Taking It to the Limit: Effects of Increased Student Loan Availability on Attainment, Earnings, and Financial Well-Being
Open accessAbstract
Growing reliance on student loans and repayment difficulties have raised concerns of a student debt crisis in the United States, but little is known about the effects of student borrowing on human capital and long run financial well being.We use variation induced by recent expansions in federal loan limits combined with administrative datasets to identify the effects of increased access to student loans on credit constrained students' educational attainment, earnings, debt, and loan repayment.Increased student loan availability raises student debt and improves degree completion, later life earnings, and student loan repayment while having no effect on homeownership or other types of debt.
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In Texas public two- and four-year colleges, an increase in student loan limits increased bachelor's degree attainment by six percentage points, increased post-college earnings by 4-6% 6-8 years after entry, and reduced student loan default by 18% within 4 years of entry.
“The authors conclude that the larger loan limit increased bachelor's degree attainment by six percentage points, and also led to higher post-college earnings (a 4-6% increase 6-8 years after college entry) and a reduced likelihood of student loan default (an 18% reduction within 4 years of entry).”
From College Costs, Financial Aid, and Student Decisions (2022) · cites this paper as Black et al. (2020)
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- Authors
- Black, S., Denning, J., Dettling, L., Goodman, S., & Turner, L.
- Affiliations
- Brigham Young University (US)
- ORCID
- Denning, Jeffrey
- Venue
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Publisher
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Published
- 2020-08
- OpenAlex
- W3048194733
- Cited by
- 48
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2025: 8 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 1 · 2017: 1
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion)
- VTechWorks (Virginia Tech) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Brown Digital Repository
- Funders
- Texas Education Agency
- Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board
- Texas Workforce Commission
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Keywords
- student loans, student debt, student debt crisis, educational attainment, graduation, earnings, loan repayment, financial well-being, credit constraints, homeownership
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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