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Mortality risk during and after opioid substitution treatment: systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.
Open accessAbstract
Objective To compare the risk for all cause and overdose mortality in people with opioid dependence during and after substitution treatment with methadone or buprenorphine and to characterise trends in risk of mortality after initiation and cessation of treatment. Design Systematic review and meta-analysis. Data sources Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, and LILACS to September 2016. Study selection Prospective or retrospective cohort studies in people with opioid dependence that reported deaths from all causes or overdose during follow-up periods in and out of opioid substitution treatment with methadone or buprenorphine. Data extraction and synthesis Two independent reviewers performed data extraction and assessed study quality. Mortality rates in and out of treatment were jointly combined across methadone or buprenorphine cohorts by using multivariate random effects meta-analysis. Results There were 19 eligible cohorts, following 122 885 people treated with methadone over 1.3-13.9 years and 15 831 people treated with buprenorphine over 1.1-4.5 years. Pooled all cause mortality rates were 11.3 and 36.1 per 1000 person years in and out of methadone treatment (unadjusted out-to-in rate ratio 3.20, 95% confidence interval 2.65 to 3.86) and reduced to 4.3 and 9.5 in and out of buprenorphine treatment (2.20, 1.34 to 3.61). In pooled trend analysis, all cause mortality dropped sharply over the first four weeks of methadone treatment and decreased gradually two weeks after leaving treatment. All cause mortality remained stable during induction and remaining time on buprenorphine treatment. Overdose mortality evolved similarly, with pooled overdose mortality rates of 2.6 and 12.7 per 1000 person years in and out of methadone treatment (unadjusted out-to-in rate ratio 4.80, 2.90 to 7.96) and 1.4 and 4.6 in and out of buprenorphine treatment. Conclusions Retention in methadone and buprenorphine treatment is associated with substantial reductions in the risk for all cause and overdose mortality in people dependent on opioids. The induction phase onto methadone treatment and the time immediately after leaving treatment with both drugs are periods of particularly increased mortality risk, which should be dealt with by both public health and clinical strategies to mitigate such risk. These findings are potentially important, but further research must be conducted to properly account for potential confounding and selection bias in comparisons of mortality risk between opioid substitution treatments, as well as throughout periods in and out of each treatment.
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“The monthly rate of overdose among individuals treated with transmucosal buprenorphine or extended-release buprenorphine is 2.72 per 1000 people.4,32”
From Economic Evaluation of Extended-Release Buprenorphine for Persons With Opioid Use Disorder (2023) · cites this paper as [4]
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“Evidence shows that medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) are a tool that helps reduce opioid-related overdose mortality.2,3,4”
From Economic Evaluation of Extended-Release Buprenorphine for Persons With Opioid Use Disorder (2023) · cites this paper as [4]
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“, 2017), and individuals who discontinue buprenorphine appear to be at higher risk for a fatal opioid overdose in the period after stopping buprenorphine (Sordo et al., 2017; Williams et al., 2020).”
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“Abbreviations CI Confidence interval CPR Cardio pulmonary resuscitation EMCDDA European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction HCV Hepatitis C virus HIV Human immunodeficiency virus HR Hazard ratio I.m Intramuscular Inf Care NSP Inf Care needle syringe program IRR Incidence risk ratio NSP Needle and syringe pr…”
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The patient with substance use disorder
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Quantifying enhanced risk from alcohol and other factors in polysubstance-related deaths
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“, incarceration, receiving medication-assisted treatment) might increase the risk of overdose from a given intake [35].”
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LEVIN, F. R., Mariani, J. J., Pavlicová, M., Choi, C. J., Basaraba, C. N., Mahony, A. L., Brooks, D. J., Naqvi, N. H., & Bisaga, A. M. (2021) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2020.108482 · Cited by 11
“Repeatedly, data have demonstrated that maintenance treatment with buprenorphine and methadone reduces overdose risk by 70–80% (Kakko et al., 2003; Lee et al., 2018; Sordo et al., 2017).”
Health economic analyses of the justice community opioid innovation network (JCOIN)
Murphy, S. M., Laiteerapong, N., Pho, M. T., Ryan, D., Montoya, I. D., Shireman, T. I., Huang, E. S., & McCollister, K. E. (2021) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2020.108262 · Cited by 11
Herlinger, K., & Lingford-Hughes, A. R. (2021) · BJPsych Advances · doi:10.1192/bja.2020.98 · Cited by 11
“Undoubtedly this ‘ harm minimisation approach ’ using OST with psychosocial support has been highly effective in improving health and social functioning in opiate addiction (Lingford-Hughes 2012; Schuckit 2016; Sordo 2017).”
InfluentialGabrhelík, R., Handal, M., Mravčík, V., Nechanská, B., Tjagvad, C., Thylstrup, B., Hesse, M., Minařík, J., Jarkovský, J., Bukten, A., et al. (2021) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047028 · Cited by 11
Gertner, A. K., Rotter, J., Holly, M., Shea, C. M., Green, S. L., & Domino, M. E. (2021) · Journal of Addiction Medicine · doi:10.1097/adm.0000000000000860 · Cited by 11
Buprenorphine abuse and health risks in Iran: A systematic review
Ansari, M., Abadi, Y. R., Baheshmat, S., Hamzehzadeh, M., Gholami, J., Mojtabai, R., & Rahimi‐Movaghar, A. (2021) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2021.108871 · Cited by 11
Brothers, T. D., Fraser, J., MacAdam, E., Morgan, B. E., & Webster, D. (2021) · Drug and Alcohol Review · doi:10.1111/dar.13365 · Cited by 11
Hall, N. Y., Le, L. K., Majmudar, I. K., Teesson, M., & Mihalopoulos, C. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0258620 · Cited by 12
“Evidence supports opioid agonist treatment (OAT) in terms of reduced illicit opioid use as well as mortality and crime [10, 11]; however, the treatment-seeking behaviour of those with OUD is low.”
BackgroundKurz, M., Dale, L. M., Min, J. E., Hongdilokkul, N., Greiner, L. E., Olley, M., McLeod, K., Slaunwhite, A., & Nosyk, B. (2021) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.15737 · Cited by 11
Interim opioid agonist treatment for opioid addiction: a systematic review
Jofra, L. S., Puig, T., Solà, I., & Trujols, J. (2022) · Harm Reduction Journal · doi:10.1186/s12954-022-00592-x · Cited by 11
Comparison Between Preoperative Methadone and Buprenorphine Use on Postoperative Opioid Requirement
Komatsu, R., Nash, M., Peperzak, K. A., Ziga, T. M., Dinges, E. M., Delgado, C., Wu, J., Terman, G. W., & Dale, R. (2022) · Clinical Journal of Pain · doi:10.1097/ajp.0000000000001019 · Cited by 12
“Patients were excluded from the study if they: (1) received intravenous patient-controlled analgesia or epidural analgesia containing opioids during the first 48 postoperative hours (as opioid doses administered through those routes were not documented in our electronic medical record and are not retrievable with manu…”
BackgroundMethodDorgay, C. E., Bromberg, D. J., Doltu, S., Litz, T., de Leon, S. J. G., Polonsky, M., Dvoryak, S., & Altice, F. L. (2022) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2022.103683 · Cited by 11
Cascade of care for office-based buprenorphine treatment in Bronx community clinics
Khalid, L., Cunningham, C. O., Deng, Y., Masyukova, M., Bumol, J., Valle, A., Zhang, C., & Lu, T. Y. (2022) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2022.108778 · Cited by 11
The Potential of Methocinnamox as a Future Treatment for Opioid Use Disorder: A Narrative Review
Jordan, C., Kennalley, A. L., Dolma, T., Nemes, K. M., Roberts, A., & Piper, B. J. (2022) · Pharmacy · doi:10.3390/pharmacy10030048 · Cited by 11
“Methadone and buprenorphine are substitution treatments that substantially reduce opioid deaths during treatment, but immediately following cessation of treatment, the mortality risk notably increases [18].”
BackgroundInfluentialMarsch, L. A., Chen, C.-H., Adams, S. R., Asyyed, A. H., Does, M. B., Hassanpour, S., Hichborn, E. G., Jackson-Morris, M., Jacobson, N. C., Jones, H. K., et al. (2022) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2022.871916 · Cited by 12
Yu, M., & Hawk, K. F. (2022) · AEM Education and Training · doi:10.1002/aet2.10779 · Cited by 11
Sud, A., Strang, M., Buchman, D. Z., Spithoff, S. M., Upshur, R. E. G., Webster, F., & Grundy, Q. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-059561 · Cited by 11
Rapid Low-dose Buprenorphine Initiation for Hospitalized Patients With Opioid Use Disorder
Sokolski, E., Skogrand, E., Goff, A., & Englander, H. L. (2023) · Journal of Addiction Medicine · doi:10.1097/adm.0000000000001133 · Cited by 11
Treitler, P. C., Nowels, M., Samples, H., & Crystal, S. (2023) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.12030 · Cited by 11
Winiker, A. K., Schneider, K. E., White, R. H., O’Rourke, A., Grieb, S. M. D., & Allen, S. T. (2023) · Harm Reduction Journal · doi:10.1186/s12954-023-00795-w · Cited by 11
Falade-Nwulia, O. O., Agee, T., Kelly, S. M., Park, J. N., Schwartz, S., Hsu, J., Schweizer, N. P., Jones, J. L., Keruly, J. C., Shah, N., et al. (2023) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2023.104191 · Cited by 11
Livingston, N. A., Sarpong, A., Sistad, R. E., Roth, C. E., Banducci, A. N., Simpson, T. L., Hyde, J. K., Davenport, M. J., & Weisberg, R. B. (2023) · Journal of Substance Use and Addiction Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.josat.2023.209188 · Cited by 11
‘We’re Gonna Be Addressing Your Pepsi Use’
Frank, D. (2019) · Journal of Extreme Anthropology · doi:10.5617/jea.6737 · Cited by 11
Smolina, K., Crabtree, A., Chong, M., Park, M., Mill, C., Zhao, B., & Schütz, C. G. (2020) · Substance Abuse · doi:10.1080/08897077.2020.1748162 · Cited by 11
Geddes, L., Iversen, J., Wand, H. C., & Maher, L. (2020) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.15168 · Cited by 11
Financing Buprenorphine Treatment in Primary Care: A Microsimulation Model
Fried, J. E., Basu, S., Phillips, R. S., & Landon, B. E. (2020) · The Annals of Family Medicine · doi:10.1370/afm.2587 · Cited by 11
“our interviews of selected practices and from national practice data sets (sources listed in Tables 1-3) and then simulated costs as well as gross and net revenues per full-time physician for each of the following 4 practice subgroups: (1) FQHCs and FQHC look-alikes, (2) non-FQHC practices in high-poverty urban areas…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialCategorization of Opioid Use Among Pregnant People and Association With Overdose or Death
Camden, A., To, T. M., Ray, J. G., Gomes, T., Bai, L., & Guttmann, A. (2022) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.14688 · Cited by 12
Conway, K. P., Khoury, D. Y., Hilscher, R., Aldridge, A., Parker, S. J., & Zarkin, G. A. (2022) · Addiction Science & Clinical Practice · doi:10.1186/s13722-021-00282-2 · Cited by 10
Medication for opioid use disorder in the Arab World: A systematic review
Alawa, J., Muhammad, M. I., Kazemitabar, M., Bromberg, D. J., Garcia, D., Khoshnood, K., & Ghandour, L. A. (2022) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2022.103617 · Cited by 10
Smart, R., Kim, J. Y., Kennedy, S., Tang, L., Allen, L., Crane, D. A., Mack, A., Mohamoud, S., Pauly, N., Perez, R., et al. (2022) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2022.108921 · Cited by 10
“Table 3 presents results for continuity of MOUD treatment, which we consider a proxy indicator for treatment quality given the welldocumented relationship between longer treatment duration and better patient outcomes (Samples et al., 2020; Sordo et al., 2017).”
BackgroundRudolph, J. E., Cepeda, J., Astemborski, J. A., Kirk, G. D., Mehta, S. H., & Genberg, B. L. (2023) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2023.104120 · Cited by 10
A Guide to Expanding the Use of Buprenorphine Beyond Standard Initiations for Opioid Use Disorder
Miller, J. C., Brooks, M. A., Wurzel, K. E., Cox, E. J., & Wurzel, J. F. (2023) · Drugs in R&D · doi:10.1007/s40268-023-00443-5 · Cited by 11
“Despite these risks, data suggest that OUD patients taking buprenorphine have a 50% lower all-cause mortality compared with patients who have discontinued buprenorphine [96].”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialRodger, L., Nader, M., Turner, S., & Lurie, E. (2023) · European journal of medical research · doi:10.1186/s40001-023-01538-0 · Cited by 10
“Retention in treatment to an opioid agonist therapy reduce in mortality for those with opioid use disorder [18].”
BackgroundMcKellar, M., Marais, A. C. D., Chen, H., Choi, Y., Lilly, R., Ayers, D., Bennett, J., Kestner, L., Perry, B., Poley, S., et al. (2024) · Harm Reduction Journal · doi:10.1186/s12954-024-00983-2 · Cited by 10
“MOUD with methadone or buprenorphine (the latter often formulated in combination with nalox - one) has been shown to significantly improve treatment retention compared to abstinence-based treatment, and to reduce overdoses and death [13, 14].”
BackgroundReducing overdose deaths among persons with opioid use disorder in connecticut
Scheidell, J. D., Townsend, T., Zhou, Q., Manandhar-Sasaki, P., Rodriguez-Santana, R., Jenkins, M. G., Buchelli, M., Charles, D. L., Frechette, J. M., Su, J. I.-S., et al. (2024) · Harm Reduction Journal · doi:10.1186/s12954-024-01026-6 · Cited by 12
“People with OUD are at increased risk of mortality due to overdose [18, 19], and treatment with medications for OUD (MOUD) such as methadone and buprenorphine greatly reduces overdose risk [20–22].”
BackgroundGlancy, M., Palmateer, N. E., Yeung, A., Hickman, M., Macleod, J., Bishop, J., Barnsdale, L. R., Trayner, K. M. A., Priyadarshi, S., Wallace, J., et al. (2024) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2024.116028 · Cited by 10
“There is strong evidence demonstrating the protective effect of opioid-agonist treatment (OAT) in preventing DRDs (Santo et al., 2021), notwithstanding elevated DRD risk in periods immediately after OAT onset and cessation (Sordo et al., 2017; Lim et al., 2022).”
BackgroundChambers, L. C., Li, Y., Hallowell, B. D., Langdon, K. J., Samuels, E. A., Mahoney, L., Beaudoin, F. L., & Marshall, B. D. L. (2024) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.16581 · Cited by 10
Harm Reduction in the Field: First Responders’ Perceptions of Opioid Overdose Interventions
Fockele, C. E., Frohe, T. M., McBride, O., Perlmutter, D. L., Goh, B. Y., Williams, G., Wettemann, C., Holland, N., Finegood, B., Oliphant-Wells, T., et al. (2024) · Western Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.5811/westjem.18033 · Cited by 10
Metadata
- Authors
- Sordo, L., Barrio, G., Bravo, M. J., Indave, B. I., Degenhardt, L., Wiessing, L., Ferri, M., & Pastor-Barriuso, R.
- Affiliations
- Universidad Complutense de Madrid (ES)
- Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ES)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (PT)
- Corresponding author
- Barrio, Gregorio
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2017-04-26
- Volume
- 357
- Pages
- j1550
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- 0959-8138
- PMC
- PMC5421454
- OpenAlex
- W2608446001
- Cited by
- 1,816
- References
- 76
- Citations by year
- 2026: 156 · 2025: 194 · 2024: 201 · 2023: 239 · 2022: 228 · 2021: 261 · 2020: 213 · 2019: 187 · 2018: 99 · 2017: 32
- FWCI
- 23.58
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Opioid Use Disorder Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk
- Keywords
- opioid substitution therapy, methadone, buprenorphine, opioid use disorder, all-cause mortality, drug overdose deaths, treatment retention, treatment discontinuation, harm reduction, opioid antagonists
- MeSH terms
- Buprenorphine, Humans, Methadone, Opioid-Related Disorders, Narcotics, Risk, Opiate Substitution Treatment, Drug Overdose
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