Do Academically Struggling Students Benefit from Continued Student Loan Access? Evidence from University and Beyond
Open accessAbstract
We estimate the effects of student loan access on educational attainment and labor market returns in New Zealand. We exploit the introduction of a national policy mandating a 50% pass rate for student loan renewals using a regression discontinuity design. Retaining loan access increases reenrollment for students around the threshold, and a majority eventually graduate with a bachelor's degree within seven years. We find that retaining student loan access leads to large labor market returns for struggling students. The additional debt from further borrowing is small relative to the earnings returns and declines quickly due to faster repayment.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The Long-Run Impacts of Financial Aid: Evidence from California’s Cal Grant
Bettinger, E., Gurantz, O., Kawano, L., Sacerdote, B., & Stevens, M. (2019) · American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · doi:10.1257/pol.20170466 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Student Loans and Homeownership
Mezza, A., Ringo, D., Sherlund, S., & Sommer, K. (2020) · Journal of Labor Economics · doi:10.1086/704609 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Black, S., Denning, J., Dettling, L., Goodman, S., & Turner, L. (2020) · doi:10.3386/w27658 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
College Costs, Financial Aid, and Student Decisions
Dynarski, S., Page, L., & Scott-Clayton, J. (2022) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w30275 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
- Authors
- Chu, Y.-W. L., & Cuffe, H. E.
- Affiliations
- Victoria University of Wellington (NZ)
- Venue
- Review of Economics and Statistics
- Publisher
- MIT Press
- Published
- 2024-01
- Volume
- 106
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 68-84
- ISSN
- 0034-6535 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9142
- OpenAlex
- W4200427884
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 2.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- figshare.com
- Licence
- cc-by-nc-nd
- Locations
- The Review of Economics and Statistics (publishedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Victoria University of Wellington
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
- Keywords
- student loans, academic underachievement, educational attainment, labor market returns, student debt, graduate earnings, student loan repayment
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review