scholarly research or address FTP75, LA92, and UDDS; the other cycle used here is HUDDS, not UDDS. (LLM, conf=0.85)
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Mu, B.-Q., Doukhi, O., Wang, L., & Lee, D.-J. (2025) · Journal of Computational Design and Engineering · doi:10.1093/jcde/qwaf042 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
- Authors
- Chen, L., Liao, Z., & Ma, X.
- Venue
- IEEE Access
- Published
- 2020
- Volume
- 8
- Pages
- 202819-202835
- ISSN
- 2169-3536 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3103698355
- Cited by
- 19
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 2
- FWCI
- 0.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- IEEE Access (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (51507190)
- Weapons and Equipment Pre-Research Project of China (301051102)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Technologies
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Vehicle Dynamics and Control Systems
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
- Keywords
- nonlinear model predictive control, energy management strategy, grey prediction model, Markov chains, multi-objective optimization, fuel consumption, battery state of charge, bus voltage, real-time optimization, hardware-in-the-loop
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