The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Deep Learning for Household Load Forecasting—A Novel Pooling Deep RNN
Open accessAbstract
The key challenge for household load forecasting lies in the high volatility and uncertainty of load profiles. Traditional methods tend to avoid such uncertainty by load aggregation (to offset uncertainties), customer classification (to cluster uncertainties) and spectral analysis (to filter out uncertainties). This paper, for the first time, aims to directly learn the uncertainty by applying a new breed of machine learning algorithms-deep learning. However, simply adding layers in neural networks will cap the forecasting performance due to the occurrence of over-fitting. A novel pooling-based deep recurrent neural network is proposed in this paper which batches a group of customers' load profiles into a pool of inputs. Essentially the model could address the over-fitting issue by increasing data diversity and volume. This paper reports the first attempts to develop a bespoke deep learning application for household load forecasting and achieved preliminary success. The developed method is implemented on Tensorflow deep learning platform and tested on 920 smart metered customers from Ireland. Compared with the state-of-the-art techniques in household load forecasting, the proposed method outperforms ARIMA by 19.5%, SVR by 13.1% and classical deep RNN by 6.5% in terms of RMSE.
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Cites
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TensorFlow: Large-Scale Machine Learning on Heterogeneous Distributed Systems
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Sajjad, M., Khan, Z. A., Ullah, A., Hussain, T., Ullah, W., Lee, M. Y., & Baik, S. W. (2020) · IEEE Access · doi:10.1109/access.2020.3009537 · Cited by 528
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Metadata
- Authors
- Shi, H., Xu, M., & Li, R.
- Venue
- IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid
- Published
- 2018-09
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 5271-5280
- ISSN
- 1949-3053 (ISSN-L)
- 1949-3061
- OpenAlex
- W2597866042
- Cited by
- 1,102
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 34.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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