The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate
Abstract
Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological and microevolutionary responses, experiments, and computational models, we review the insights that different approaches bring to anticipating and managing the biodiversity consequences of climate change, including the extent of species’ natural resilience. We introduce a framework that uses information from different sources to identify vulnerability and to support the design of conservation responses. Although much of the information reviewed is on species, our framework and conclusions are also applicable to ecosystems, habitats, ecological communities, and genetic diversity, whether terrestrial, marine, or fresh water.
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Cites
Ecological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840
Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Solomon, S., Plattner, G.-K., Knutti, R., & Friedlingstein, P. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0812721106 · Cited by 3,217
Novel climates, no‐analog communities, and ecological surprises
Williams, J. W., & Jackson, S. T. (2007) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/070037 · Cited by 1,736
Self-citationThe Impact of Conservation on the Status of the World’s Vertebrates
Hoffmann, M., Hilton-Taylor, C., Angulo, A., Böhm, M., Brooks, T. M., Butchart, S. H. M., Carpenter, K. E., Chanson, J., Collen, B., Cox, N. A., et al. (2010) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1194442 · Cited by 1,515
Self-citationJackson, S. T., & Sax, D. F. (2010) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2009.10.001 · Cited by 717
Self-citation
Cited by
Status and Ecological Effects of the World’s Largest Carnivores
Ripple, W. J., Estes, J. A., Beschta, R. L., Wilmers, C. C., Ritchie, E. G., Hebblewhite, M., Berger, J., Elmhagen, B., Letnic, M., Nelson, M. P., et al. (2014) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1241484 · Cited by 3,667
Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere
Barnosky, A. D., Hadly, E. A., Bascompte, J., Berlow, E. L., Brown, J. H., Fortelius, M., Getz, W. M., Harte, J., Hastings, A., Marquet, P. A., et al. (2012) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature11018 · Cited by 1,966
Foden, W. B., Butchart, S. H. M., Stuart, S. N., Vié, J.-C., Akçakaya, H. R., Angulo, A., DeVantier, L. M., Gutsche, A., Turak, E., Cao, L., et al. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0065427 · Cited by 988
Self-citationDeterminants of Risk: Exposure and Vulnerability
Cardona, O.-D., van Aalst, M. K., Birkmann, J., Fordham, M., McGregor, G., Perez, R., Pulwarty, R. S., Schipper, E. L. F., Sinh, B. T., Décamps, H., et al. (2012) · Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139177245.005 · Cited by 1,007
Global biodiversity change: The bad, the good, and the unknown
Pereira, H. M., Navarro, L. M., & Martins, I. S. (2012) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-042911-093511 · Cited by 777
Metadata
- Authors
- Dawson, T. P., Jackson, S. T., House, J. I., Prentice, I. C., & Mace, G. M.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2011-04
- Volume
- 332
- Issue
- 6025
- Pages
- 53-58
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2117930979
- Cited by
- 1,990
- References
- 7
- FWCI
- 82.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1200303
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- Dawson, T. P., Jackson, S. T., House, J. I., Prentice, I. C., & Mace, G. M. (2011). Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1200303
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
