Tobacco and transition: an overview of industry investments, impact and influence in the former Soviet Union: Table 6
Open accessAbstract
Objectives:To quantify the contribution the tobacco industry has made to foreign direct investment (FDI) in the former Soviet Union (FSU) as an indicator of its political and economic leverage; to explore the impact this has had on production capacity and tobacco control in the region. Design:Data on industry investment and its impact on cigarette production capacity were collated from industry journals, reports, and websites. Data on total FDI were obtained from the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development. Results:By the end of 2000, transnational tobacco companies (TTCs) had invested over US$2.7 billion in 10 countries of the FSU. Tobacco money as a proportion of FDI varies from 1% to over 30% in Uzbekistan. Cigarette production capacity in the factories receiving investments tripled from 146 to 416 billion cigarettes per annum and the TTCs’ market share has increased from nothing to between 50–100% in the markets in which they invested. Findings suggest that the effectiveness of national tobacco control measures corresponds broadly to the nature of the political and economic transition in each country and the size of industry investment, which is determined in part by the political context. Thus more effective measures tend to be seen in democratic states with smaller or no industry investments while the least effective measures are seen in highly centralised, one party states with high levels of industry investment or those with limited governmental capacity. Conclusions:The entry of the TTCs at a time of major political and economic change left the FSU particularly vulnerable to industry influence. This influence was enhanced by the industry’s significant contribution to FDI, their ability to take over existing state monopolies in all but the largest countries, and the lack of democratic opposition.
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Tobacco companies have historically maintained low prices in Ukraine by undercutting each other, lobbying against tobacco tax increases, and absorbing small tax increases rather than passing them on to consumers.
“Tobacco companies have historically maintained low prices in Ukraine by undercutting each other to keep prices low, lobbying against legislation increasing tobacco taxes, and absorbing small tax increases rather than passing them on to consumers.13–15”
From Seven-year tobacco tax plan in Ukraine: a case study of the actors, tactics and factors motivating policy passage (2022) · cites this paper as [14]
The Discussion (page unavailable) says tobacco companies competed for market share in Russia and Ukraine, and the Tobacco control section describes industry lobbying that weakened a Ukrainian advertising ban. Neither passage says companies undercut one another on price, lobbied against tobacco-tax increases in Ukraine, or absorbed tax increases instead of passing them on to consumers. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDespite tax increases, Ukraine ranks among the bottom five countries for cigarette prices in Europe.
“Despite these increases, Ukraine ranks among the bottom five countries for cigarette prices in Europe.13–16”
From Seven-year tobacco tax plan in Ukraine: a case study of the actors, tactics and factors motivating policy passage (2022) · cites this paper as [14]
The Tobacco control passage discusses substantial excise-tax increases in the Baltic states, not Ukraine. Searches for Ukraine’s cigarette prices and a European price ranking found no passage stating that Ukraine was among the five cheapest countries, despite tax increases. (LLM, conf=0.73)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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- Authors
- Gilmore, A. B., & McKee, M.
- Affiliations
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Gilmore, A B
- ORCID
- Venue
- Tobacco Control
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2004-06
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 136-142
- ISSN
- 0964-4563 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-3318
- PMC
- PMC1747859
- OpenAlex
- W2011963572
- Cited by
- 83
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 4 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 2.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Tobacco Control (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA091021, R01 CA91021)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Strategy and Management › Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
- Keywords
- tobacco industry, foreign direct investment, transnational tobacco companies, former Soviet Union, tobacco control, political transition, industry influence, state monopoly, market share
- MeSH terms
- Smoking Prevention, Advertising, Humans, International Cooperation, Investments, Organizational Objectives, Commonwealth of Independent States, Tobacco Industry, Marketing
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