The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Seattle Heart Failure Model: Prediction of Survival in Heart Failure
Open accessAbstract
Background— Heart failure has an annual mortality rate ranging from 5% to 75%. The purpose of the study was to develop and validate a multivariate risk model to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival in heart failure patients with the use of easily obtainable characteristics relating to clinical status, therapy (pharmacological as well as devices), and laboratory parameters. Methods and Results— The Seattle Heart Failure Model was derived in a cohort of 1125 heart failure patients with the use of a multivariate Cox model. For medications and devices not available in the derivation database, hazard ratios were estimated from published literature. The model was prospectively validated in 5 additional cohorts totaling 9942 heart failure patients and 17 307 person-years of follow-up. The accuracy of the model was excellent, with predicted versus actual 1-year survival rates of 73.4% versus 74.3% in the derivation cohort and 90.5% versus 88.5%, 86.5% versus 86.5%, 83.8% versus 83.3%, 90.9% versus 91.0%, and 89.6% versus 86.7% in the 5 validation cohorts. For the lowest score, the 2-year survival was 92.8% compared with 88.7%, 77.8%, 58.1%, 29.5%, and 10.8% for scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The overall receiver operating characteristic area under the curve was 0.729 (95% CI, 0.714 to 0.744). The model also allowed estimation of the benefit of adding medications or devices to an individual patient’s therapeutic regimen. Conclusions— The Seattle Heart Failure Model provides an accurate estimate of 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival with the use of easily obtained clinical, pharmacological, device, and laboratory characteristics.
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Citations
Cites
The Effect of Spironolactone on Morbidity and Mortality in Patients with Severe Heart Failure
Pitt, B., Zannad, F., Remme, W. J., Cody, R., Castaigne, A., Perez, A., Palensky, J., & Wittes, J. (1999) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199909023411001 · Cited by 9,214
Self-citationBristow, M. R., Saxon, L. A., Boehmer, J., Krueger, S., Kass, D. A., De Marco, T., Carson, P., DiCarlo, L., DeMets, D., White, B. G., et al. (2004) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa032423 · Cited by 5,812
A Randomized Trial of the Angiotensin-Receptor Blocker Valsartan in Chronic Heart Failure
Cohn, J. N., & Tognoni, G. (2001) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa010713 · Cited by 3,108
D'Agostino, R. B., Grundy, S., Sullivan, L. M., Wilson, P., & for the CHD Risk Prediction Group (2001) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.286.2.180 · Cited by 2,108
Anemia predicts mortality in severe heart failure
Mozaffarian, D., Nye, R., & Levy, W. C. (2003) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(03)00425-x · Cited by 294
Self-citationBrophy, J. M., Dagenais, G. R., McSherry, F., Williford, W., & Yusuf, S. (2004) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.amjmed.2003.09.035 · Cited by 136
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2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure
Yancy, C. W., Jessup, M., Bozkurt, B., Butler, J., Casey, D. E., Drazner, M. H., Fonarow, G. C., Geraci, S. A., Horwich, T., Januzzi, J. L., et al. (2013) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2013.05.019 · Cited by 12,536
Self-citation2016 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure
Ponikowski, P., Voors, A. A., Anker, S. D., Bueno, H., Cleland, J. G. F., Coats, A. J. S., Falk, V., González-Juanatey, J. R., Harjola, V.-P., Jankowska, E. A., et al. (2016) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehw128 · Cited by 11,429
Self-citation2016 ESC Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute and Chronic Heart Failure
Ponikowski, P., Voors, A. A., Anker, S. D., Bueno, H., Cleland, J. G. F., Coats, A. J. S., Falk, V., González-Juanatey, J. R., Harjola, V.-P., Jankowska, E. A., et al. (2016) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1002/ejhf.592 · Cited by 5,866
Self-citationHeidenreich, P. A., Bozkurt, B., Aguilar, D., Allen, L. A., Byun, J. J., Colvin, M. M., Deswal, A., Drazner, M. H., Dunlay, S. M., Evers, L. R., et al. (2022) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000001063 · Cited by 4,922
Yancy, C. W., Jessup, M., Bozkurt, B., Butler, J., Casey, D. E., Drazner, M. H., Fonarow, G. C., Geraci, S. A., Horwich, T., Januzzi, J. L., et al. (2013) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0b013e31829e8807 · Cited by 3,304
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Metadata
- Authors
- Levy, W. C., Mozaffarian, D., Linker, D. T., Sutradhar, S. C., Anker, S. D., Cropp, A. B., Anand, I., Maggioni, A., Burton, P., Sullivan, M. D., Pitt, B., Poole-Wilson, P. A., Mann, D. L., & Packer, M.
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2006-03-21
- Volume
- 113
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 1424-1433
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- OpenAlex
- W2103679597
- Cited by
- 2,021
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 48.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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