The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Bond Market's q*
Abstract
I propose an implementation of the q-theory of investment using bond prices instead of equity prices. Credit risk makes corporate bond prices sensitive to future asset values, and q can be inferred from bond prices. With aggregate U.S. data, the bond market's q fits the investment equation six times better than the usual measure of q, it drives out cash flows, and it reduces the implied adjustment costs by more than an order of magnitude. Theoretical interpretations for these results are discussed. (c) 2009 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology..
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The pricing of options and corporate liabilities
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/260062 · Cited by 29,074
MYERS, S. C. (1984) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03646.x · Cited by 7,526
Agency Costs, Net Worth, And Business Fluctuations
Bernanke, B., Gertler, M., Bernanke, B., & Gertler, M. (1988) · Unknown · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.292693 · Cited by 4,386
Cited by
Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.102.4.1692 · Cited by 2,213
Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics
Gilchrist, S., Sim, J., & Zakrajšek, E. (2014) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w20038 · Cited by 828
A century of capital structure: The leveraging of corporate America
Graham, J. R., Leary, M. T., & Roberts, M. R. (2015) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.08.005 · Cited by 431
Have financial markets become more informative?
Bai, J., Philippon, T., & Savov, A. (2016) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.08.005 · Cited by 394
Self-citationGennaioli, N., Ma, Y., & Shleifer, A. (2016) · NBER Macroeconomics Annual · doi:10.1086/685965 · Cited by 332
Metadata
- Authors
- Philippon, T.
- Venue
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2009-08
- Volume
- 124
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1011-1056
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W1976690099
- Cited by
- 250
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 49.06
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Bond Market's q*. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1162/qjec.2009.124.3.1011
- The paper
- Philippon, T. (2009). The Bond Market's q*. Quarterly Journal of Economics. https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.2009.124.3.1011
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.