Deaths from pertussis are underestimated in England
Open accessAbstract
AIMS: To improve estimates of deaths from pertussis in England and to identify reasons for under ascertainment. METHODS: Comparison of deaths identified from enhanced laboratory pertussis surveillance, hospital episode statistics (HES), and Office for National Statistics (ONS) death registrations in England, 1994 to 1999. RESULTS: A total of 33 deaths were identified, 88% of infants less than 4 months old. There was overlap between all sources; 22 deaths were identified in the enhanced pertussis surveillance system, 18 in ONS mortality data, and nine in HES. Children who had died from pertussis without mention of pertussis on the death certificate were more likely to have been certified by coroners than those with mention of pertussis (p = 0.0005). Using capture-recapture analysis, the total number of deaths from pertussis in the five and a half year period is estimated to be 46 (95% CI 37 to 71), or around nine deaths per year. CONCLUSIONS: National mortality statistics significantly under estimate deaths from pertussis in England and are inadequate for monitoring the national immunisation programme. The largest number of deaths is identified through enhanced laboratory surveillance. Death registration systems should take into account available microbiological information to ensure that cause of death is accurately assigned.
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There is systematic misclassification of deaths in cause-of-death data sources, particularly for congenital syphilis, whooping cough, measles, and HIV/AIDS.
“Second, there is systematic misclassification of deaths in cause of death data sources, particularly for congenital syphilis,53,54 whooping cough,55 measles,56 and HIV/AIDS.57”
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- Authors
- Crowcroft, N. S.
- Affiliations
- Office for National Statistics (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Crowcroft, N S
- Venue
- Archives of Disease in Childhood
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2002-05-01
- Volume
- 86
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 336-338
- ISSN
- 0003-9888 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-2044
- PMC
- PMC1751114
- OpenAlex
- W2128448588
- Semantic Scholar
- 0db592721f675273c121f2fef91a5fc885f62c0e
- Cited by
- 113
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 3 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 4 · 2014: 4 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 6.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Archives of Disease in Childhood (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Microbiology › Bacterial Infections and Vaccines
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Endocrinology › Diphtheria, Corynebacterium, and Tetanus
- Keywords
- pertussis, pertussis mortality, under-ascertainment, death certification, causes of death, mark-recapture, Hospital Episode Statistics, death registration, infant mortality, England
- MeSH terms
- Cause of Death, Death Certificates, England, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Registries, Sensitivity and Specificity, Whooping Cough
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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