Cited by 5Cardiac Valve Diseases and TreatmentsCardiovascular Function and Risk FactorsAortic Disease and Treatment Approaches

Prognostic Value of Artificial Intelligence–Enabled Electrocardiography–Derived Diastolic Dysfunction Grading and Trajectory in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

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Tsai, Chieh‐Mei, Naser, Jwan A., Tsaban, Gal, Lee, Eunjung, Wood, Julia, Luis, Allen S., Thaden, Jeremy J., Kane, Garvan C. +6 more·2026·Journal of the American Heart Association

Abstract

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI)–enabled electrocardiography has emerged as a tool for detecting cardiac dysfunction. The prognostic relevance of AI‐enabled electrocardiography–derived diastolic dysfunction (DD) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement had not been assessed. Methods: We analyzed 3197 patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosis between 2010 and 2023 with baseline 12‐lead ECGs processed by a validated AI model to classify diastolic function (grades 0–3). Multivariable Cox models and nested model comparisons assessed associations with all‐cause mortality, including a prespecified analysis in patients with indeterminate echocardiographic grading. Trajectories were defined by change in AI‐enabled electrocardiography DD grade (<2 versus ≥2) from baseline to 30‐day or 1‐year follow‐up. Results: At baseline, 21% had grade 3, 57% had grade 2, 8% had grade 1, and 14% had grade 0 AI‐enabled electrocardiography DD. Higher grades were associated with adverse cardiac remodeling and comorbidities. Over a median follow‐up of 3.4 years, grade 3 AI‐enabled electrocardiography DD independently predicted mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.80 [95% CI, 1.47–2.20]; P <0.001). AI‐enabled electrocardiography DD improved prognostic discrimination beyond clinical and echocardiographic measures (ΔHarrell concordance statistic, 0.016; Δ χ 2 =57; P <0.001). Among 1259 patients with indeterminate echocardiographic grading, AI‐enabled electrocardiography added prognostic value (ΔHarrell concordance statistic, 0.02; Δ χ 2 =13; P =0.006). Worsening or persistently high‐risk trajectories were associated with increased mortality (HRs, 1.45–1.80; all P <0.05). Conclusions: AI‐enabled electrocardiography–derived DD independently predicts mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement, adds value beyond echocardiographic grading, and enables dynamic risk stratification through longitudinal tracking.

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  • AI-enabled electrocardiography-derived diastolic dysfunction trajectories after transcatheter aortic valve replacement provide dynamic prognostic stratification.

    “and AI-enabled electrocardiography-derived diastolic dysfunction trajectories after transcatheter aortic valve replacement also provide dynamic prognostic stratification;25”
  • Valvular and composite SHD AI-ECG models are promising for referral enrichment.

    “Valvular and composite SHD models are promising for referral enrichment”

    From AI-ECG for Echocardiography Triage in Structural Heart Disease: Evidence, Implementation, and Future Directions (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    The Discussion (Summary of Findings and Implications; Prospective Clinical Integration) describes an AI-ECG diastolic-dysfunction model for prognosis and follow-up in patients undergoing TAVR. Our copy does not address whether valvular or composite structural-heart-disease models are promising for referral enrichment; searches for those models and referral enrichment found no supporting passage. Page numbers were not provided. (LLM, conf=0.74)

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Authors
Tsai, C., Naser, J. A., Tsaban, G., Lee, E., Wood, J., Luis, A. S., Thaden, J. J., Kane, G. C., Pislaru, S. V., Simard, T. J., Greason, K. L., Eleid, M. F., Nkomo, V. T., & Oh, J. K.
Affiliations
  • Mayo Clinic (US)
  • Mayo Clinic
Corresponding author
Nkomo, Vuyisile T.
Venue
Journal of the American Heart Association
Published
2026-02-03
Volume
15
Issue
3
Pages
e046558-e046558
ISSN
2047-9980 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W7126220393
Cited by
5
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 5
FWCI
24.86
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by-nc-nd
Locations
  • Journal of the American Heart Association (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Valve Diseases and Treatments
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Function and Risk Factors
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Aortic Disease and Treatment Approaches
Keywords
artificial intelligence, electrocardiogram, diastolic dysfunction, transcatheter aortic valve implantation, aortic stenosis, all-cause mortality, prognosis, risk stratification, cardiac remodeling, prognostic discrimination, long-term monitoring, 12-lead ECG, dynamic risk
MeSH terms
Intelligent Systems, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aortic Valve, Aortic Valve Stenosis, Artificial Intelligence, Diastole, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Severity of Illness Index, Ventricular Function, Left, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left, Risk Assessment, Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

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