The relative efficiency of regression and simple unit predictor weights in applied differential psychology
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Regression estimates produce ex ante forecasts that are often less accurate than forecasts from 'unit weights' models.
“However, studies have shown that regression estimates produce ex ante forecasts that are often less accurate than forecasts from 'unit weights' models.”
From Illusions in Regression Analysis (2011) · cites this paper as Schmidt (1971)
Schmidt found that unit weights were superior to regression weights when the regressions were based on many variables and small sample sizes.
“Schmidt (1971) was one of the first to test this idea and he found that unit weights were superior to regression weights when the regressions were based on many variables and small sample sizes.”
From Illusions in Regression Analysis (2011) · cites this paper as Schmidt (1971)
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Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences
Gigerenzer, G., & Brighton, H. (2009) · Topics in Cognitive Science · doi:10.1111/j.1756-8765.2008.01006.x · Cited by 1,801 · see citing works
Unit weighting schemes for decision making
Einhorn, H. J., & Hogarth, R. M. (1975) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(75)90044-6 · Cited by 673 · see citing works
Detecting and Correcting the Lies That Data Tell
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Self-citationThe superiority of simple alternatives to regression for social science predictions
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VAN IDDEKINGE, C. H., & PLOYHART, R. E. (2008) · Personnel Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1744-6570.2008.00133.x · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Illusions in Regression Analysis
Armstrong, J. S. (2011) · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1969740 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Shepherd, L., Zucchelli, F., Aspland, R., White, P., Hotton, M., & Stock, N. M. (2026) · The Cleft Palate-Craniofacial Journal · doi:10.1177/10556656251392271 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
- Authors
- Schmidt, F. L.
- Affiliations
- Michigan State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Schmidt, Frank L.
- Venue
- Educational and Psychological Measurement
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 1971-10
- Volume
- 31
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 699-714
- ISSN
- 0013-1644 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-3888
- OpenAlex
- W2044512285
- Cited by
- 228
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 3.48
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Educational and Psychological Measurement (publishedVersion)
- Purdue e-Pubs (Purdue University System) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Psychological Testing and Assessment
- Keywords
- regression analysis, relative efficiency, differential psychology
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