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On Stock Market Returns and Monetary Policy
Open accessAbstract
Financial economists have long debated whether monetary policy is neutral. This article addresses this question by examining how stock return data respond to monetary policy shocks. Monetary policy is measured by innovations in the federal funds rate and nonborrowed reserves, by narrative indicators, and by an event study of Federal Reserve policy changes. In every case the evidence indicates that expansionary policy increases ex‐post stock returns. Results from estimating a multi‐factor model also indicate that exposure to monetary policy increases an asset's ex‐ante return.
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Cites
Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission
Bernanke, B. S., & Gertler, M. (1995) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.9.4.27 · Cited by 4,211
Monetary policy, business cycles, and the behavior of small manufacturing firms
Gertler, M., & Gilchrist, S. (1994) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2118465 · Cited by 2,547
Cited by
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BERNANKE, B. S., & KUTTNER, K. N. (2005) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00760.x · Cited by 2,384
Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices
PÁSTOR, L., & VERONESI, P. (2012) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01746.x · Cited by 2,313
Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy
Bekaert, G., Hoerova, M., & Lo Duca, M. (2013) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.06.003 · Cited by 1,235
Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns
Perez‐Quiros, G., & Timmermann, A. (2000) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00246 · Cited by 655
New Products, Sales Promotions, and Firm Value: The Case of the Automobile Industry
Pauwels, K., Silva-Risso, J., Srinivasan, S., & Hanssens, D. M. (2004) · Journal of Marketing · doi:10.1509/jmkg.68.4.142.42724 · Cited by 606
Metadata
- Authors
- THORBECKE, W.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 1997-06
- Volume
- 52
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 635-654
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W1982558172
- Cited by
- 922
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 23.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.