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Cited by 508

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

On the Evolution of Overconfidence and Entrepreneurs

Open access
Bernardo, Antonio E., Welch, Ivo·2001·Journal of Economics & Management Strategy

Abstract

This paper explains why seemingly irrational overconfident behavior can persist. Information aggregation is poor in groups in which most individuals herd. By ignoring the herd, the actions of overconfident individuals (“entrepreneurs”) convey their private information. However, entrepreneurs make mistakes and thus die more frequently. The socially optimal proportion of entrepreneurs trades off the positive information externality against high attrition rates of entrepreneurs, and depends on the size of the group, on the degree of overconfidence, and on the accuracy of individuals' private information. The stationary distribution trades off the fitness of the group against the fitness of overconfident individuals.

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Crossref · 10.1111/j.1430-9134.2001.00301.x

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Metadata

Authors
Bernardo, A. E., & Welch, I.
Venue
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2001-09
Volume
10
Issue
3
Pages
301-330
ISSN
  • 1058-6407 (ISSN-L)
  • 1530-9134
OpenAlex
W2579747302
Cited by
508
References
2
FWCI
49.15
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: On the Evolution of Overconfidence and Entrepreneurs. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.1430-9134.2001.00301.x
The paper
Bernardo, A. E., & Welch, I. (2001). On the Evolution of Overconfidence and Entrepreneurs. Journal of Economics & Management Strategy. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1430-9134.2001.00301.x

Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.