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Cited by 678

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 80 of the 80 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

International Stock Return Predictability: What Is the Role of the United States?

RAPACH, DAVID E., STRAUSS, JACK K., ZHOU, GUOFU·2013·The Journal of Finance

Abstract

We investigate lead‐lag relationships among monthly country stock returns and identify a leading role for the United States: lagged U.S. returns significantly predict returns in numerous non‐U.S. industrialized countries, while lagged non‐U.S. returns display limited predictive ability with respect to U.S. returns. We estimate a news‐diffusion model, and the results indicate that return shocks arising in the United States are only fully reflected in equity prices outside of the United States with a lag, consistent with a gradual information diffusion explanation of the predictive power of lagged U.S. returns.

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Research works printed but not linked: 7

  1. 10.1111/0022-1082.00231 · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00231
  2. 10.1093/rfs/6.3.527 · doi:10.1093/rfs/6.3.527
  3. 10.1007/s11222-010-9181-4 · doi:10.1007/s11222-010-9181-4
  4. 10.1111/j.1475-6803.1997.tb00259.x · doi:10.1111/j.1475-6803.1997.tb00259.x
  5. 10.1111/0022-1082.00133 · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00133
  6. 10.1016/j.jempfin.2004.02.003 · doi:10.1016/j.jempfin.2004.02.003
  7. Rizova Savina, 2010, Predictable trade flows and returns of trade‐linked countries, 10.2139/ssrn.1562697 · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1562697

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Metadata

Authors
RAPACH, D. E., STRAUSS, J. K., & ZHOU, G.
Venue
The Journal of Finance
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2013-07-16
Volume
68
Issue
4
Pages
1633-1662
ISSN
  • 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
  • 1540-6261
OpenAlex
W2319405822
Cited by
678
References
80
FWCI
63.40
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: International Stock Return Predictability: What Is the Role of the United States? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/jofi.12041
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RAPACH, D. E., STRAUSS, J. K., & ZHOU, G. (2013). International Stock Return Predictability: What Is the Role of the United States? The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12041

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.