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Cited by 130Demographic Trends and Gender PreferencesReproductive Health and ContraceptionFamily Dynamics and Relationships

High Sex Ratios in China's Future

Tuljapurkar, Shripad, Li, Nan, Feldman, Marcus W.·1995·Science
DOI 10.1126/science.7846529
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Abstract

In China in recent years, male live births have exceeded those of females by amounts far greater than those that occur naturally in human populations, a trend with significant demographic consequences. The resulting imbalance in the first-marriage market is estimated to be about 1 million males per year after 2010. These "excess" males were not easily accommodated in models with substantial changes in first-marriage patterns. The current sex ratio at birth has little effect on a couple's probability of having at least one son, so future increases in the sex ratio may well occur, especially given increasing access to sex-selective abortion.

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Crossref · 10.1126/science.7846529

Cites

20 of 20 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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  • The shortage of women in China may have increased mental health problems and socially disruptive behavior among men and has left some men unable to marry and have a family.

    “The shortage of women may have increased mental health problems and socially disruptive behavior among men and has left some men unable to marry and have a family. 24”

    From The Effect of China's One-Child Family Policy after 25 Years (2005) · cites this paper as [24]

  • Many countries have had substantial declines in fertility during the past 25 years, and China's neighbors in East Asia have some of the lowest total fertility rates in the world: 1.04 in Singapore, 1.38 in Japan, and 0.91 in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.

    “In addition, many countries have had substantial declines in fertility during the past 25 years, and China's neighbors in East Asia have some of the lowest total fertility rates in the world: 1.04 in Singapore, 1.38 in Japan, and 0.91 in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. 17”

    From The Effect of China's One-Child Family Policy after 25 Years (2005) · cites this paper as [17]

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Authors
Tuljapurkar, S., Li, N., & Feldman, M. W.
Affiliations
  • Stanford University (US)
  • Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN)
ORCID
Venue
Science
Publisher
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Published
1995-02-10
Volume
267
Issue
5199
Pages
874-876
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
DOI
10.1126/science.7846529
OpenAlex
W1975063875
Cited by
130
References
20
Citations by year
2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 7
FWCI
11.53
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Science (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DigitalGeorgetown (Georgetown University Library) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Institutes of Health (5r01hd016640-10)
  • Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (HD16640)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
Keywords
sex ratio at birth, sex-selective abortion, son preference, fertility decline, gender imbalance, China
MeSH terms
China, Female, Fertility, Forecasting, Humans, Male, Marriage, Probability, Sex Ratio

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