The DOI matches its Crossref record; 51 of the 51 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Policy Volatility, Institutions, and Economic Growth
Abstract
In this paper, we present evidence that policy volatility exerts a strong and direct negative impact on growth. Using data for 93 countries, we construct measures of policy volatility based on the standard deviation of the residuals from country-specific regressions of government consumption on output. Undisciplined governments that implement frequent and large changes in government spending unrelated to the state of the business cycle generate lower economic growth. We employ both instrumental variables and panel estimation to address concerns of omitted variables and endogeneity. A 1 standard deviation increase in policy volatility reduces long-term economic growth by about 0.74% in the panel regressions and by more than 1 percentage point in the cross-section.
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Cites
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Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries
Barro, R. J. (1991) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2937943 · Cited by 9,263
The colonial origins of comparative development: An empirical investigation
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., & Robinson, J. A. (2001) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.91.5.1369 · Cited by 8,517
Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries
Barro, R. (1989) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w3120 · Cited by 8,385
(2012) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.102.7.i · Cited by 6,810
Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogeneous Growth
Barro, R. J. (1990) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261726 · Cited by 6,340
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Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy
Bucovetsky, S., Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (2002) · Southern Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/1061733 · Cited by 3,748
On the Determination of the Public Debt
Barro, R. J. (1979) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/260807 · Cited by 3,268
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Cited by
Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach
Sala-i-Martin, X., Doppelhofer, G., & Miller, R. I. (2004) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/0002828042002570 · Cited by 2,112
Volatility and the natural resource curse
van der Ploeg, F., & Poelhekke, S. (2009) · Oxford Economic Papers · doi:10.1093/oep/gpp027 · Cited by 613
Entrepreneurship, institutional economics, and economic growth: an ecosystem perspective
Acs, Z. J., Estrin, S., Mickiewicz, T., & Szerb, L. (2018) · Small Business Economics · doi:10.1007/s11187-018-0013-9 · Cited by 582
Financial development, real sector, and economic growth
Ductor, L., & Grechyna, D. (2015) · International Review of Economics & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.iref.2015.01.001 · Cited by 347
A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict
Buhaug, H., Croicu, M., Fjelde, H., & von Uexkull, N. (2021) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1086/709671 · Cited by 36
Metadata
- Authors
- Fatás, A., & Mihov, I.
- Venue
- Review of Economics and Statistics
- Publisher
- MIT Press - Journals
- Published
- 2013-05
- Volume
- 95
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 362-376
- ISSN
- 0034-6535 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9142
- OpenAlex
- W1990905344
- Cited by
- 366
- References
- 51
- FWCI
- 47.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.