Global trends in inappropriate use of antibiotics, 2000–2021: scoping review and prevalence estimates
Open accessAbstract
Introduction: Inappropriate antibiotic use is a major driver of antimicrobial resistance. However, the scope of literature and its prevalence across world regions remain largely unknown, as do the most common indicators and study designs used. In this study, we summarised the current literature on inappropriate use of antibiotics by world regions. We also provided the first global estimates of the overall amount of antibiotics that are potentially used inappropriately each year. Methods: We considered both patient and provider-mediated inappropriate antibiotic use. We reviewed 412 studies published between 2000 and 2021 and used beta regression and marginal contrasts to compare prevalence of inappropriate use by study design, indicator, world region, and national income level. Country-level sales of antibiotics from 2022 were combined with inappropriate antibiotic use estimates derived from two study designs (clinical audits and patient interviews) and one indicator (lack of indication) to estimate the amount of antibiotics inappropriately used globally. Results: Clinical audits (50.1%, 208/412) and ‘non-prescription’ use (37.1%, 153/412) were the most common study design and indicator, respectively, used to estimate inappropriate antibiotic use. Inappropriate antibiotic use prevalence was ~6% higher in low-income and middle-income than in high-income countries. However, this difference disappeared after accounting for a proxy of access to care: physicians per capita. Globally, based on clinical audits, patient interviews and lack of indication, the estimated proportion of inappropriate antibiotic use was 29.5%, 36.5% and 30.8%, respectively, with an average of ~30% (~13 000 000 kg) the equivalent of the annual antibiotic consumption in China. Conclusions: Inappropriate antibiotic use is highly prevalent across all countries regardless of national income level, with a third of global antibiotic consumption potentially due to unnecessary prescription (‘lack of indication’). Antibiotic stewardship efforts and defining internationally standardised indicators are needed to track progress in reducing the occurrence of inappropriate antibiotic use where necessary, as well as identifying gaps in access to care.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Decisions based solely on clinical observation or fever risk increase inappropriate antibiotic use.
“Decisions based solely on clinical observation or fever risk increase inappropriate antibiotic use (25, 46).”
From Understanding antibiotic decision-making for bovine respiratory disease: a survey of UK farm veterinarians (2026) · cites this paper as [46]
The Discussion (page unavailable) says lack or underuse of diagnostic services may contribute to inappropriate non-prescription antibiotic use. That lends limited support to the concern about decisions made without diagnostics, but the paper does not identify decisions based solely on clinical observation or fever risk as causes, and its statement is hedged rather than definitive. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Llor, C., & Bjerrum, L. (2014) · Therapeutic Advances in Drug Safety · doi:10.1177/2042098614554919 · Cited by 2,079 · see citing works
Consumption of systemic antibiotics in India in 2019
Koya, S. F., Ganesh, S., Selvaraj, S., Wirtz, V. J., Galea, S., & Rockers, P. C. (2022) · The Lancet Regional Health - Southeast Asia · doi:10.1016/j.lansea.2022.100025 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Bortone, B., Jackson, C., Hsia, Y., Bielicki, J., Magrini, N., & Sharland, M. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0241899 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 31
- [1]Karakonstantis S Kalemaki D Antimicrobial overuse and misuse in the community in Greece and link to antimicrobial resistance using methicillin-resistant S. aureus as an example J Infect Public Health 2019 12 460 4 10.1016/j.jiph.2019.03.017 30981652 · DOI
- [2]Vibet M-A Roux J Montassier E et al Systematic analysis of the relationship between antibiotic use and extended-spectrum beta-lactamase resistance in Enterobacteriaceae in a French hospital: a time series analysis Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis 2015 34 1957 63 10.1007/s10096-015-2437-3 26205663 · DOI
- [3]Goossens H Ferech M Vander Stichele R et al Outpatient antibiotic use in Europe and association with resistance: a cross-national database study Lancet 2005 365 579 87 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)17907-0 15708101 · DOI · Paper page
- [4]Duong QA Pittet LF Curtis N et al Antibiotic exposure and adverse long-term health outcomes in children: A systematic review and meta-analysis J Infect 2022 85 213 300 10.1016/j.jinf.2022.01.005 35021114 · DOI
- [5]Walsh TR Gales AC Laxminarayan R et al Antimicrobial Resistance: Addressing a Global Threat to Humanity PLoS Med 2023 20 e1004264 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004264 37399216 PMC10317217 · DOI
- [6]Bao L Peng R Wang Y et al Significant reduction of antibiotic consumption and patients’ costs after an action plan in China, 2010-2014 PLoS One 2015 10 e0118868 10.1371/journal.pone.0118868 25767891 PMC4359138 · DOI
- [8]Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis Lancet 2022 399 629 55 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02724-0 35065702 PMC8841637 · DOI · Paper page
- [9]Klein EY Impalli I Poleon S et al Global trends in antibiotic consumption during 2016-2023 and future projections through 2030 Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2024 121 e2411919121 10.1073/pnas.2411919121 39556760 PMC11626136 · DOI
- [11]Kardas P Devine S Golembesky A et al A systematic review and meta-analysis of misuse of antibiotic therapies in the community Int J Antimicrob Agents 2005 26 106 13 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2005.04.017 16009535 · DOI
- [13]Alhomoud F Aljamea Z Almahasnah R et al Self-medication and self-prescription with antibiotics in the Middle East-do they really happen? A systematic review of the prevalence, possible reasons, and outcomes Int J Infect Dis 2017 57 3 12 10.1016/j.ijid.2017.01.014 28111172 · DOI
- [14]Torres NF Chibi B Kuupiel D et al The use of non-prescribed antibiotics; prevalence estimates in low-and-middle-income countries. A systematic review and meta-analysis Arch Public Health 2021 79 2 10.1186/s13690-020-00517-9 33390176 PMC7780654 · DOI
- [15]Torres NF Chibi B Middleton LE et al Evidence of factors influencing self-medication with antibiotics in low and middle-income countries: a systematic scoping review Public Health (Fairfax) 2019 168 92 101 10.1016/j.puhe.2018.11.018 30716570 · DOI
- [16]Pan H Cui B Zhang D et al Prior knowledge, older age, and higher allowance are risk factors for self-medication with antibiotics among university students in southern China PLoS One 2012 7 e41314 10.1371/journal.pone.0041314 22911779 PMC3401104 · DOI
- [17]Mallah N Orsini N Figueiras A et al Income level and antibiotic misuse: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis Eur J Health Econ 2022 23 1015 35 10.1007/s10198-021-01416-8 34845563 PMC9304051 · DOI
- [18]Morgan DJ Okeke IN Laxminarayan R et al Non-prescription antimicrobial use worldwide: a systematic review Lancet Infect Dis 2011 11 692 701 10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70054-8 21659004 PMC3543997 · DOI · Paper page
- [19]Sweileh WM Global research publications on irrational use of antimicrobials: call for more research to contain antimicrobial resistance Global Health 2021 17 94 10.1186/s12992-021-00754-9 34429128 PMC8383246 · DOI
- [20]Blaser MJ Melby MK Lock M et al Accounting for variation in and overuse of antibiotics among humans Bioessays 2021 43 e2000163 10.1002/bies.202000163 33410142 · DOI
- [21]Chan OSK Lam W Zhao S et al Why prescribe antibiotics? A systematic review of knowledge, tension, and motivation among clinicians in low-, middle- and high-income countries Soc Sci Med 2024 345 116600 10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116600 38394944 · DOI
- [22]Ferrari S Cribari-Neto F Beta regression for modelling rates and proportions J Appl Stat 2004 31 799 815 10.1080/0266476042000214501 · DOI · Paper page
- [24]Van Boeckel TP Gandra S Ashok A et al Global antibiotic consumption 2000 to 2010: an analysis of national pharmaceutical sales data Lancet Infect Dis 2014 14 742 50 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70780-7 25022435 · DOI
- [25]Browne AJ Chipeta MG Haines-Woodhouse G et al Global antibiotic consumption and usage in humans, 2000-18: a spatial modelling study Lancet Planet Health 2021 5 e893 904 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00280-1 34774223 PMC8654683 · DOI · Paper page
- [26]Van Boeckel TP Pires J Silvester R et al Global trends in antimicrobial resistance in animals in low- and middle-income countries Science 2019 365 eaaw1944 10.1126/science.aaw1944 31604207 · DOI · Paper page
- [27]Otaigbe II Elikwu CJ Drivers of inappropriate antibiotic use in low- and middle-income countries JAC Antimicrob Resist 2023 5 dlad062 10.1093/jacamr/dlad062 37265987 PMC10230568 · DOI
- [28]Sulis G Sayood S Gandra S Antimicrobial resistance in low- and middle-income countries: current status and future directions Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther 2022 20 147 60 10.1080/14787210.2021.1951705 34225545 · DOI
- [29]Ladines-Lim JB Fischer MA Linder JA et al Prevalence of Inappropriate Antibiotic Prescribing with or without a Plausible Antibiotic Indication among Safety-Net and Non-Safety Net Populations J Gen Intern Med 2024 39 1606 15 10.1007/s11606-024-08757-z 38671203 PMC11255153 · DOI
- [30]Ocan M Obuku EA Bwanga F et al Household antimicrobial self-medication: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the burden, risk factors and outcomes in developing countries BMC Public Health 2015 15 742 10.1186/s12889-015-2109-3 26231758 PMC4522083 · DOI · Paper page
- [32]Chua AQ Verma M Hsu LY et al An analysis of national action plans on antimicrobial resistance in Southeast Asia using a governance framework approach Lancet Reg Health West Pac 2021 7 100084 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2020.100084 34327414 PMC8315476 · DOI
- [33]Craig J Hiban K Frost I et al Comparison of national antimicrobial treatment guidelines, African Union Bull World Health Organ 2022 100 50 9 10.2471/BLT.21.286689 35017757 PMC8722630 · DOI
- [35]Auta A Hadi MA Oga E et al Global access to antibiotics without prescription in community pharmacies: A systematic review and meta-analysis J Infect 2019 78 8 18 10.1016/j.jinf.2018.07.001 29981773 · DOI
- [36]Charani E Smith I Skodvin B et al Investigating the cultural and contextual determinants of antimicrobial stewardship programmes across low-, middle- and high-income countries-A qualitative study PLoS One 2019 14 e0209847 10.1371/journal.pone.0209847 30650099 PMC6335060 · DOI · Paper page
- [38]D’Atri F Arthur J Blix HS et al Targets for the reduction of antibiotic use in humans in the Transatlantic Taskforce on Antimicrobial Resistance (TATFAR) partner countries Euro Surveill 2019 24 1800339 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.28.1800339 31311620 PMC6636213 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Prakoso, A. B., & Rees, G. M. (2026) · Frontiers in Veterinary Science · doi:10.3389/fvets.2026.1791479 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“Decisions based solely on clinical observation or fever risk increase inappropriate antibiotic use (25, 46).”
- Authors
- Mulchandani, R., Tiseo, K., Nandi, A., Klein, E., Gandra, S., Laxminarayan, R., & Van Boeckel, T.
- Affiliations
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- Population Council (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Washington University in St. Louis (US)
- Princeton University (US)
- Health Geography and Policy Group, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- ORCID
- Venue
- BMJ Public Health
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2025-01
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- e002411
- ISSN
- 2753-4294 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC12121568
- OpenAlex
- W4410762366
- Cited by
- 68
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 50 · 2025: 18
- FWCI
- 45.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMJ Public Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Funders
- European Union (874850)
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-055356)
- National Science Foundation (CCF1918628)
- The Swiss National Science Foundation Eccellenza Fellowship (181248)
- Branco Weiss Foundation (n/a)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Applied Microbiology and Biotechnology › Antibiotic Use and Resistance
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Geriatrics and Gerontology › Pharmaceutical Practices and Patient Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Healthcare cost, quality, practices
- Keywords
- inappropriate antibiotic use, antimicrobial resistance, global prevalence, antibiotic sales, clinical audit, patient interviews, non-prescription antibiotic use, access to physicians, antibiotic stewardship
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review