The DOI matches its Crossref record; 60 of the 61 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Attribution of Weather and Climate Events
Abstract
Within the past decade, the attribution of extreme weather and climate events has emerged from a theoretical possibility into a subfield of climate science in its own right, providing scientific evidence on the role of anthropogenic climate change in individual extreme weather events, on a regular basis and using a range of approaches. Different approaches and thus different framings of the attribution question lead to very different assessments of the role of human-induced climate change. Although there is no right or wrong approach, the community is currently debating about the appropriate methodologies for addressing various stakeholder needs and scientific limitations. Tackling these limitations with more thorough model evaluation and meaningful bias corrections as well as going beyond the meteorological hazard and attributing the full impacts of extreme weather are the main challenges to face in the coming years.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Yet, an increasing literature shows how short-term events, such as storms, and medium-term events, such as droughts, are linked to anthropogenic climate change (Lehmann et al., 2018;Otto, 2017;Stott et al., 2016) and can also be used for the estimation of longer-term climatic impacts (Hsiang, 2016).”
From Improving the evidence base: A methodological review of the quantitative climate migration literature (2021) · cites this paper as Otto, 2017
Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Funk, C. C., Peterson, P. J., Landsfeld, M. F., Pedreros, D. H., Verdin, J. P., Shukla, S., Husak, G. J., Rowland, J., Harrison, L., Hoell, A., et al. (2015) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/sdata.2015.66 · Cited by 6,789
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data
Zhang, X., Alexander, L. V., Hegerl, G. C., Jones, P. D., Tank, A. K., Peterson, T. C., Trewin, B. C., & Zwiers, F. W. (2011) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.147 · Cited by 2,461
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
Stott, P. A., Stone, D. A., & Allen, M. R. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03089 · Cited by 1,735
Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
Diffenbaugh, N. S., Swain, D. L., & Touma, D. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1422385112 · Cited by 1,471
Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
Shanmugam, R. (2001) · Neurocomputing · doi:10.1016/s0925-2312(01)00330-7 · Cited by 1,377
Increase of extreme events in a warming world
Rahmstorf, S., & Coumou, D. (2011) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108 · Cited by 1,319
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble
Kharin, V., Zwiers, F. W., Zhang, X., & Wehner, M. F. (2013) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0705-8 · Cited by 1,131
Attribution of climate extreme events
Trenberth, K. E., Fasullo, J. T., & Shepherd, T. G. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2657 · Cited by 982
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000
Pall, P., Aina, T., Stone, D. A., Stott, P. A., Nozawa, T., Hilberts, A. G. J., Lohmann, D., & Allen, M. R. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09762 · Cited by 871
Research works printed but not linked: 9
- Houghton JT, 1995, Climate Change 1995: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
- 12. Otto FEL, Coleho CAS, King A, Coughlan de Perez E, Wada Y, et al. 2015. Water shortage in southeast Brazil. See Ref. 64, pp. S35–40 · DOI
- Flato G, 2013, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed, 741
- Bindoff NL, 2013, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 867
- Peterson TC, 2014, Explaining Extreme Events of 2013: From a Climate Perspective. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94, S1
- Herring SC, 2014, Explaining Extreme Events of 2013: From a Climate Perspective. Spec. Suppl. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 95, S1
- Herring SC, 2015, Explaining Extreme Events of 2014: From a Climate Perspective. Spec. Suppl. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96, S1
- Herring SC, 2016, Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, S1
- Cramer W, 2014, Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 979
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change
Newman, R., & Noy, I. (2023) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-023-41888-1 · Cited by 575
Heat Waves: Physical Understanding and Scientific Challenges
Barriopedro, D., García‐Herrera, R., Ordóñez, C., Miralles, D. G., & Salcedo‐Sanz, S. (2023) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2022rg000780 · Cited by 404
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157896.003 · Cited by 429
A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses
Philip, S., Kew, S., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Otto, F., Vautard, R., van der Wiel, K., King, A., Lott, F., Arrighi, J., Singh, R., et al. (2020) · Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography · doi:10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020 · Cited by 328
Self-citationCompound droughts and hot extremes: Characteristics, drivers, changes, and impacts
Hao, Z., Hao, F., Xia, Y., Feng, S., Sun, C. J., Zhang, X., Fu, Y. H., Hao, Y., Zhang, Y., & Yu, M. (2022) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104241 · Cited by 335
Metadata
- Authors
- Otto, F. E. L.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Otto, Friederike E.L.
- Venue
- Annual Review of Environment and Resources
- Publisher
- Annual Reviews
- Published
- 2017-10-17
- Volume
- 42
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 627-646
- ISSN
- 1543-5938 (ISSN-L)
- 1545-2050
- OpenAlex
- W2727924148
- Cited by
- 209
- References
- 61
- Citations by year
- 2026: 25 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 31 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 1.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Annual Review of Environment and Resources (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Keywords
- climate change attribution, anthropogenic climate change, climate model evaluation, bias correction, stakeholder needs
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
