The DOI matches its Crossref record.
The Real Power of Artificial Markets
Abstract
Assessing the probabilities of future events is a problem often faced by science policymakers. For example, CERN, the European laboratory for particle physics, recently had to judge whether the probability of discovering a Higgs boson was high enough to justify extending the operation of its collider (see Science,
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cited by
Predicting the future with social media
Asur, S., & Huberman, B. A. (2010) · 2010 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology · doi:10.1109/wi-iat.2010.63 · Cited by 2,081
Wolfers, J., & Zitzewitz, E. (2004) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/0895330041371321 · Cited by 889
Leveraging analytics to produce compelling and profitable film content
Behrens, R., Foutz, N. Z., Franklin, M., Funk, J., Gutierrez-Navratil, F., Hofmann, J., & Leibfried, U. (2021) · Journal of Cultural Economics · doi:10.1007/s10824-019-09372-1 · Cited by 39
Keeping Rumors in Proportion: Managing Uncertainty in Rumor Systems
Krafft, P. M., & Spiro, E. S. (2019) · Proceedings of the 2019 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems · doi:10.1145/3290605.3300876 · Cited by 9
Metadata
- Authors
- Pennock, D. M., Lawrence, S., Giles, C. L., & Nielsen, F. Å.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2001-02-09
- Volume
- 291
- Issue
- 5506
- Pages
- 987-988
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W1972265965
- Cited by
- 185
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 4.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Real Power of Artificial Markets. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.291.5506.987
- The paper
- Pennock, D. M., Lawrence, S., Giles, C. L., & Nielsen, F. Å. (2001). The Real Power of Artificial Markets. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.291.5506.987
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.