Annual Research Review: Universal and targeted strategies for assigning interventions to achieve population impact
Abstract
This article proposes that universal and targeted preventive interventions should be compared and evaluated in terms of their benefit–cost ratio in achieving population‐wide impact on mental disorders and related outcomes. Universal approaches attempt to affect every individual in a population, whereas targeted approaches select candidates for intervention based on screening of demographic or behavioral characteristics. Unique assets and challenges of each approach in achieving population impact in a cost‐efficient way are discussed, along with spillover effects, sensitivity and specificity, developmental processes, timing of intervention, and the relation between severity of risk and plasticity. A general targeted‐efficiency framework is proposed as a heuristic to evaluate the collective merits of universal and targeted approaches in specific cases. A tiered approach that combines universal and targeted identification strategies is proposed, and examples are described. Issues for high‐priority research are identified.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Help-seeking is known to be associated with a self-selection bias.
“As help-seeking is known to be associated with a self-selection bias, there is an urgent need to offer help at very early stages even before individuals actively seek help while keeping the advantages of targeted prevention [26, 32].”
From Efficacy of a transdiagnostic Internet prevention approach in adolescents (EMPATIA study): study protocol of a randomized controlled trial (2024) · cites this paper as [26]
Cites
Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programmes
Drummond, M. E., Sculpher, M. J., Torrance, G. W., O’Brien, B. J., & Stoddart, G. L. (2005) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198529446.001.0001 · Cited by 13,648 · see citing works
Methods for the economic evaluation of health care programmes
Wilson, S. (1987) · Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health · doi:10.1136/jech.41.4.355-a · Cited by 4,312 · see citing works
Evaluating Effect Size in Psychological Research: Sense and Nonsense
Funder, D. C., & Ozer, D. J. (2019) · Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/2515245919847202 · Cited by 3,295 · see citing works
When interventions harm: Peer groups and problem behavior.
Dishion, T. J., McCord, J., & Poulin, F. (1999) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.54.9.755 · Cited by 2,023 · see citing works
Strategy of prevention: lessons from cardiovascular disease.
Rose, G. (1981) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.282.6279.1847 · Cited by 1,302 · see citing works
Rebooting psychotherapy research and practice to reduce the burden of mental illness
Kazdin, A. E., & Blase, S. L. (2011) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/1745691610393527 · Cited by 1,254 · see citing works
Autism From 2 to 9 Years of Age
Lord, C., Risi, S., DiLavore, P. S., Shulman, C., Thurm, A., & Pickles, A. (2006) · Archives of General Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/archpsyc.63.6.694 · Cited by 973 · see citing works
Preventing Child Abuse and Neglect: A Randomized Trial of Nurse Home Visitation
Olds, D. L., Henderson, C. R., Chamberlin, R., & Tatelbaum, R. (1986) · Pediatrics · doi:10.1542/peds.78.1.65 · Cited by 947 · see citing works
Population-Based Prevention of Child Maltreatment: The U.S. Triple P System Population Trial
Prinz, R. J., Sanders, M. R., Shapiro, C. J., Whitaker, D. J., & Lutzker, J. R. (2009) · Prevention Science · doi:10.1007/s11121-009-0123-3 · Cited by 833 · see citing works
Schizophrenia genesis: the origins of madness
(1991) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.28-6500 · Cited by 832 · see citing works
Investing in Preschool Programs
Duncan, G. J., & Magnuson, K. (2013) · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.27.2.109 · Cited by 764 · see citing works
New Evidence on the Monetary Value of Saving a High Risk Youth
Cohen, M. A., & Piquero, A. R. (2009) · Journal of Quantitative Criminology · doi:10.1007/s10940-008-9057-3 · Cited by 682 · see citing works
Dishion, T. J., Shaw, D. S., Connell, A. M., Gardner, F. E. M., Weaver, C. M., & Wilson, M. N. (2008) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.2008.01195.x · Cited by 594 · see citing works
A Treatment Outcome Study for Sexually Abused Preschool Children: Initial Findings
Cohen, J. A., & Mannarino, A. P. (1996) · Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry · doi:10.1097/00004583-199601000-00011 · Cited by 532 · see citing works
The Monetary Value of Saving a High-Risk Youth
Cohen, M. A. (1998) · Journal of Quantitative Criminology · doi:10.1023/a:1023092324459 · Cited by 508 · see citing works
Prevention of Depression in At-Risk Adolescents
Garber, J., Clarke, G. N., Weersing, V. R., Beardslee, W. R., Brent, D. A., Gladstone, T. R. G., DeBar, L., Lynch, F. L., D’Angelo, E. J., Hollon, S. D., et al. (2009) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2009.788 · Cited by 507 · see citing works
Initial impact of the fast track prevention trial for conduct problems: II. Classroom effects.
(1999) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-006x.67.5.648 · Cited by 402 · see citing works
Children at risk for schizophrenia : a longitudinal perspective
Watt, N. F., Estienne, A., Wynne, L. C., & Rolf, J. E. (1984) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · Cited by 378 · see citing works
Translating research to practice in bullying prevention.
Bradshaw, C. P. (2015) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/a0039114 · Cited by 360 · see citing works
Schizophrenia Genesis: The Origins of Madness
Forman, S. D., & van Kammen, D. P. (1992) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/ajp.149.10.1401-a · Cited by 329 · see citing works
Promoting Positive Adult Functioning Through Social Development Intervention in Childhood
Hawkins, J. D., Kosterman, R., Catalano, R. F., Hemphill, S. A., & Abbott, R. D. (2005) · Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/archpedi.159.1.25 · Cited by 326 · see citing works
An Outcome Evaluation of the Implementation of the Triple P‐Positive Parenting Program in Hong Kong
Leung, C., Sanders, M. R., Leung, S., MAK, R., & Lau, J. T. F. (2003) · Family Process · doi:10.1111/j.1545-5300.2003.00531.x · Cited by 297 · see citing works
Initial Impact of the Fast Track Prevention Trial for Conduct Problems: II. Classroom Effects
Bierman, K. L., Coie, J. D., Dodge, K. A., Greenberg, M. T., Lochman, J. E., McMahon, R. J., & Pinderhughes, E. E. (1999) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Self-citationEffect of Home Visiting by Nurses on Maternal and Child Mortality
Olds, D. L., Kitzman, H. J., Knudtson, M. D., Anson, E. A., Smith, J. A. V. D. L., & Cole, R. (2014) · Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2014.472 · Cited by 283 · see citing works
Cohen, M. A., & Cohen, M. A. (2004) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.1093/obo/9780195396607-0076 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Stormshak, E. A., Connell, A. M., Véronneau, M., Myers, M. W., Dishion, T. J., Kavanagh, K., & Caruthers, A. S. (2011) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.2010.01551.x · Cited by 228 · see citing works
Bodenmann, G., Cina, A., Ledermann, T., & Sanders, M. R. (2008) · Behaviour Research and Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.brat.2008.01.001 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Dodge, K. A., Goodman, W. B., Murphy, R. A., O’Donnell, K., Sato, J., & Guptill, S. (2014) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2013.301361 · Cited by 181 · see citing works
Self-citationConduct Problems Prevention Research Group (2011) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.2010.01558.x · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Dishion, T. J., Brennan, L. M., Shaw, D. S., McEachern, A. D., Wilson, M. N., & Jo, B. (2013) · Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology · doi:10.1007/s10802-013-9768-2 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Randomised clinical trial of a group parent education programme for Australian Indigenous families
Turner, K., Richards, M., & Sanders, M. R. (2007) · Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health · doi:10.1111/j.1440-1754.2007.01053.x · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Morrell, C. J., Sutcliffe, P., Booth, A., Stevens, J., Scope, A., Stevenson, M., Harvey, R., Bessey, A., Cantrell, A., Dennis, C.-L., et al. (2016) · Health Technology Assessment · doi:10.3310/hta20370 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Weisz, J. R., Krumholz, L. S., Santucci, L. C., Thomassin, K., & Ng, M. Y. (2015) · Annual Review of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-clinpsy-032814-112820 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Can a Costly Intervention Be Cost-effective?
Foster, E. M. (2006) · Archives of General Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/archpsyc.63.11.1284 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
When Early Crime Prevention Goes to Scale: A New Look at the Evidence
Welsh, B. C., Sullivan, C. J., & Olds, D. L. (2009) · Prevention Science · doi:10.1007/s11121-009-0159-4 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
New Evidence on the Monetary Value of Saving a High Risk YouthPreprint
Cohen, M. A., & Piquero, A. R. (2007) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1077214 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
Boxer, P., Guerra, N. G., Huesmann, L. R., & Morales, J. R. (2005) · Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology · doi:10.1007/s10802-005-3568-2 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Diagnostic Strategies for Common Medical Problems.
(1991) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-114-9-821_9 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Hill, L. G., Coie, J. D., Lochman, J. E., & Greenberg, M. T. (2004) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-006x.72.5.809 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Standards of Evidence for Conducting and Reporting Economic Evaluations in Prevention Science
Crowley, D. M., Dodge, K. A., Barnett, W. S., Corso, P. S., Duffy, S. Q., Graham, P., Greenberg, M. H., Haskins, R., Hill, L. G., Jones, D. E., et al. (2018) · Prevention Science · doi:10.1007/s11121-017-0858-1 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Self-citationDodge, K. A., Bai, Y., Ladd, H. F., & Muschkin, C. G. (2016) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/cdev.12645 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Self-citationAn updated meta-analysis on the effect of peer tutoring on tutors’ achievement
Leung, K. C. (2018) · School Psychology International · doi:10.1177/0143034318808832 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Randomized Controlled Trial of Universal Postnatal Nurse Home Visiting: Impact on Emergency Care
Dodge, K. A., Goodman, W. B., Murphy, R. A., O’Donnell, K. J., & Sato, J. (2013) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2013-1021m · Cited by 77 · see citing works
Self-citationCradle to Kindergarten: A New Plan to Combat Inequality
Chaudry, A., Morrissey, T. W., Weiland, C., & Yoshikawa, H. (2017) · Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) · Cited by 66 · see citing works
The Durham Family Initiative: a preventive system of care.
Dodge, K. A., Berlin, L. J., Epstein, M. S., Spitz-Roth, A., O’Donnell, K. J., Kaufman, M., Amaya-Jackson, L. M., Rosch, J., & Christopoulos, C. (2004) · PubMed · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Self-citationCommunity intervention and public policy in the prevention of antisocial behavior
Dodge, K. A. (2009) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/j.1469-7610.2008.01985.x · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Self-citationRethinking the Definition of Evidence-Based Interventions to Promote Early Childhood Development
Shonkoff, J. P. (2017) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2017-3136 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Family Bereavement Program (FBP) approach to promoting resilience following the death of a parent
Sandler, I. N., Wolchik, S. A., Ayers, T. S., Tein, J.-Y., & Luecken, L. (2013) · Family Science · doi:10.1080/19424620.2013.821763 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
BENNETT, K. J., & Offord, D. R. (2001) · Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry · doi:10.1097/00004583-200112000-00012 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Toward population impact from early childhood psychological interventions.
Dodge, K. A. (2018) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/amp0000393 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Self-citationPrevention of Depression in At-Risk Adolescents: A Randomized Controlled Trial
Stockman, J. A. (2011) · Yearbook of Pediatrics · doi:10.1016/s0084-3954(09)79648-4 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Goodman, W. B., Dodge, K. A., Bai, Y., O’Donnell, K. J., & Murphy, R. A. (2019) · Development and Psychopathology · doi:10.1017/s0954579419000889 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Self-citationUniversal Reach at Birth: Family Connects
Dodge, K. A., & Goodman, W. B. (2019) · The Future of Children · doi:10.1353/foc.2019.0003 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Self-citationList, J. A., Momeni, F., & Zénou, Y. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3385107 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Tehrani‐Doost, M., Shahrivar, Z., Moharreri, F., et al. (2008) · DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) · Cited by 6 · see citing works
A Framework for Valuing Investments in a Nurturing Society: Opportunities for Prevention Research
Crowley, D. M., & Jones, D. E. (2017) · Clinical Child and Family Psychology Review · doi:10.1007/s10567-017-0228-3 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Can a Costly Intervention Be Cost-effective?: An Analysis of Violence Prevention
Foster, E. M. (2020) · Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) · doi:10.17615/cvzr-pf66 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
(2009)
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Hugh-Jones, S., Beckett, S., Tumelty, E., & Mallikarjun, P. (2021) · European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry · doi:10.1007/s00787-020-01564-x · Cited by 66 · see citing works
An observational study of Internet behaviours for adolescent females following sexual abuse
Noll, J. G., Haag, A.-C., Shenk, C. E., Wright, M. F., Barnes, J. E., Kohram, M., Malgaroli, M., Foley, D. J., Kouril, M., & Bonanno, G. A. (2021) · Nature Human Behaviour · doi:10.1038/s41562-021-01187-5 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Garcia-Lopez, L.-J., Jimenez-Vazquez, D., Muela-Martinez, J.-A., Piqueras, J. A., Espinosa-Fernandez, L., Canals-Sans, J., Vivas-Fernandez, M., Morales-Hidalgo, P., Diaz-Castela, M.-M., Rivera, M., et al. (2024) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-023-05421-3 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
“It has also been argued that indicated prevention programs may have the potential to be effective, given the greater potential scope of the change in symptoms (Dodge, 2020; Jiménez-Vázquez et al., in press).”
Moyes, E., Nutman, G., & Mirman, J. H. (2022) · Journal of Child & Adolescent Trauma · doi:10.1007/s40653-022-00454-5 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Russotti, J., Herd, T., Handley, E. D., Toth, S. L., & Noll, J. G. (2023) · Journal of Interpersonal Violence · doi:10.1177/08862605221138654 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“Our results align with recent efforts to utilize targeted intervention to identify and deliver services to subgroups of individuals who are at relatively high-risk based characteristics of the group (Dodge, 2020).”
ResultHirsig, A., Häfeli, X. A., & Schmidt, S. J. (2024) · Trials · doi:10.1186/s13063-024-08241-3 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“While universal and targeted prevention should be conceptualized as complementary approaches [22, 26], indicated prevention targeting individuals with minimal signs or symptoms of a mental disorder below the diagnostic threshold [22, 27] seems especially beneficial.”
Background
- Authors
- Dodge, K. A.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Dodge, Kenneth A.
- ORCID
- Dodge, Kenneth A.
- Venue
- Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-10-23
- Volume
- 61
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 255-267
- ISSN
- 0021-9630 (ISSN-L)
- 1469-7610
- OpenAlex
- W2982241607
- Cited by
- 95
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 9 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 1.69
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Maternal Mental Health During Pregnancy and Postpartum
- Keywords
- universal prevention, targeted prevention, mental illness, benefit-cost ratio, spillover effects, screening, sensitivity and specificity, developmental processes, intervention timing, risk severity, neuroplasticity, cost efficiency, population effects
- MeSH terms
- Mental Disorders, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Humans, Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care, Preventive Health Services, Patient Selection
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review