The Impact of HIV/AIDS on Adult Mortality in Zimbabwe
Abstract
In June 2000, an estimated 25 percent of adults in Zimbabwe were living with HIV/AIDS. Statistical data on the impact of the epidemic, though problematic in many ways, are better for Zimbabwe than for many other countries in sub‐Saharan Africa. This analysis presents estimates of adult mortality in Zimbabwe based on multiple sources, including registered deaths adjusted for incomplete reporting, estimated at approximately 50 percent. Comparison of estimates from different data sources shows that they are subject to substantial errors. At the same time, the estimates leave no doubt that adult mortality risks in Zimbabwe more than doubled between 1982 and 1997. The evidence that this rise is due to AIDS deaths is circumstantial, but very strong; there is no credible competing explanation.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Cited by
Sorted by citations
What can we conclude from death registration? Improved methods for evaluating completeness
Murray, C. J. L., Rajaratnam, J. K., Marcus, J., Laakso, T., & Lopez, A. D. (2010) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000262 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Livelihood Change in Rural Zimbabwe over 20 Years
Mushongah, J., & Scoones, I. (2012) · Journal of Development Studies · doi:10.1080/00220388.2012.671474 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Uncertainty in estimates of HIV/AIDS: the estimation and application of plausibility bounds
Grassly, N. C. (2004) · Sexually Transmitted Infections · doi:10.1136/sti.2004.010637 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
- Authors
- Feeney, G.
- Affiliations
- East–West Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Feeney, Griffith
- ORCID
- Feeney, Griffith
- Venue
- Population and Development Review
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2001-12
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 771-780
- ISSN
- 0098-7921 (ISSN-L)
- 1728-4457
- OpenAlex
- W2031930208
- Cited by
- 89
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 4 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 26.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Population and Development Review (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Keywords
- HIV/AIDS, adult mortality, AIDS mortality, mortality estimation, underreporting of deaths, mortality trends, Zimbabwe, sub-Saharan Africa, epidemic impact
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
