The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings
Open accessAbstract
Swine Flu Benchmark: The World Health Organization (WHO) announced on 29 April 2009, a level-5 pandemic alert for a strain of H1N1 influenza originating in pigs in Mexico and transmitting from human to human in several countries. Fraser et al. (p. 1557 , published online 11 May; see the cover) amassed a team of experts in Mexico and WHO to make an initial assessment of the outbreak with a view to guiding future policy. The outbreak appears to have originated in mid-February in the village of La Gloria, Veracruz, where over half the population suffered acute respiratory illness, affecting more than 61% of children under 15 years old in the community. The basic reproduction number (the number of people infected per patient) is in the range of 1.5—similar or less than that of the pandemics of 1918, 1957, and 1968. There remain significant uncertainties about the severity of this outbreak, which makes it difficult to compare the economic and societal costs of intervention with lives saved and the risks of generating antiviral resistance.
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A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics
Cori, A., Ferguson, N. M., Fraser, C., & Cauchemez, S. (2013) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwt133 · Cited by 1,530
“A wide range of methods have been proposed to estimate R from surveillance data (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) .”
BackgroundMethodSelf-citationThe Hidden Geometry of Complex, Network-Driven Contagion Phenomena
Brockmann, D., & Helbing, D. (2013) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1245200 · Cited by 1,253
Rubin, G. J., Amlot, R., Page, L., & Wessely, S. (2009) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.b2651 · Cited by 1,106
“11 People may fail to heed official advice conveyed through the media if they believe that this is "just another health scare." Secondly, many scientific uncertainties surround swine flu. 12 Such uncertainty may influence whether people undertake precautionary behaviours.”
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“25 Provided that all individuals in the population are susceptible to an infection, R0 number is the expected number of cases that can be generated from one case in the population (Fraser et al., 2009).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Fraser, C., Donnelly, C. A., Cauchemez, S., Hanage, W. P., Van Kerkhove, M. D., Hollingsworth, T. D., Griffin, J., Baggaley, R. F., Jenkins, H. E., Lyons, E. J., Jombart, T., Hinsley, W. R., Grassly, N. C., Balloux, F., Ghani, A. C., Ferguson, N. M., Rambaut, A., Pybus, O. G., Lopez-Gatell, H., Alpuche-Aranda, C. M., Chapela, I. B., Zavala, E. P., Guevara, D. M. E., Checchi, F., Garcia, E., Hugonnet, S., Roth, C., & The WHO Rapid Pandemic Assessment Collaboration
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2009-06-19
- Volume
- 324
- Issue
- 5934
- Pages
- 1557-1561
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2157725602
- Cited by
- 1,909
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 187.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1176062
- The paper
- Fraser, C., Donnelly, C. A., Cauchemez, S., Hanage, W. P., Van Kerkhove, M. D., Hollingsworth, T. D., Griffin, J., Baggaley, R. F., Jenkins, H. E., Lyons, E. J., Jombart, T., Hinsley, W. R., Grassly, N. C., Balloux, F., Ghani, A. C., Ferguson, N. M., Rambaut, A., Pybus, O. G., Lopez-Gatell, H., . . . The WHO Rapid Pandemic Assessment Collaboration. (2009). Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1176062
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.