The DOI matches its Crossref record; 26 of the 26 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Impact of Climate Change on River Discharge Projected by Multimodel Ensemble
Abstract
This study investigates the projections of river discharge for 24 major rivers in the world during the twenty-first century simulated by 19 coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models based on the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B scenario. To reduce model bias and uncertainty, a weighted ensemble mean (WEM) is used for multimodel projections. Although it is difficult to reproduce the present river discharge in any single model, the WEM results produce more accurate reproduction for most rivers, except those affected by anthropogenic water usage. At the end of the twenty-first century, the annual mean precipitation, evaporation, and runoff increase in high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, southern to eastern Asia, and central Africa. In contrast, they decrease in the Mediterranean region, southern Africa, southern North America, and Central America. Although the geographical distribution of the changes in precipitation and runoff tends to coincide with that in the river discharge, it should be emphasized that the change in runoff at the upstream region affects the river flow in the downstream region. In high-latitude rivers (Amur, Lena, MacKenzie, Ob, Yenisei, and Yukon), the discharge increases, and the peak timing shifts earlier because of an earlier snowmelt caused by global warming. Discharge tends to decrease for the rivers in Europe to the Mediterranean region (Danube, Euphrates, and Rhine), and southern United Sates (Rio Grande).
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Cites
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Cited by
Extreme seasonal droughts and floods in Amazonia: causes, trends and impacts
Marengo, J. A., & Espinoza, J. C. (2016) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.4420 · Cited by 901
The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management
KUNDZEWICZ, Z. W., MATA, L. J., ARNELL, N. W., DÖLL, P., JIMENEZ, B., MILLER, K., OKI, T., ŞEN, Z., & SHIKLOMANOV, I. (2008) · Hydrological Sciences Journal · doi:10.1623/hysj.53.1.3 · Cited by 874
Self-citationYamazaki, D., de Almeida, G. A. M., & Bates, P. D. (2013) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1002/wrcr.20552 · Cited by 276
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Self-citationBiogeochemical implications of climate change for tropical rivers and floodplains
Hamilton, S. K. (2010) · Hydrobiologia · doi:10.1007/s10750-009-0086-1 · Cited by 92
Metadata
- Authors
- Nohara, D., Kitoh, A., Hosaka, M., & Oki, T.
- Venue
- Journal of Hydrometeorology
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2006-10-01
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1076-1089
- ISSN
- 1525-7541 (ISSN-L)
- 1525-755X
- OpenAlex
- W1994193211
- Cited by
- 386
- References
- 26
- FWCI
- 18.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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