The DOI matches its Crossref record; 20 of the 20 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
An Econometric View on the Estimation of Gravity Models and the Calculation of Trade Potentials
Abstract
This paper presents an AR(1) model in the spirit of Hausman and Taylor zero differences between actual and in‐sample predicted trade flows. Large systematic differences between observed and in‐sample predicted trade flows only indicate model misspecification and econometric problems. Out‐of‐sample predictions make sense if countries of interest are in an early stage of the transformation process. The gravity model remains an interesting tool for the calculation of counterfactuals (e.g. the impact of catching up in GDP per capita in the CEEC or of the reduction of trade costs via infrastructure investments or tariffs on bilateral trade, etc.). For this line of research, the difference between short‐term and long‐term influences could provide interesting insights.
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Citations
Cites
Specification Tests in Econometrics
Hausman, J. A. (1978) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913827 · Cited by 18,820
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION AND OPTIMUM PRODUCT DIVERSITY
Dixit, A., Stiglitz, J. E., Dixit, A. K., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1975) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.268957 · Cited by 7,391
The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence
Bergstrand, J. H. (1985) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.2307/1925976 · Cited by 3,020
Panel data and unobservable individual effects
Hausman, J., & Taylor, W. (1981) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(81)90085-3 · Cited by 2,309
Bergstrand, J. H. (1989) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.2307/1928061 · Cited by 1,798
Imperfect competition and international trade: Evidence from fourteen industrial countries
Helpman, E. (1987) · Journal of the Japanese and International Economies · doi:10.1016/0889-1583(87)90027-x · Cited by 1,039
UNEQUALLY SPACED PANEL DATA REGRESSIONS WITH AR(1) DISTURBANCES
Baltagi, B. H., & Wu, P. X. (1999) · Econometric Theory · doi:10.1017/s0266466699156020 · Cited by 963
Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model
Bhargava, A., Franzini, L., & Narendranathan, W. (1982) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.2307/2297285 · Cited by 857
Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model
Matyas, L. (1997) · The World Economy · doi:10.1111/1467-9701.00074 · Cited by 708
Bergstrand, J. H. (1990) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/2233969 · Cited by 664
Cited by
DOES THE GRAVITY MODEL EXPLAIN SOUTH KOREA'S TRADE FLOWS?*
SOHN, C.-H. (2005) · The Japanese Economic Review · doi:10.1111/j.1468-5876.2005.00338.x · Cited by 104
Papazoglou, C., Pentecost, E. J., & Marques, H. (2006) · The World Economy · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9701.2006.00834.x · Cited by 77
Estimating the effects of trade agreements: Lessons from 60 years of methods and data
Larch, M., & Yotov, Y. V. (2024) · The World Economy · doi:10.1111/twec.13569 · Cited by 56
Metadata
- Authors
- Egger, P.
- Venue
- The World Economy
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2002-02
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 297-312
- ISSN
- 0378-5920 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9701
- OpenAlex
- W2023489344
- Cited by
- 555
- References
- 20
- FWCI
- 36.97
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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