The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate Warming: Why the “Wet-Get-Wetter, Dry-Get-Drier” Scaling Does Not Hold over Land*
Open accessAbstract
Simulations with climate models show a land–ocean contrast in the response of P − E (precipitation minus evaporation or evapotranspiration) to global warming, with larger changes over ocean than over land. The changes over ocean broadly follow a simple thermodynamic scaling of the atmospheric moisture convergence: the so-called “wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier” mechanism. Over land, however, the simple scaling fails to give any regions with decreases in P − E, and it overestimates increases in P − E compared to the simulations. Changes in circulation cause deviations from the simple scaling, but they are not sufficient to explain this systematic moist bias. It is shown here that horizontal gradients of changes in temperature and fractional changes in relative humidity, not accounted for in the simple scaling, are important over land and high-latitude oceans. An extended scaling that incorporates these gradients is shown to better capture the response of P − E over land, including a smaller increase in global-mean runoff and several regions with decreases in P − E. In the zonal mean over land, the gradient terms lead to a robust drying tendency at almost all latitudes. This drying tendency is shown to relate, in part, to the polar amplification of warming in the Northern Hemisphere, and to the amplified warming over continental interiors and on the eastern side of midlatitude continents.
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Citations
Cites
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Cited by
More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions
Donat, M. G., Lowry, A. L., Alexander, L. V., O’Gorman, P. A., & Maher, N. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2941 · Cited by 1,792
Self-citationGlobal lake responses to climate change
Woolway, R. I., Kraemer, B. M., Lenters, J. D., Merchant, C. J., O’Reilly, C. M., & Sharma, S. (2020) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-020-0067-5 · Cited by 1,538
Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information
Shepherd, T. G. (2019) · Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspa.2019.0013 · Cited by 331
Simpson, I. R., Tilmes, S., Richter, J. H., Kravitz, B., MacMartin, D. G., Mills, M. J., Fasullo, J. T., & Pendergrass, A. G. (2019) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2019jd031093 · Cited by 202
Forest response to rising CO2 drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land
Kooperman, G. J., Chen, Y., Hoffman, F. M., Koven, C. D., Lindsay, K., Pritchard, M. S., Swann, A. L. S., & Randerson, J. T. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0144-7 · Cited by 138
Metadata
- Authors
- Byrne, M. P., & O’Gorman, P. A.
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2015-10-13
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 20
- Pages
- 8078-8092
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W1929785474
- Cited by
- 342
- References
- 40
- FWCI
- 17.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate Warming: Why the “Wet-Get-Wetter, Dry-Get-Drier” Scaling Does Not Hold over Land*. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0369.1
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- Byrne, M. P., & O’Gorman, P. A. (2015). The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate Warming: Why the “Wet-Get-Wetter, Dry-Get-Drier” Scaling Does Not Hold over Land*. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0369.1
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
