Treatment effects in randomised trials using routinely collected data for outcome assessment versus traditional trials: meta-research study
Open accessAbstract
Objective: To compare effect estimates of randomised clinical trials that use routinely collected data (RCD-RCT) for outcome ascertainment with traditional trials not using routinely collected data. Design: Meta-research study. Data source: Studies included in the same meta-analysis in a Cochrane review. Eligibility criteria for study selection: Randomised clinical trials using any type of routinely collected data for outcome ascertainment, including from registries, electronic health records, and administrative databases, that were included in a meta-analysis of a Cochrane review on any clinical question and any health outcome together with traditional trials not using routinely collected data for outcome measurement. Review methods: Effect estimates from trials using or not using routinely collected data were summarised in random effects meta-analyses. Agreement of (summary) treatment effect estimates from trials using routinely collected data and those not using such data was expressed as the ratio of odds ratios. Subgroup analyses explored effects in trials based on different types of routinely collected data. Two investigators independently assessed the quality of each data source. Results: 84 RCD-RCTs and 463 traditional trials on 22 clinical questions were included. Trials using routinely collected data for outcome ascertainment showed 20% less favourable treatment effect estimates than traditional trials (ratio of odds ratios 0.80, 95% confidence interval 0.70 to 0.91, I 2 =14%). Results were similar across various types of outcomes (mortality outcomes: 0.92, 0.74 to 1.15, I 2 =12%; non-mortality outcomes: 0.71, 0.60 to 0.84, I 2 =8%), data sources (electronic health records: 0.81, 0.59 to 1.11, I 2 =28%; registries: 0.86, 0.75 to 0.99, I 2 =20%; administrative data: 0.84, 0.72 to 0.99, I 2 =0%), and data quality (high data quality: 0.82, 0.72 to 0.93, I 2 =0%). Conclusions: Randomised clinical trials using routinely collected data for outcome ascertainment show smaller treatment benefits than traditional trials not using routinely collected data. These differences could have implications for healthcare decision making and the application of real world evidence.
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Routinely collected data, such as from administrative databases, are increasingly used for data collection in randomised trials, although they may be associated with reduced effect estimates.
“Routinely collected data, such as from administrative databases, are increasingly used for data collection in randomised trials, although they may be associated with reduced effect estimates.389”
From SPIRIT 2025 explanation and elaboration: updated guideline for protocols of randomised trials (2025) · cites this paper as [389]
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COVID-19: A Catalyst for Transforming Randomized Trials
Lee, J., Price, J. C., Jackson, W. M., Whittington, R. A., & Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2021) · Journal of Neurosurgical Anesthesiology · doi:10.1097/ana.0000000000000804 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
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Research methods for the clinical surgeon
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High variability of COVID-19 case fatality rate in GermanyPreprint
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High Variability of COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate in GermanyPreprint
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Case Study: Treating Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease with Omeprazole
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“Can It Work? Does It Work? Is It Worth It?”
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„Real World“ und RCT – Gegen- oder Miteinander?
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- Authors
- Mc Cord, K. A., Ewald, H., Agarwal, A., Glinz, D., Aghlmandi, S., Ioannidis, J. P. A., & Hemkens, L. G.
- Affiliations
- University of Basel (CH)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- Stanford Medicine (US)
- Corresponding author
- Hemkens, Lars G
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2021-03-03
- Volume
- 372
- Pages
- n450
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7926294
- OpenAlex
- W3135675140
- Cited by
- 61
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 14
- FWCI
- 6.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- edoc (University of Basel) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Keywords
- administrative data, randomized controlled trials, outcome ascertainment, electronic health records, health registries, treatment effect estimates, real-world evidence, data quality, mortality
- MeSH terms
- Routinely Collected Health Data, Humans, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Outcome Assessment, Health Care
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