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The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios

McKibbin, Warwick, Fernando, Roshen·2021·Asian Economic Papers

Abstract

COVID-19 has disrupted the Chinese economy and is spreading globally. The evolution of the disease and its economic impacts are highly uncertain, making formulation of appropriate macroeconomic policy responses challenging. This paper explores seven plausible scenarios of COVID-19 and the macroeconomic outcomes using a global hybrid DSGE/CGE general equilibrium model. The results demonstrate that even a contained outbreak could significantly impact the global economy in the short run. Economic costs could be significantly avoided with greater investment in public health systems in all economies, particularly in economies where health care systems are less developed and population density is high.

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Metadata

Authors
McKibbin, W., & Fernando, R.
Venue
Asian Economic Papers
Publisher
MIT Press
Published
2021
Volume
20
Issue
2
Pages
1-30
ISSN
  • 1535-3516 (ISSN-L)
  • 1536-0083
OpenAlex
W3123012880
Cited by
697
References
2
FWCI
121.02
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1162/asep_a_00796
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McKibbin, W., & Fernando, R. (2021). The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios. Asian Economic Papers. https://doi.org/10.1162/asep_a_00796

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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