The DOI matches its Crossref record; 59 of the 60 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Antarctic Ocean and Sea Ice Response to Ozone Depletion: A Two-Time-Scale Problem
Open accessAbstract
The response of the Southern Ocean to a repeating seasonal cycle of ozone loss is studied in two coupled climate models and is found to comprise both fast and slow processes. The fast response is similar to the interannual signature of the southern annular mode (SAM) on sea surface temperature (SST), onto which the ozone hole forcing projects in the summer. It comprises enhanced northward Ekman drift, inducing negative summertime SST anomalies around Antarctica, earlier sea ice freeze-up the following winter, and northward expansion of the sea ice edge year-round. The enhanced northward Ekman drift, however, results in upwelling of warm waters from below the mixed layer in the region of seasonal sea ice. With sustained bursts of westerly winds induced by ozone hole depletion, this warming from below eventually dominates over the cooling from anomalous Ekman drift. The resulting slow time-scale response (years to decades) leads to warming of SSTs around Antarctica and ultimately a reduction in sea ice cover year-round. This two-time-scale behavior—rapid cooling followed by slow but persistent warming—is found in the two coupled models analyzed: one with an idealized geometry and the other with a complex global climate model with realistic geometry. Processes that control the time scale of the transition from cooling to warming and their uncertainties are described. Finally the implications of these results are discussed for rationalizing previous studies of the effect of the ozone hole on SST and sea ice extent.
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“this may suggest that natural decadal variability is also important73,76, or that the timing of different response mechanisms in the models is not adequately resolved74,77.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [77]
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The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., et al. (2011) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.828 · Cited by 24,480
A finite‐volume, incompressible Navier Stokes model for studies of the ocean on parallel computers
Marshall, J. C., Adcroft, A., Hill, C., Perelman, L., & Heisey, C. W. (1997) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/96jc02775 · Cited by 2,696
Self-citationInterpretation of Recent Southern Hemisphere Climate Change
Thompson, D. W. J., & Solomon, S. (2002) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1069270 · Cited by 1,906
Self-citationHydrostatic, quasi‐hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic ocean modeling
Marshall, J. C., Hill, C., Perelman, L., & Adcroft, A. (1997) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/96jc02776 · Cited by 1,448
Self-citationSignatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change
Thompson, D. W. J., Solomon, S., Kushner, P. J., England, M. H., Grise, K. M., & Karoly, D. J. (2011) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo1296 · Cited by 1,006
Self-citationFrankignoul, C., & Hasselmann, K. (1977) · Tellus · doi:10.3402/tellusa.v29i4.11362 · Cited by 892
Antarctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010
Parkinson, C. L., & Cavalieri, D. J. (2012) · The cryosphere · doi:10.5194/tc-6-871-2012 · Cited by 879
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Trends in the sea ice cover using enhanced and compatible AMSR‐E, SSM/I, and SMMR data
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Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar upwelling and equatorward transport
Armour, K. C., Marshall, J. C., Scott, J. R., Donohoe, A., & Newsom, E. R. (2016) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2731 · Cited by 584
Self-citationThe Southern Annular Mode: Variability, trends, and climate impacts across the Southern Hemisphere
Fogt, R. L., & Marshall, G. J. (2020) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.652 · Cited by 529
Southern Ocean Phytoplankton in a Changing Climate
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Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6
Roach, L. A., Dörr, J. S., Holmes, C., Massonnet, F., Blockley, E., Notz, D., Rackow, T., Raphael, M., O’Farrell, S. P., Bailey, D. A., et al. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2019gl086729 · Cited by 402
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Metadata
- Authors
- Ferreira, D., Marshall, J., Bitz, C. M., Solomon, S., & Plumb, A.
- Affiliations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2015-02-01
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1206-1226
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W2072436020
- Cited by
- 281
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 36 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 22 · 2020: 29 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 27 · 2016: 23 · 2015: 7
- FWCI
- 15.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Climate (publishedVersion)
- DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1341497)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
- Keywords
- Antarctic ozone hole, ozone depletion, Southern Ocean, sea ice extent, sea surface temperature, Southern Annular Mode, Ekman drift, upwelling, sea ice edge, westerlies, radiative forcing
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