The DOI matches its Crossref record; 31 of the 31 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Changes in the Distribution of Rain Frequency and Intensity in Response to Global Warming*
Open accessAbstract
Changes in the frequency and intensity of rainfall are an important potential impact of climate change. Two modes of change, a shift and an increase, are applied to simulations of global warming with models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The response to CO2 doubling in the multimodel mean of CMIP5 daily rainfall is characterized by an increase of 1% K−1 at all rain rates and a shift to higher rain rates of 3.3% K−1. In addition to these increase and shift modes of change, some models also show a substantial increase in rainfall at the highest rain rates called the extreme mode of response to warming. In some models, this extreme mode can be shown to be associated with increases in grid-scale condensation or gridpoint storms.
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“the disproportionate increases in precipitation extremes compared to other parts of the precipitation distribution that is found in some models—an “extreme mode” in the tropical response to climate change that relates to gridpoint storms [66, 67].”
From Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change (2015) · cites this paper as [66]
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Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
Held, I. M., & Soden, B. J. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3990.1 · Cited by 5,052
Changes in precipitation with climate change
Trenberth, K. E. (2010) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr00953 · Cited by 3,835
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
Allen, M. R., & Ingram, W. J. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01092 · Cited by 3,009
Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
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Dunne, J. P. P., John, J. G., Adcroft, A., Griffies, S. M., Hallberg, R., Shevliakova, E., Stouffer, R. J., Cooke, W. F., Dunne, K. A., Harrison, M., et al. (2012) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-11-00560.1 · Cited by 1,358
O’Gorman, P. A., & Schneider, T. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0907610106 · Cited by 1,190
Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate
Emori, S., & Brown, S. J. (2005) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2005gl023272 · Cited by 663
Conceptual Framework for Changes of Extremes of the Hydrological Cycle With Climate Change
Trenberth, K. E. (1999) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1007/978-94-015-9265-9_18 · Cited by 604
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- Taylor, 2012, 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094 · DOI
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Understanding the regional pattern of projected future changes in extreme precipitation
Pfahl, S., O’Gorman, P. A., & Fischer, E. M. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3287 · Cited by 1,098
Frequency of extreme precipitation increases extensively with event rareness under global warming
Myhre, G., Alterskjær, K., Stjern, C. W., Hodnebrog, Ø., Marelle, L., Samset, B. H., Sillmann, J., Schaller, N., Fischer, E. M., Schulz, M., et al. (2019) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-019-52277-4 · Cited by 1,095
Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change
O’Gorman, P. A. (2015) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-015-0009-3 · Cited by 881
“ulate the interannual variability in tropical precipitation extremes when compared to observations [2,3], and the disproportionate increases in precipitation extremes compared to other parts of the precipitation distribution that is found in some models – an “extreme mode” in the tropical response to climate change th…”
BackgroundObserved heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models
Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3110 · Cited by 800
Increasing precipitation variability on daily-to-multiyear time scales in a warmer world
Zhang, W., Furtado, K., Wu, P., Zhou, T., Chadwick, R. S., Marzin, C., Rostron, J. W., & Sexton, D. M. H. (2021) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abf8021 · Cited by 436
Metadata
- Authors
- Pendergrass, A. G., & Hartmann, D. L.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- Corresponding author
- Pendergrass, Angeline G.
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2014-11-04
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 22
- Pages
- 8372-8383
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W2108644185
- Cited by
- 329
- References
- 31
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 35 · 2024: 36 · 2023: 44 · 2022: 39 · 2021: 50 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 10.40
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Climate (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0960497)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- rainfall frequency, rainfall intensity, global warming, climate change impacts, CMIP5, CO2 doubling, heavy rainfall, daily precipitation
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