Cited by 1,058Climate variability and modelsHydrology and Drought AnalysisAtmospheric aerosols and clouds

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Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales.

Giannini, A., Saravanan, R., Chang, P.·2003·Science

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Abstract

We present evidence, based on an ensemble of integrations with NSIPP1 (version 1 of the atmospheric general circulation model developed at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in the framework of the Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project) forced only by the observed record of sea surface temperature from 1930 to 2000, to suggest that variability of rainfall in the Sahel results from the response of the African summer monsoon to oceanic forcing, amplified by land-atmosphere interaction. The recent drying trend in the semiarid Sahel is attributed to warmer-than-average low-latitude waters around Africa, which, by favoring the establishment of deep convection over the ocean, weaken the continental convergence associated with the monsoon and engender widespread drought from Senegal to Ethiopia.

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Authors: Giannini, A., Saravanan, R., & Chang, P.
Affiliations: NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
ORCID: Giannini, A.
Saravanan, R.
Chang, P.
Venue: Science
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Published: 2003-11-07
Volume: 302
Issue: 5647
Pages: 1027-1030
ISSN: 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.1089357
OpenAlex: W2144927855
Cited by: 1,058
References: 34
Citations by year: 2026: 23 · 2025: 35 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 50 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 62 · 2019: 44 · 2018: 49 · 2017: 49 · 2016: 59 · 2015: 61 · 2014: 50 · 2013: 47 · 2012: 45
FWCI: 47.52
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Locations: Science (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
Keywords: ocean-atmosphere interaction, sea surface temperature forcing, land-atmosphere interactions, Sahel drought, deep convection, interannual variability, interdecadal variability, semi-arid climate

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Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales.

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