Bringing Machine Learning Classifiers Into Critical Cyber-Physical Systems: A Matter of Design
Open accessAbstract
Domain experts are striving to solve classification problems through the application of Machine Learning (ML) models, aiming for the highest accuracy. However, classifiers are inherently prone to misclassifications, especially when encountering unknown input data. This complicates their deployment in critical Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs), where misclassifications can have detrimental effects on people, the environment, or infrastructure. This paper argues that ML classifiers should not be designed or evaluated in isolation but rather conceptualized as Critical System Classifiers (CSCs), which can reject uncertain predictions and trigger mitigation strategies in accordance to the encompassing CPS. We present an high-level architecture for CSCs that supports black-box integration, preprocessing for unknown detection, post-hoc calibration, and cost-sensitive thresholding, emphasizing the importance of evaluating classifiers using cost-aware metrics that account for rejections. We validate our proposal through experiments on tabular datasets related to failure prediction, intrusion and error detection, which are common applications of classifiers within CPSs. Key findings are: i) cost-sensitive evaluation promotes the usage of different classifiers compared to standard performance metrics, ii) tree-based models outperform statistical ones, classification-wise, iii) prediction calibration and rejection strategies provide a robust notion of confidence, and iv) combining multiple uncertainty-based rejectors achieves a favorable balance between high accuracy, low rejection rate, and cost. The analyses above were conducted using our publicly available CINNABAR GitHub repository for experimentations with CSCs. Overall, our study offers a system-level perspective, software architecture and implementation on classifier deployment in critical CPSs domains, paving the way for a trustworthy ML integration into real-world infrastructures.
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The Critical System Classifier (CSC) framework highlights that uncertainty-aware calibration and rejection (abstention) are essential in safety-critical CPS, where confidently misclassifying unknown or out-of-distribution traffic can be more harmful than refusing to decide.
“the Critical System Classifier (CSC) framework highlights that uncertainty-aware calibration and rejection (abstention) are essential in safety-critical CPS, where confidently misclassifying unknown or out-of-distribution traffic can be more harmful than refusing to decide [56].”
From AI-Based Anomaly Detection in Industrial Control and Cyber–Physical Systems: A Data-Type-Oriented Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
CSC explicitly rejects uncertain predictions and triggers system-level mitigation strategies rather than maximizing accuracy.
“Rather than 'maximizing accuracy,' CSC explicitly rejects uncertain predictions and triggers system-level mitigation strategies.”
From AI-Based Anomaly Detection in Industrial Control and Cyber–Physical Systems: A Data-Type-Oriented Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
Experiments in Sayin et al. show that tree-based ensembles outperform statistical models, and combining calibration with rejection yields an effective balance between accuracy, acceptable rejection rates, and reduced risk cost.
“Experiments show that tree-based ensembles outperform statistical models, and combining calibration with rejection yields an effective balance between accuracy, acceptable rejection rates, and reduced risk cost.”
From AI-Based Anomaly Detection in Industrial Control and Cyber–Physical Systems: A Data-Type-Oriented Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
Sayin et al. [56] proposed the concept of a Critical System Classifier (CSC) for deploying machine-learning classifiers in safety-critical cyber-physical systems such as autonomous vehicles, medical devices, and ICS.
“Sayin et al. [56] proposed the concept of a Critical System Classifier (CSC) for deploying machine-learning classifiers in safety-critical cyber-physical systems such as autonomous vehicles, medical devices, and ICS.”
From AI-Based Anomaly Detection in Industrial Control and Cyber–Physical Systems: A Data-Type-Oriented Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
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- Authors
- Sayin, B., Zoppi, T., Marchini, N., Khokhar, F. A., & Passerini, A.
- Affiliations
- University of Trento (IT)
- University of Florence (IT)
- Venue
- IEEE Access
- Published
- 2025
- Volume
- 13
- Pages
- 94858-94877
- ISSN
- 2169-3536 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4410226707
- Cited by
- 7
- References
- 77
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 3
- FWCI
- 2.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- IEEE Access (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Florence Research (University of Florence) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Iris (University of Trento) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- Progetti di Ricerca di Interesse Nazionale (PRIN) 2022 Project S2 (202297YF75)
- Project SEcurity and RIghts in the CyberSpace (SERICS) under the Ministero dell’Università e Ricerca (MUR) National Recovery and Resilience Plan funded by European Union–NextGenerationEU (PE00000014;)
- Cognitive Safety with Point Clouds (CogniSafe3D) Eurostars 3, Call 6 by European Union.
- Horizon Europe Project TANGO funded by European Union (101120763)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality › Safety Systems Engineering in Autonomy
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
- Keywords
- machine learning classifiers, forecast calibration, failure prediction, intrusion detection, error detection
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