Effect of a sepsis prediction algorithm on patient mortality, length of stay and readmission: a prospective multicentre clinical outcomes evaluation of real-world patient data from US hospitals
Open accessAbstract
Background: Severe sepsis and septic shock are among the leading causes of death in the USA. While early prediction of severe sepsis can reduce adverse patient outcomes, sepsis remains one of the most expensive conditions to diagnose and treat. Objective: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of a machine learning algorithm for severe sepsis prediction on in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay and 30-day readmission. Design: Prospective clinical outcomes evaluation. Setting: Evaluation was performed on a multiyear, multicentre clinical data set of real-world data containing 75 147 patient encounters from nine hospitals across the continental USA, ranging from community hospitals to large academic medical centres. Participants: Analyses were performed for 17 758 adult patients who met two or more systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria at any point during their stay (‘sepsis-related’ patients). Interventions: Machine learning algorithm for severe sepsis prediction. Outcome measures: In-hospital mortality, length of stay and 30-day readmission rates. Results: Hospitals saw an average 39.5% reduction of in-hospital mortality, a 32.3% reduction in hospital length of stay and a 22.7% reduction in 30-day readmission rate for sepsis-related patient stays when using the machine learning algorithm in clinical outcomes analysis. Conclusions: Reductions of in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay and 30-day readmissions were observed in real-world clinical use of the machine learning-based algorithm. The predictive algorithm may be successfully used to improve sepsis-related outcomes in live clinical settings. Trial registration number: NCT03960203
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All 9 papers reported decreased mortality, be that all-cause, sepsis-related or both, although this was statistically significant only for 5 studies.
“All 9 papers34,44,46,50,52,58–61 reported decreased mortality, be that all-cause, sepsis-related or both, although this was statistically significant only for 5 studies”
From Deployment of machine learning algorithms to predict sepsis: systematic review and application of the SALIENT clinical AI implementation framework (2023) · cites this paper as [61]
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“The prime purpose for implementing sepsis MLAs varied which in turn determined how they were trained and evaluated (D3),(43) with evaluation metrics and success criteria varying depending on whether increasing sepsis care bundle compliance,(50) providing a sepsis detection and management system,(41) reducing anti-micr…”
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- Authors
- Burdick, H., Pino, E., Gabel-Comeau, D., McCoy, A., Gu, C., Roberts, J., Le, S., Slote, J., Pellegrini, E., Green-Saxena, A., Hoffman, J., & Das, R.
- Affiliations
- Cabell Huntington Hospital (US)
- Cape May Regional Medical Center, Cape May Court House, New Jersey, USA
- Dascena (United States) (US)
- Dascena Inc, Oakland, California, USA
- Corresponding author
- Hoffman, Jana
- ORCID
- Venue
- BMJ Health & Care Informatics
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2020-04
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- e100109
- ISSN
- 2632-1009 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7245419
- OpenAlex
- W3023171249
- Cited by
- 80
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 2
- FWCI
- 7.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ Health & Care Informatics (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (1R43TR002221, 1R43TR002309)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Acute Kidney Injury Research
- Keywords
- severe sepsis, septic shock, sepsis prediction, machine learning algorithms, in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, 30-day readmission, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, clinical outcomes, real-world data
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Algorithms, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Length of Stay, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Readmission, Prospective Studies, United States, Databases, Factual, Hospital Mortality, Sepsis, Young Adult
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