Cited by 779Delphi Technique in ResearchReliability and Agreement in MeasurementHealth Education and Validation

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Using the Delphi expert consensus method in mental health research

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Jorm, Anthony F·2015·Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry

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Abstract

Objective: The article gives an introductory overview of the use of the Delphi expert consensus method in mental health research. It explains the rationale for using the method, examines the range of uses to which it has been put in mental health research, and describes the stages of carrying out a Delphi study using examples from the literature. Method: To ascertain the range of uses, a systematic search was carried out in PubMed. The article also examines the implications of ‘wisdom of crowds’ research for how to conduct Delphi studies. Results: The Delphi method is a systematic way of determining expert consensus that is useful for answering questions that are not amenable to experimental and epidemiological methods. The validity of the approach is supported by ‘wisdom of crowds’ research showing that groups can make good judgements under certain conditions. In mental health research, the Delphi method has been used for making estimations where there is incomplete evidence (e.g. What is the global prevalence of dementia?), making predictions (e.g. What types of interactions with a person who is suicidal will reduce their chance of suicide?), determining collective values (e.g. What areas of research should be given greatest priority?) and defining foundational concepts (e.g. How should we define ‘relapse’?). A range of experts have been used in Delphi research, including clinicians, researchers, consumers and caregivers. Conclusion: The Delphi method has a wide range of potential uses in mental health research.

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Method
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Authors: Jorm, A. F.
Affiliations: The University of Melbourne (AU)
Corresponding author: Jorm, Anthony F
ORCID: Jorm, Anthony F
Venue: Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Published: 2015-08-21
Volume: 49
Issue: 10
Pages: 887-897
ISSN: 0004-8674 (ISSN-L)
1440-1614
DOI: 10.1177/0004867415600891
OpenAlex: W2111751736
Cited by: 765
References: 55
Citations by year: 2026: 81 · 2025: 109 · 2024: 115 · 2023: 82 · 2022: 93 · 2021: 80 · 2020: 67 · 2019: 58 · 2018: 40 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 1
FWCI: 10.69
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
hdl.handle.net
Licence: journals.sagepub.com/page/policies/text-and-data-mining-license (tdm)
Locations: Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
Funders: National Health and Medical Research Council
Topics: Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Delphi Technique in Research
Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Reliability and Agreement in Measurement
Health Sciences › Nursing › Research and Theory › Health Education and Validation
Keywords: Delphi method, expert consensus, mental health research, wisdom of crowds, suicide prevention, research prioritization, relapse definition
MeSH terms: Consensus Development Conferences as Topic, Consensus Statements as Topic, Delphi Technique, Humans, Mental Health, Consensus, Biomedical Research

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Using the Delphi expert consensus method in mental health research

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