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Algorithmic Stability and Sanity-Check Bounds for Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation
Abstract
In this article we prove sanity-check bounds for the error of the leave-oneout cross-validation estimate of the generalization error: that is, bounds showing that the worst-case error of this estimate is not much worse than that of the training error estimate. The name sanity check refers to the fact that although we often expect the leave-one-out estimate to perform considerably better than the training error estimate, we are here only seeking assurance that its performance will not be considerably worse. Perhaps surprisingly, such assurance has been given only for limited cases in the prior literature on cross-validation. Any nontrivial bound on the error of leave-one-out must rely on some notion of algorithmic stability. Previous bounds relied on the rather strong notion of hypothesis stability, whose application was primarily limited to nearest-neighbor and other local algorithms. Here we introduce the new and weaker notion of error stability and apply it to obtain sanity-check bounds for leave-one-out for other classes of learning algorithms, including training error minimization procedures and Bayesian algorithms. We also provide lower bounds demonstrating the necessity of some form of error stability for proving bounds on the error of the leave-one-out estimate, and the fact that for training error minimization algorithms, in the worst case such bounds must still depend on the Vapnik-Chervonenkis dimension of the hypothesis class.
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“For unbiased performance estimation of both classifiers, leave-one-out cross validation was conducted [51].”
From Mobile Sensing and Support for People With Depression: A Pilot Trial in the Wild (2016) · cites this paper as [51]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Kearns, M., & Ron, D.
- Affiliations
- AT&T (United States) (US)
- Tel Aviv University (IL)
- Venue
- Neural Computation
- Publisher
- MIT Press - Journals
- Published
- 1999-08-01
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1427-1453
- ISSN
- 0899-7667 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-888X
- OpenAlex
- W2138263042
- Cited by
- 407
- References
- 18
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 35 · 2019: 46 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 27 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 17 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 4.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Neural Computation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Office of Naval Research
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning and Algorithms
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning and Data Classification
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Stochastic Gradient Optimization Techniques
- Keywords
- leave-one-out cross-validation, generalization error estimation, algorithm stability, VC dimension, lower bounds
- MeSH terms
- Algorithms, Neural Networks, Computer
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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