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Enhanced MJO-like Variability at High SST
Open accessAbstract
The authors report a significant increase in Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO)–like variability in a superparameterized version of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model run with high sea surface temperatures (SSTs). A series of aquaplanet simulations exhibit a tripling of intraseasonal outgoing longwave radiation variance as equatorial SST is increased from 26° to 35°C. The simulated intraseasonal variability also transitions from an episodic phenomenon to one with a semiregular period of 25 days. Moist static energy (MSE) budgets of composite MJO events are used to diagnose the physical processes responsible for the relationship with SST. This analysis points to an increasingly positive contribution from vertical advection, associated in part with a steepening of the mean vertical MSE profile in the lower troposphere. The change in MSE profile is a natural consequence of increasing SST while maintaining a moist adiabat with a fixed profile of relative humidity. This work has implications for tropical variability in past warm climates as well as anthropogenic global warming scenarios.
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“Furthermore, increases in the activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and convectively coupled equatorial Kelvin waves have been found in simulations with conventional and superparameterized climate models [5, 12].”
From Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change (2015) · cites this paper as [5]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Arnold, N. P., Kuang, Z., & Tziperman, E.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2013-02-01
- Volume
- 26
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 988-1001
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W2103387024
- Cited by
- 107
- References
- 76
- Citations by year
- 2025: 8 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 9 · 2014: 4 · 2013: 3
- FWCI
- 4.50
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- nrs.harvard.edu
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Journal of Climate (publishedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- Madden-Julian Oscillation, sea surface temperature, intraseasonal variability, outgoing longwave radiation, moist static energy budget, vertical advection, aquaplanet simulations, tropical variability, global warming
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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