The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate Variability and Change since 850 CE: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model
Abstract
The climate of the past millennium provides a baseline for understanding the background of natural climate variability upon which current anthropogenic changes are superimposed. As this period also contains high data density from proxy sources (e.g., ice cores, stalagmites, corals, tree rings, and sediments), it provides a unique opportunity for understanding both global and regional-scale climate responses to natural forcing. Toward that end, an ensemble of simulations with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) for the period 850–2005 (the CESM Last Millennium Ensemble, or CESM-LME) is now available to the community. This ensemble includes simulations forced with the transient evolution of solar intensity, volcanic emissions, greenhouse gases, aerosols, land-use conditions, and orbital parameters, both together and individually. The CESM-LME thus allows for evaluation of the relative contributions of external forcing and internal variability to changes evident in the paleoclimate data record, as well as providing a longer-term perspective for understanding events in the modern instrumental period. It also constitutes a dynamically consistent framework within which to diagnose mechanisms of regional variability. Results demonstrate an important influence of internal variability on regional responses of the climate system during the past millennium. All the forcings, particularly large volcanic eruptions, are found to be regionally influential during the preindustrial period, while anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol changes dominate the forced variability of the mid- to late twentieth century.
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Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Global surface temperature change
Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., & Lo, K. (2010) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2010rg000345 · Cited by 3,081
Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States
Cook, E. R., Woodhouse, C. A., Eakin, C. M., Meko, D. M., & Stahle, D. W. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1102586 · Cited by 1,580 · cited 1×
“10 shows the differences in the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) between 1950 to 2000 and 850 to 1850, as well as the same quantities calculated using the North American Drought Atlas ( NADA ) tree-ring reconstruction (Cook et al. 2004).”
MethodThe impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño
Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., et al. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo868 · Cited by 1,230
Interdecadal modulation of El Niño amplitude during the past millennium
Li, J., Xie, S.-P., Cook, E. R., Huang, G., D'Arrigo, R., Liu, F., Ma, J., & Zheng, X.-T. (2011) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1086 · Cited by 349
Cited by
The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2)
Danabasoglu, G., Lamarque, J. ‐., Bacmeister, J., Bailey, D. A., DuVivier, A. K., Edwards, J., Emmons, L. K., Fasullo, J., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., et al. (2020) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2019ms001916 · Cited by 3,070
Self-citationZhang, R., Sutton, R., Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E., & Little, C. M. (2019) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2019rg000644 · Cited by 573
The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan
Kageyama, M., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Haywood, A. M., Jungclaus, J. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albani, S., Bartlein, P. J., et al. (2018) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018 · Cited by 361
Self-citationJungclaus, J. H., Bard, E., Baroni, M., Braconnot, P., Cao, J., Chini, L. P., Egorova, T., Evans, M., González-Rouco, J. F., Goosse, H., et al. (2017) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4005-2017 · Cited by 320
“Recent increases in computing power have made it feasible to carry out millennialscale ensemble simulations with comprehensive ESMs (e.g. Jungclaus et al., 2010; Otto-Bliesner et al., 2016).”
BackgroundSelf-citationEstimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
Hawkins, E., Ortega, P., Suckling, E., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Jones, P., Joshi, M., Osborn, T. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mignot, J., et al. (2017) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1 · Cited by 334
Metadata
- Authors
- Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., Fasullo, J., Jahn, A., Landrum, L., Stevenson, S., Rosenbloom, N., Mai, A., & Strand, G.
- Venue
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2016-05-01
- Volume
- 97
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 735-754
- ISSN
- 0003-0007 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0477
- OpenAlex
- W1941426989
- Cited by
- 612
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 25.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., Fasullo, J., Jahn, A., Landrum, L., Stevenson, S., Rosenbloom, N., Mai, A., & Strand, G. (2016). Climate Variability and Change since 850 CE: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00233.1
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