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Cascading top-down effects of changing oceanic predator abundances
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1. Top-down control can be an important determinant of ecosystem structure and function, but in oceanic ecosystems, where cascading effects of predator depletions, recoveries, and invasions could be significant, such effects had rarely been demonstrated until recently. 2. Here we synthesize the evidence for oceanic top-down control that has emerged over the last decade, focusing on large, high trophic-level predators inhabiting continental shelves, seas, and the open ocean. 3. In these ecosystems, where controlled manipulations are largely infeasible, 'pseudo-experimental' analyses of predator-prey interactions that treat independent predator populations as 'replicates', and temporal or spatial contrasts in predator populations and climate as 'treatments', are increasingly employed to help disentangle predator effects from environmental variation and noise. 4. Substantial reductions in marine mammals, sharks, and piscivorous fishes have led to mesopredator and invertebrate predator increases. Conversely, abundant oceanic predators have suppressed prey abundances. Predation has also inhibited recovery of depleted species, sometimes through predator-prey role reversals. Trophic cascades have been initiated by oceanic predators linking to neritic food webs, but seem inconsistent in the pelagic realm with effects often attenuating at plankton. 5. Top-down control is not uniformly strong in the ocean, and appears contingent on the intensity and nature of perturbations to predator abundances. Predator diversity may dampen cascading effects except where nonselective fisheries deplete entire predator functional groups. In other cases, simultaneous exploitation of predator and prey can inhibit prey responses. Explicit consideration of anthropogenic modifications to oceanic foodwebs should help inform predictions about trophic control. 6. Synthesis and applications. Oceanic top-down control can have important socio-economic, conservation, and management implications as mesopredators and invertebrates assume dominance, and recovery of overexploited predators is impaired. Continued research aimed at integrating across trophic levels is needed to understand and forecast the ecosystem effects of changing oceanic predator abundances, the relative strength of top-down and bottom-up control, and interactions with intensifying anthropogenic stressors such as climate change.
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“Predator-prey relationships play an integral role as top-down ecological controls, influencing ecosystem function and stability [1,2,3].”
From Effects of Vegetation Structure on the Location of Lion Kill Sites in African Thicket (2016) · cites this paper as [1]
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BackgroundJordaan, R. K., Oosthuizen, W. C., Reisinger, R. R., & de Bruyn, P. J. N. (2023) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.10144 · Cited by 9
“…(or in some cases population increases; Kitchell et al., 2006) can have far-reaching ecosystem impacts through cascading top-down processes, it is important to understand what environmental and anthropogenic factors regulate their population dynamics (Baum & Worm, 2009; Heithaus et al., 2008).”
Kaplan, K. A., Montero‐Serra, I., Pita., E. L. V., Sullivan, P. J., Suárez, E., & Vinueza, L. R. (2014) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-014-0679-5 · Cited by 9
“Furthermore the loss of species due to fishing can have cascading effects on the ecosystem as a whole (Baum and Worm 2009; Myers and Worm 2003), which threatens biodiversity and the ecological integrity of marine ecosystems (Duffy 2003; Le Quesne and Jennings 2011; Worm et al. 2006).”
BackgroundThe Value of Taxon-focused Science: 30 Years of Elasmobranchs in Biological Research and Outreach
Ferry, L. A., & Shiffman, D. S. (2014) · Copeia · doi:10.1643/ot-14-044 · Cited by 9
“…AND MANY SPECIES ARE IN DANGER OF EXTINCTION, JUSTIFYING A TAXON-SPECIFIC APPROACH TO RESEARCH Many elasmobranchs are apex predators in their ecosystem (Cortes, 1999), and population declines have been associated with trophic cascades in several ecosystems (reviewed in Baum and Worm, 2009).”
BackgroundIdentifying habitat-driven spatial variation in colony size of Herring Gulls Larus argentatus
O’Hanlon, N. J., & Nager, R. G. (2018) · Bird Study · doi:10.1080/00063657.2018.1518970 · Cited by 9
“Alternatively, spatial variation in population trends between different populations can provide a ‘pseudoexperimental’ approach that treats spatial contrasts in population trajectories as ‘treatments’ (Baum & Worm 2009).”
BackgroundHetherington, E. D., Kurle, C., Benson, S., Jones, T. T., & Seminoff, J. A. (2019) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps13117 · Cited by 12
“Within food webs, top predators can perform critical functions, such as regulating populations of prey through top-down processes (Estes & Duggins 1995, Pace et al. 1999, Baum & Worm 2009).”
BackgroundDonahue, S. E., Adams, J., Renshaw, M., & Hyrenbach, K. (2020) · Aquatic Conservation Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems · doi:10.1002/aqc.3470 · Cited by 11
The Use of Ecological Networks as Tools for Understanding and Conserving Marine Biodiversity
Velásquez, V. M., Raimundo, R. L. G., Rosa, R. D. S., & Navia, A. F. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-58211-1_9 · Cited by 9
Population consequences of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill on pelagic cetaceans
Marques, T. A., Thomas, L., Booth, C. G., Garrison, L., Rosel, P. E., Takeshita, R., Mullin, K. D., & Schwacke, L. H. (2023) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps14323 · Cited by 8
“Further, the consequences for the broader GoMx ecosystem may be more important, as the loss of many high trophic predators, even if it represents a relatively small proportion of a given stock, could cascade through the ecosystem (Baum & Worm 2009).”
BackgroundThe impact of climate change on marine mega-decapod ranges: A systematic literature review
Strang, C. I., & Bosker, T. (2024) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2024.107165 · Cited by 8
Heße, E., Boyi, J. O., Das, K., Jung, K., Lehnert, K., Piette, M., Pinzone, M., Schückel, S., Schückel, U., Siebert, U., et al. (2025) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps14787 · Cited by 8
Brown, C. M., Paxton, A. B., Taylor, J. C., Hoeck, R. V. V., Fatzinger, M. H., & Silliman, B. R. (2020) · Food Webs · doi:10.1016/j.fooweb.2020.e00147 · Cited by 10
Morris, C. J., & Green, J. M. (2021) · Aquatic Conservation Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems · doi:10.1002/aqc.3666 · Cited by 8
Rebuilding Mediterranean marine resources under climate change
Moullec, F., Barrier, N., Guilhaumon, F., Peck, M. A., Ulses, C., & Shin, Y. (2023) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps14269 · Cited by 8
“…for all considered periods, with or without climate change, we found that a global increase in fishing mortality would be beneficial to small pelagic species, and thus to total catches, due to the release of predation by species at the top of the food chain (Baum & Worm 2009, Steneck 2012).”
Can fisheries be “regenerative”? Adapting agroecological concepts for fisheries and the blue economy
Loring, P. A. (2023) · FACETS · doi:10.1139/facets-2023-0011 · Cited by 8
Gandra, M., Winkler, A. C., Afonso, P., & Abecasis, D. (2024) · Movement Ecology · doi:10.1186/s40462-024-00469-7 · Cited by 8
“The resilience of meso and apex predators is particularly important due to their ecological role and potential for originating top-down control disruptions, which may cause unpredictable cascading effects across trophic webs [2, 18, 19].”
BackgroundSmith, R. M., Spotila, J. R., & Bien, W. F. (2015) · Herpetologica · doi:10.1655/herpetologica-d-13-00028 · Cited by 8
Benseman, S. A., & Allen, L. (2018) · Copeia · doi:10.1643/ce-18-021 · Cited by 6
Vineetha, G., Kripa, V., Karati, K. K., Madhu, N. V., Anil, P., & Nair, M. S. V. (2022) · Marine Pollution Bulletin · doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2022.113951 · Cited by 8
Zenteno-Devaud, L., Aguirre-Martínez, G. V., Andrade, C., Cárdenas, L., Pardo, L. M., González, H. E., & Garrido, I. (2022) · Biology · doi:10.3390/biology11121723 · Cited by 8
Amadori, M., Solonin, S. V., Водорезов, А. В., Shell, R. C., Niedźwiedzki, R., & Kriwet, J. (2022) · Journal of Vertebrate Paleontology · doi:10.1080/02724634.2022.2162909 · Cited by 8
“…opportunistic, specialized, or generalized), elasmobranchs are very important to ensure stability in structure and function of marine communities (Cortés, 1999; Baum and Worm, 2009; Myers et al., 2007; Jacobsen and Bennett, 2013; Munroe et al., 2014; Grubbs et al., 2016; Yokoi et al., 2017).”
BackgroundWillis, T., Wilson, K. A., Alexander, K., & Leavenworth, W. B. (2012) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps10068 · Cited by 8
“There is a global trend towards smaller target species and more fisheries biomass harvested from lower trophic levels (Dulvy et al. 2003, Baum & Worm 2009).”
BackgroundPotential Impact of Mediterranean Aquaculture on the Wild Predatory Bluefish
Miralles, L., Mrugała, A., Sánchez‐Jerez, P., Juanes, F., & García‐Vázquez, E. (2016) · Marine and Coastal Fisheries · doi:10.1080/19425120.2015.1125977 · Cited by 8
Kim, T.-W., Lee, H.-J., Kim, Y., Oh, H.-S., & Han, S. (2017) · Mitochondrial DNA Part A · doi:10.1080/24701394.2016.1261852 · Cited by 8
“…apex predator that plays a key role in maintaining biodiversity in the ecosystem, and its population size is also dependent on habitat conditions such as prey species population and competing species and/or individuals (Sergio et al. 2008; Baum & Worm 2009; Lovari et al. 2009, Jackson et al. 2010).”
BackgroundTrophic and functional cascades in tropical versus temperate aquatic microcosms
Marta Coll, M., & Hargadon, K. (2011) · Aquatic Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10452-011-9381-9 · Cited by 8
“There is ample evidence for strong trophic cascades in temperate and high latitude ecosystems (Frank et al. 2006, 2007; Knowlton and Jackson 2008; Baum and Worm 2009), but see Duffy (2003).”
BackgroundMethodRole, importance and vulnerability of top predators on the Great Barrier Reef: a review
Ceccarelli, D. M., & Ayling, T. (2010) · GBRMPA ELibrary (Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority) · Cited by 8
Horton, T. W., Exeter, O. M., Garzon, F., Gordon, C. A., Hawkes, L. A., Hood, A. R., Righton, D. A., Silva, J. F., & Witt, M. J. (2023) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2023.106760 · Cited by 7
Corresponding planktivore and predator spatial distributions in an oceanic coral reef system
Skinner, C., Gallimore, S., Polunin, N. V. C., Rushton, S. P., Newman, S. P., Desbiens, A. A., & Mill, A. C. (2024) · Coral Reefs · doi:10.1007/s00338-024-02514-8 · Cited by 7
“This is contrary to top-down predator control theory which, despite being common in food web ecology, is not consistent in the marine environment (Baum and Worm 2009).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Baum, J. K., & Worm, B.
- Affiliations
- Dalhousie University (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Baum, Julia K.
- Venue
- Journal of Animal Ecology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2009-06-04
- Volume
- 78
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 699-714
- ISSN
- 0021-8790 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2656
- OpenAlex
- W2132556874
- Cited by
- 932
- References
- 134
- Citations by year
- 2026: 48 · 2025: 49 · 2024: 57 · 2023: 67 · 2022: 67 · 2021: 66 · 2020: 55 · 2019: 54 · 2018: 47 · 2017: 55 · 2016: 65 · 2015: 63 · 2014: 57 · 2013: 50 · 2012: 52
- FWCI
- 4.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Animal Ecology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine animal studies overview
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
- Keywords
- top-down control, trophic cascades, predator abundance, marine mammals, sharks, piscivorous fish, mesopredator release, invertebrate predators, predator-prey interactions, role reversal, predator recovery, fisheries depletion, predator diversity, bottom-up control, food webs, climate change, marine conservation
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Oceans and Seas, Population Dynamics, Predatory Behavior, Time Factors, Food Chain
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