The DOI matches its Crossref record; 21 of the 21 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems
Open accessAbstract
A warming limit for the Mediterranean basin: Pollen cores from sediments provide rich detail on the history of vegetation and climate in the Mediterranean during the Holocene (the most recent ~10,000 years). Guiot and Cramer used this information as a baseline against which to compare predictions of future climate and vegetation under different climate-change scenarios. Vegetation and land-use systems observed in the Holocene records may persist under a 1.5°C warming above preindustrial temperature levels. A 2°C warming, however, is likely over the next century to produce ecosystems in the Mediterranean basin that have no analog in the past 10,000 years. Science , this issue p. 465
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Updated high‐resolution grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3 .10 Dataset
Harris, I., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., & Lister, D. H. (2014) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3711 · Cited by 6,094
The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
Meinshausen, M., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M. L. T., Lamarque, J.-F., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z · Cited by 3,584
Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought
Kelley, C. P., Mohtadi, S., Cane, M. A., Seager, R., & Kushnir, Y. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1421533112 · Cited by 1,379
Holocene carbon-cycle dynamics based on CO2 trapped in ice at Taylor Dome, Antarctica
Indermühle, A., Stocker, T. F., Joos, F., Fischer, H., Smith, H. J., Wahlen, M., Deck, B., Mastroianni, D., Tschumi, J., Blunier, T., et al. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/18158 · Cited by 760
Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets
Seneviratne, S. I., Donat, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Knutti, R., & Wilby, R. L. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature16542 · Cited by 743
Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J., Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., et al. (2016) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016 · Cited by 680
Niche properties and geographical extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change
Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., & Araújo, M. B. (2005) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1466-822x.2005.00162.x · Cited by 637
Wet season Mediterranean precipitation variability: influence of large-scale dynamics and trends
Xoplaki, E., González-Rouco, J. F., Luterbacher, J., & Wanner, H. (2004) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0422-0 · Cited by 606
Kaplan, J. O., Bigelow, N. H., Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S. P., Bartlein, P. J., Christensen, T. R., Cramer, W., Matveyeva, N. V., McGuire, A. D., Murray, D. F., et al. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002559 · Cited by 548
Self-citation
Cited by
Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean
Cramer, W., Guiot, J., Fader, M., Garrabou, J., Gattuso, J.-P., Iglesias, A., Lange, M. A., Lionello, P., Llasat, M. C., Paz, S., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2 · Cited by 1,540
Self-citation1.5°C Hotspots: Climate Hazards, Vulnerabilities, and Impacts
Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., D'haen, S., Hare, W., Lissner, T., Ly, M., Nauels, A., Noblet, M., Pfleiderer, P., Pringle, P., et al. (2018) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025835 · Cited by 45
Metadata
- Authors
- Guiot, J., & Cramer, W.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2016-10-28
- Volume
- 354
- Issue
- 6311
- Pages
- 465-468
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2545251724
- Cited by
- 336
- References
- 21
- FWCI
- 16.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.aah5015
- The paper
- Guiot, J., & Cramer, W. (2016). Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aah5015
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.