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Using Chao’s Estimator as a Stopping Criterion for Technology-Assisted Review

Bron, Michiel, van der Heijden, Peter G. M., Feelders, Ad, Siebes, Arno·2025·ACM Transactions on Information Systems

Abstract

Technology-Assisted Review aims to reduce the human effort required for screening processes such as abstract screening for Systematic Literature Reviews. Human reviewers label documents as relevant or irrelevant during this process, while the system incrementally updates a prediction model based on the reviewers’ previous decisions. After each model update, the system proposes new documents it deems relevant, to prioritize relevant documents over irrelevant ones. A stopping criterion is necessary to guide users in stopping the review process to minimize the number of missed relevant documents and the number of read irrelevant documents. In this article, we propose and evaluate a new ensemble-based Active Learning strategy and a stopping criterion based on Chao’s Population Size Estimator that estimates the prevalence of relevant documents in the dataset. Our simulation study demonstrates that this criterion performs well on several datasets and is compared to other methods presented in the literature.

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Cites

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Figures

Figure 1 This figure shows an architectural overview of our method. The Active Learning module consists of several committee members {C 1 , . . . , C n } , with each its own labeled and unlabeled state. Each of the members can have a Machine Learning Model (for illustrative purposes represented as an Artificial Neural Network). The rankings of each of the members are combined by going through each member in a round-robin or random fashion and selecting the top of the stack. The estimation module can query the labeled states of each of the member to construct a contingency table and fit a PSE model.
Figure 1 This figure shows an architectural overview of our method. The Active Learning module consists of several committee members {C 1 , . . . , C n } , with each its own labeled and unlabeled state. Each of the members can have a Machine Learning Model (for illustrative purposes represented as an Artificial Neural Network). The rankings of each of the members are combined by going through each member in a round-robin or random fashion and selecting the top of the stack. The estimation module can query the labeled states of each of the member to construct a contingency table and fit a PSE model.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 2 An example run for 500 iterations on a dataset. The Ensemble curve shows the number of documents that have been found by the overall system. The other curves display the number of relevant documents that have been found by the individual members within C . The reader may notice that curves start slightly after 0 documents and end slightly after 500 documents. This is caused by the fact that our method requires five relevant and five irrelevant documents at the start of the process (see Section 3.5.4), which results in this shift.
Figure 2 An example run for 500 iterations on a dataset. The Ensemble curve shows the number of documents that have been found by the overall system. The other curves display the number of relevant documents that have been found by the individual members within C . The reader may notice that curves start slightly after 0 documents and end slightly after 500 documents. This is caused by the fact that our method requires five relevant and five irrelevant documents at the start of the process (see Section 3.5.4), which results in this shift.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 3 Calculating the 95 % confidence interval using the profile likelihood method for the frequency statistics in Table 1. In this figure, the log-likelihood for u ⋆ is subtracted from the likelihood in aid of the visualization. Additionally, we inverted the y -axis for this purpose. By finding the values u that intersect with the line y = k α =0 . 05 = 3 . 84 , we can find the lower bound and upper bound of the interval.
Figure 3 Calculating the 95 % confidence interval using the profile likelihood method for the frequency statistics in Table 1. In this figure, the log-likelihood for u ⋆ is subtracted from the likelihood in aid of the visualization. Additionally, we inverted the y -axis for this purpose. By finding the values u that intersect with the line y = k α =0 . 05 = 3 . 84 , we can find the lower bound and upper bound of the interval.CC-BY · From the PDF
Image 4
CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 5 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Conservative Stopping criteria with a 95 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.
Figure 5 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Conservative Stopping criteria with a 95 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 6 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Conservative Stopping criteria with a 100 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.
Figure 6 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Conservative Stopping criteria with a 100 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 7 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Optimistic Stopping criteria with a 95 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.
Figure 7 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Optimistic Stopping criteria with a 95 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 8 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Optimistic Stopping criteria with a 100 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.
Figure 8 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the Optimistic Stopping criteria with a 100 % recall target. The colors are indicative of the dataset size. The outer graphs show the overall distribution of WSS and Recall. For each method, the mean WSS and the 5th percentile of the recall are shown.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 9 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the CMH criteria.
Figure 9 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the CMH criteria.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 10 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the hybrid stopping criteria.
Figure 10 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the hybrid stopping criteria.CC-BY · From the PDF
Figure 11 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the standoff heuristic stopping criteria.
Figure 11 These figures display the results of all runs on all datasets in terms of Work Saved over Sampling and Recall for the standoff heuristic stopping criteria.CC-BY · From the PDF

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Citations

Cites

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Metadata

Authors
Bron, M., van der Heijden, P. G. M., Feelders, A., & Siebes, A.
Venue
ACM Transactions on Information Systems
Published
2025-05-09
Volume
43
Issue
3
Pages
1-51
ISSN
  • 1046-8188
  • 1558-2868
Cited by
7
References
12
Language
en

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