The DOI matches its Crossref record; 47 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Cross validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions
Abstract
Summary A generalized form of the cross-validation criterion is applied to the choice and assessment of prediction using the data-analytic concept of a prescription. The examples used to illustrate the application are drawn from the problem areas of univariate estimation, linear regression and analysis of variance.
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“A long-standing practice in that literature is to use different partitions of the data for model estimation and inference, referred to as sample splitting (Larson, 1931; Stone, 1974).”
From Auditing a Dutch Public Sector Risk Profiling Algorithm Using an Unsupervised Bias Detection Tool (2025) · cites this paper as Stone, 1974
In the citing paper
“The performance of the model on such a setup is estimated to be the mean of the k validation results [19,20,21].”
From Fully Automated Placental Volume Quantification From 3D Ultrasound for Prediction of Small‐for‐Gestational‐Age Infants (2022) · cites this paper as [20]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Stone, M.
- Affiliations
- University College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Stone, M.
- Venue
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1974-01-01
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 111-133
- ISSN
- 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9868
- OpenAlex
- W2112081648
- Cited by
- 10,881
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 812 · 2025: 680 · 2024: 654 · 2023: 758 · 2022: 711 · 2021: 828 · 2020: 638 · 2019: 542 · 2018: 436 · 2017: 376 · 2016: 340 · 2015: 350 · 2014: 314 · 2013: 297 · 2012: 285
- FWCI
- 17.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Inference
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Applications
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
- Keywords
- cross-validation, statistical forecasting, drug prescribing, model selection, linear regression, analysis of variance
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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