The DOI matches its Crossref record; 47 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Cross validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions
Abstract
Summary A generalized form of the cross-validation criterion is applied to the choice and assessment of prediction using the data-analytic concept of a prescription. The examples used to illustrate the application are drawn from the problem areas of univariate estimation, linear regression and analysis of variance.
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“A long-standing practice in that literature is to use different partitions of the data for model estimation and inference, referred to as sample splitting (Larson, 1931; Stone, 1974).”
From Auditing a Dutch Public Sector Risk Profiling Algorithm Using an Unsupervised Bias Detection Tool (2025) · cites this paper as Stone, 1974
In the citing paper
“The performance of the model on such a setup is estimated to be the mean of the k validation results [19,20,21].”
From Fully Automated Placental Volume Quantification From 3D Ultrasound for Prediction of Small‐for‐Gestational‐Age Infants (2022) · cites this paper as [20]
Citations
Cites
The Handbook of Social Psychology
Gravatt, A. E., Lindzey, G. E., & Aronson, F. (1969) · The Family Coordinator · doi:10.2307/582242 · Cited by 12,518
Rozeboom, W. W., Lord, F. M., Novick, M. R., & Birnbaum, A. (1969) · American Educational Research Journal · doi:10.2307/1162101 · Cited by 8,012
Optimal Statistical Decisions.
Siegmund, D., & DeGroot, M. H. (1972) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2284675 · Cited by 3,436
A Predictive Approach to the Random Effect Model
Geisser, S. (1974) · Biometrika · doi:10.1093/biomet/61.1.101 · Cited by 3,101
Bayes Estimates for the Linear Model
Lindley, D. V., & Smith, A. F. M. (1972) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1972.tb00885.x · Cited by 2,025
Estimation of Error Rates in Discriminant Analysis
Lachenbruch, P. A., & Mickey, M. R. (1968) · Technometrics · doi:10.1080/00401706.1968.10490530 · Cited by 1,560
The Relationship Between Variable Selection and Data Agumentation and a Method for Prediction
Allen, D. M. (1974) · Technometrics · doi:10.1080/00401706.1974.10489157 · Cited by 1,469
Inference and disputed authorship : The Federalist
Mosteller, F. C., & Wallace, D. K. (1964) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 916
Mean Square Error of Prediction as a Criterion for Selecting Variables
Allen, D. M. (1971) · Technometrics · doi:10.1080/00401706.1971.10488811 · Cited by 687
Robertson, C., Andrews, D. F., Bickel, P. J., Hanpel, F. R., Huber, P. J., Rogers, W. H., & Tukey, J. W. (1972) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2528653 · Cited by 462
Research works printed but not linked: 6
- Anderson, 1972, Selection of predictor variables in linear multiple regression
- Mosteller, 1968, Data analysis, including statistics
- Nicholson, 1960, Prediction in future samples
- Nimmo-Smith, 1972, Selecting an estimator from a class of estimator types: An embryo data-analytic technique
- Simon, 1971, Prediction Methods in Criminology. Home Office Research Study, 7
- Stein, 1960, Multiple regression
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Hair, J. F., Risher, J. J., Sarstedt, M., & Ringle, C. M. (2019) · European Business Review · doi:10.1108/ebr-11-2018-0203 · Cited by 27,541
Pls-Sem: indeed a silver bullet
Hair, J. F., Ringle, C. M., & Sarstedt, M. (2011) · Journal of Marketing Theory and Practice · doi:10.2753/mtp1069-6679190202 · Cited by 21,631
Deep learning in neural networks: an overview
Schmidhuber, J. (2015) · Neural Networks · doi:10.1016/j.neunet.2014.09.003 · Cited by 18,570
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
Spiegelhalter, D. J., Best, N. G., Carlin, B. P., & Van Der Linde, A. (2002) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00353 · Cited by 151
Multimodel Inference: Understanding AIC and BIC in Model Selection
Burnham, K. P., & Anderson, D. R. (2004) · Sociological Methods & Research · doi:10.1177/0049124104268644 · Cited by 11,648
Metadata
- Authors
- Stone, M.
- Affiliations
- University College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Stone, M.
- Venue
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1974-01-01
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 111-133
- ISSN
- 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9868
- OpenAlex
- W2112081648
- Cited by
- 10,881
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 812 · 2025: 680 · 2024: 654 · 2023: 758 · 2022: 711 · 2021: 828 · 2020: 638 · 2019: 542 · 2018: 436 · 2017: 376 · 2016: 340 · 2015: 350 · 2014: 314 · 2013: 297 · 2012: 285
- FWCI
- 17.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Inference
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Applications
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
- Keywords
- cross-validation, statistical forecasting, drug prescribing, model selection, linear regression, analysis of variance
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