Unit weighting schemes for decision making
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Regression estimates produce ex ante forecasts that are often less accurate than forecasts from 'unit weights' models.
“However, studies have shown that regression estimates produce ex ante forecasts that are often less accurate than forecasts from 'unit weights' models.”
From Illusions in Regression Analysis (2011) · cites this paper as Einhorn and Hogarth (1975)
Cites
Gulliksen, H. O. (1950) · John Wiley & Sons, Inc. eBooks · doi:10.1037/13240-000 · Cited by 2,184 · see citing works
An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics.
Sargan, J. D., & Zellner, A. (1974) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2344559 · Cited by 1,937 · see citing works
Linear models in decision making.
Dawes, R. M., & Corrigan, B. (1974) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0037613 · Cited by 1,898 · see citing works
Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment
Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1971) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(71)90033-x · Cited by 1,817 · see citing works
An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics.
Aigner, D. J., & Zellner, A. (1972) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2284674 · Cited by 1,687 · see citing works
Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical.
Sawyer, J. (1966) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0023624 · Cited by 594 · see citing works
Theory of Psychological Measurement
(1965) · Students Quarterly Journal · doi:10.1049/sqj.1965.0018 · Cited by 382 · see citing works
Weighting Systems for Linear Functions of Correlated Variables When There is no Dependent Variable
Wilks, S. S. (1938) · Psychometrika · doi:10.1007/bf02287917 · Cited by 275 · see citing works
Schmidt, F. L. (1971) · Educational and Psychological Measurement · doi:10.1177/001316447103100310 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
Man-Computer Cooperation in Decisions Requiring Common Sense
Yntema, D. B., & Torgerson, W. S. (1961) · IRE transactions on human factors in electronics · doi:10.1109/thfe2.1961.4503294 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Costs and payoffs in perceptual research.
von Winterfeldt, D., & Edwards, W. (1982) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.91.3.609 · Cited by 95 · see citing works
Television Show Preference: Application of a Choice Model
Lehmann, D. R. (1976) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-88067-4_3 · Cited by 94 · see citing works
The Importance of Differential Weights in Multiple Attribute Models of Consumer Attitude
Beckwith, N. E., & Lehmann, D. R. (1973) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.1177/002224377301000203 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Research Paradigms for Studying Dynamic Decision Behavior
Rapoport, A. (1975) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_22 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
A Comparison of Five Variable Weighting Procedures
Claudy, J. G. (1972) · Educational and Psychological Measurement · doi:10.1177/001316447203200208 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Television Show Preference: Application of a Choice Model
Lehmann, D. R. (1971) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.2307/3149725 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
The Relative Efficiency of four Test Weighting Methods in Multiple Prediction
Lawshe, C. H., & Schucker, R. E. (1959) · Educational and Psychological Measurement · doi:10.1177/001316445901900111 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Multiple Regression vs. Simple Addition of Scores in Prediction of College Grades
Wesman, A. G., & Bennett, G. K. (1959) · Educational and Psychological Measurement · doi:10.1177/001316445901900210 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
On the upper limits of some measures of variability
Katsnelson, J., & Kotz, S. (1957) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/bf02260299 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Givler, R. C. (1922) · Harper & Brothers eBooks · doi:10.1037/12235-035 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
The Importance of Differential Weights in Multiple Attribute Models of Consumer Attitude
Beckwith, N. E., & Lehmann, D. R. (1973) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.2307/3149818 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Measurement of a composite criterion of managerial success
Srinivasan, V., Shocker, A. D., & Weinstein, A. G. (1973) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(73)90043-3 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Four Methods for Assessing Multi-attribute Utilities: An Experimental Validation
Fischer, G. W. (1972) · doi:10.21236/ad0751564 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
THE INFLUENCE OF DIFFERENTIAL WEIGHTING
Burt, C. (1950) · British Journal of Statistical Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.2044-8317.1950.tb00288.x · Cited by 20 · see citing works
COMPARISON OF THREE METHODS FOR ASSEMBLING APTITUDE TEST BATTERIES
Trattner, M. H. (1963) · Personnel Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1744-6570.1963.tb01271.x · Cited by 20 · see citing works
The Reliability of Differences Between Linear Regression Weights in Applied Differential Psychology
Schmidt, F. L. (1972) · Educational and Psychological Measurement · doi:10.1177/001316447203200403 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Costs and payoffs in perceptual research.
von Winterfeldt, D., & Edwards, W. (1973) · PsycEXTRA Dataset · doi:10.1037/e446642004-001 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
Stanovich, K. E., & West, R. F. (2000) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x00003435 · Cited by 4,255 · see citing works
Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-145346 · Cited by 4,037 · see citing works
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1983) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.90.4.293 · Cited by 3,991 · see citing works
Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment
Bottom, W. P., Gilovich, T. D., Griffin, D., & Kahneman, D. J. (2004) · Academy of Management Review · doi:10.2307/20159081 · Cited by 3,579 · see citing works
Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.
Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (1996) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.103.4.650 · Cited by 3,504 · see citing works
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.
Kahneman, D., & Frederick, S. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.004 · Cited by 3,476 · see citing works
Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.
Kahneman, D. J., & Miller, D. T. (1986) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.93.2.136 · Cited by 3,174 · see citing works
Slovic, P., Finucane, M., Peters, E., & MacGregor, D. G. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.025 · Cited by 2,349 · see citing works
“Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment.”
Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P. E. (1989) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.2648573 · Cited by 2,298 · see citing works
(2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098 · Cited by 2,214 · see citing works
Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment
Logg, J. M., Minson, J. A., & Moore, D. A. (2019) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2018.12.005 · Cited by 2,061 · see citing works
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.
Dawes, R. M. (1979) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.34.7.571 · Cited by 1,970 · see citing works
Griffin, A., & Hauser, J. R. (1993) · Marketing Science · doi:10.1287/mksc.12.1.1 · Cited by 1,970 · see citing works
The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
Griffin, D., & Tversky, A. (1992) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(92)90013-r · Cited by 1,796 · see citing works
Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences
Gigerenzer, G., & Brighton, H. (2009) · Topics in Cognitive Science · doi:10.1111/j.1756-8765.2008.01006.x · Cited by 1,801 · see citing works
The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences
Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A. (1985) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(85)90010-6 · Cited by 1,649 · see citing works
Grove, W. M., & Meehl, P. E. (1996) · Psychology, Public Policy, and Law · doi:10.1037/1076-8971.2.2.293 · Cited by 1,457 · see citing works
Measuring the Degree of Internationalization of a Firm
Sullivan, D. (1994) · Journal of International Business Studies · doi:10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490203 · Cited by 1,456 · see citing works
Behavioral Decision Research: A Constructive Processing Perspective
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Johnson, E. J. (1992) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.ps.43.020192.000511 · Cited by 1,424 · see citing works
Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
Tversky, A., & Koehler, D. J. (1994) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.101.4.547 · Cited by 1,167 · see citing works
The Too-Much-of-a-Good-Thing Effect in Management
Pierce, J. R., & Aguinis, H. (2011) · Journal of Management · doi:10.1177/0149206311410060 · Cited by 1,098 · see citing works
How to Use Multiattribute Utility Measurement for Social Decisionmaking
Edwards, W. (1977) · IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics · doi:10.1109/tsmc.1977.4309720 · Cited by 1,037 · see citing works
Rethinking Partial Least Squares Path Modeling: In Praise of Simple Methods
Rigdon, E. E. (2012) · Long Range Planning · doi:10.1016/j.lrp.2012.09.010 · Cited by 915 · see citing works
Global Strategy and Multinationals' Entry Mode Choice
Kim, W. C., & Hwang, P. L. H. (1992) · Journal of International Business Studies · doi:10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490258 · Cited by 872 · see citing works
The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning.
Nisbett, R. E., Krantz, D. H., Jepson, C., & Kunda, Z. (1983) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.90.4.339 · Cited by 826 · see citing works
Dunning, D., Meyerowitz, J. A., & Holzberg, A. D. (1989) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.57.6.1082 · Cited by 758 · see citing works
Intuitive and deliberate judgments are based on common principles.
Kruglanski, A. W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/a0020762 · Cited by 748 · see citing works
Toward an Integrated Theory of Schizotaxia, Schizotypy, and Schizophrenia
Meehl, P. (1990) · Journal of Personality Disorders · doi:10.1521/pedi.1990.4.1.1 · Cited by 792 · see citing works
Advice taking in decision making: egocentric discounting and reputation formation
Yaniv, I., & Kleinberger, E. (2000) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.2000.2909 · Cited by 701 · see citing works
Dunning, D. A., Meyerowitz, J. A., & Holzberg, A. D. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.020 · Cited by 688 · see citing works
Estimating coefficients in linear models: It don't make no nevermind.
Wainer, H. (1976) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.83.2.213 · Cited by 657 · see citing works
Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics.
Hogarth, R. M. (1981) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.90.2.197 · Cited by 611 · see citing works
Self-citationDavis, F. D., & Venkatesh, V. (2004) · IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management · doi:10.1109/tem.2003.822468 · Cited by 582 · see citing works
How voters decide: information processing during election campaigns
(2007) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.44-2956 · Cited by 539 · see citing works
A REVIEW OF STRUCTURE IN THE SELECTION INTERVIEW
Campion, M. A., PALMER, D. K., & Campion, J. E. (1997) · Personnel Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1744-6570.1997.tb00709.x · Cited by 531 · see citing works
Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation
Makridakis, S., Hibon, M., & Moser, C. A. (1979) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2345077 · Cited by 514 · see citing works
Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions
Hogarth, R. M. (1975) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1975.10479858 · Cited by 473 · see citing works
Self-citationA comparison of weight approximation techniques in multiattribute utility decision making
Stillwell, W. G., Seaver, D. A., & Edwards, W. (1981) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(81)90015-5 · Cited by 475 · see citing works
Determinants of take-over time from automated driving: A meta-analysis of 129 studies
Zhang, B., de Winter, J., Varotto, S. F., Happee, R., & Martens, M. (2019) · Transportation Research Part F Traffic Psychology and Behaviour · doi:10.1016/j.trf.2019.04.020 · Cited by 437 · see citing works
Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory.
Rottenstreich, Y., & Tversky, A. (1997) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.104.2.406 · Cited by 437 · see citing works
Strategies for revising judgment: How (and how well) people use others’ opinions.
Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. (2009) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition · doi:10.1037/a0015145 · Cited by 420 · see citing works
Assessing Reseller Performance from the Perspective of the Supplier
Kumar, N., Stern, L. W., & Achrol, R. S. (1992) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.2307/3172573 · Cited by 416 · see citing works
Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value
Chapman, G. B., & Johnson, E. J. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.008 · Cited by 410 · see citing works
Sloman, S. A. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.024 · Cited by 407 · see citing works
Owusu‐Ansah, S. (1998) · The International Journal of Accounting · doi:10.1016/s0020-7063(98)90015-2 · Cited by 398 · see citing works
Behavioral influences on weight judgments in multiattribute decision making
Weber, M., & Borcherding, K. (1993) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/0377-2217(93)90318-h · Cited by 393 · see citing works
Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease
Sherman, S. J., Cialdini, R. B., Schwartzman, D. F., & Reynolds, K. D. (1985) · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · doi:10.1177/0146167285111011 · Cited by 384 · see citing works
An Experimental Comparison of Different Approaches to Determining Weights in Additive Utility Models
Schoemaker, P. J. H., & Waid, C. C. (1982) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.28.2.182 · Cited by 381 · see citing works
When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists.
Medvec, V. H., Madey, S. F., & Gilovich, T. D. (1995) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.69.4.603 · Cited by 507 · see citing works
The conceptualization and empirical validation of web site user satisfaction
Muylle, S., Moenaert, R. K., & Despontin, M. (2003) · Information & Management · doi:10.1016/s0378-7206(03)00089-2 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
Accuracy and confidence in group judgment
Sniezek, J. A., & Henry, R. A. (1989) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(89)90055-1 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
Determinants of linear judgment: A meta-analysis of lens model studies.
Karelaia, N., & Hogarth, R. M. (2008) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.134.3.404 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
Self-citationSenolytics reduce coronavirus-related mortality in old mice
Camell, C. D., Yousefzadeh, M. J., Zhu, Y., Prata, L. G. P. L., Huggins, M. A., Pierson, M., Zhang, L., O’Kelly, R. D., Pirtskhalava, T., Xun, P., et al. (2021) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abe4832 · Cited by 320 · see citing works
A choice prediction competition: Choices from experience and from description
Erev, I., Ert, E., Roth, A. E., Haruvy, E. E., Herzog, S. M., Hau, R. C., Hertwig, R., Stewart, T. C., West, R. L., & Lebiere, C. J. (2009) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.683 · Cited by 318 · see citing works
Illusions in regression analysis
Armstrong, J. S. (2012) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.02.001 · Cited by 327 · see citing works
Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction
Zarnowitz, V., & Lambros, L. A. (1983) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w1171 · Cited by 324 · see citing works
A note on aggregating opinions
Hogarth, R. M. (1978) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(78)90037-5 · Cited by 322 · see citing works
Self-citationvan Bruggen, G. H., Lilien, G. L., & Kacker, M. (2002) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.1509/jmkr.39.4.469.19117 · Cited by 320 · see citing works
Assessing uncertainty in physical constants
Henrion, M., & Fischhoff, B. (1986) · American Journal of Physics · doi:10.1119/1.14447 · Cited by 316 · see citing works
Heuristic and linear models of judgment: Matching rules and environments.
Hogarth, R. M., & Karelaia, N. (2007) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.114.3.733 · Cited by 302 · see citing works
Self-citationIntroduction – Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now
Gilovich, T. D., & Griffin, D. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.002 · Cited by 305 · see citing works
STRUCTURED INTERVIEWING: RAISING THE PSYCHOMETRIC PROPERTIES OF THE EMPLOYMENT INTERVIEW
Campion, M. A., Pursell, E. D., & Brown, B. K. (1988) · Personnel Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1744-6570.1988.tb00630.x · Cited by 298 · see citing works
Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives
Kahneman, D. J., & Miller, D. T. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.022 · Cited by 284 · see citing works
Exploring predecisional behavior: An alternative approach to decision research
Payne, J. W., Braunstein, M. L., & Carroll, J. S. (1978) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(78)90003-x · Cited by 284 · see citing works
Einhorn, H. J., Hogarth, R. M., & Klempner, E. (1977) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.84.1.158 · Cited by 282 · see citing works
Self-citationRanking with Partial Information: A Method and an Application
Kirkwood, C. W., & Sarin, R. K. (1985) · Operations Research · doi:10.1287/opre.33.1.38 · Cited by 280 · see citing works
Mannes, A. E., Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. (2014) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0036677 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Fast and frugal food choices: Uncovering individual decision heuristics
Scheibehenne, B., Miesler, L., & Todd, P. M. (2007) · Appetite · doi:10.1016/j.appet.2007.03.224 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Heuristics as adaptive decision strategies in management: HEURISTICS IN MANAGEMENT
Artinger, F., Petersen, M., Gigerenzer, G., & Weibler, J. (2015) · Journal of Organizational Behavior · doi:10.1002/job.1950 · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Consideration-set heuristics ☆
Hauser, J. (2014) · Journal of Business Research · doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2014.02.015 · Cited by 250 · see citing works
Interdisciplinary approaches to job design: A constructive replication with extensions.
Campion, M. A. (1988) · Journal of Applied Psychology · doi:10.1037/0021-9010.73.3.467 · Cited by 266 · see citing works
Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment
Bishop, M. A., & Trout, J. D. (2005) · doi:10.1093/0195162293.001.0001 · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Using advice from multiple sources to revise and improve judgments
Yaniv, I., & Milyavsky, M. (2006) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2006.05.006 · Cited by 244 · see citing works
Thorngate, W. (1980) · Systems Research and Behavioral Science · doi:10.1002/bs.3830250306 · Cited by 238 · see citing works
Lee, C., Jamieson, L. F., & Earley, P. C. (1996) · Journal of Organizational Behavior · doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1379(199603)17:2 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Ecological Rationality: Fast-and-Frugal Heuristics for Managerial Decision Making under Uncertainty
Luan, S., Reb, J. M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2019) · Academy of Management Journal · doi:10.5465/amj.2018.0172 · Cited by 236 · see citing works
How Buyers Evaluate Product Bundles: A Model of Anchoring and Adjustment
Yadav, M. S. (1999) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-09119-7_11 · Cited by 235 · see citing works
Reducing the size of the nondominated set: Pruning by clustering
Morse, J. N. (1980) · Computers & Operations Research · doi:10.1016/0305-0548(80)90014-3 · Cited by 232 · see citing works
Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice
Slovic, P., Griffin, D., & Tversky, A. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.014 · Cited by 233 · see citing works
Comparison of Weighting Judgments in Multiattribute Utility Measurement
Borcherding, K., Eppel, T., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1991) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.37.12.1603 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
Sage, A. P. (1981) · IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics · doi:10.1109/tsmc.1981.4308761 · Cited by 225 · see citing works
To combine or not to combine? issues of combining forecasts
Palm, F. C., & Zellner, A. (1992) · Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1002/for.3980110806 · Cited by 222 · see citing works
Kepes, S., McDaniel, M. A., Brannick, M. Τ., & Banks, G. C. (2013) · Journal of Business and Psychology · doi:10.1007/s10869-013-9300-2 · Cited by 221 · see citing works
Should you believe in the Shanghai ranking?: An MCDM view
Billaut, J.-C., Bouyssou, D., & Vincke, P. (2010) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-009-0115-x · Cited by 219 · see citing works
Human information processing research in accounting: The state of the art
Libby, R., & Lewis, B. L. (1977) · Accounting Organizations and Society · doi:10.1016/0361-3682(77)90015-0 · Cited by 218 · see citing works
Schwarz, N., & Vaughn, L. A. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.007 · Cited by 210 · see citing works
When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism
Armor, D. A., & Taylor, S. E. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.021 · Cited by 205 · see citing works
Experience Effects in Auditing: The Role of Task-Specific Knowledge.
BONNER, S. E. (1990) · The Accounting Review · doi:10.2308/tar-9603274028 · Cited by 207 · see citing works
Soll, J., Milkman, K. L., & Payne, J. (2014) · doi:10.1002/9781118468333.ch33 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Cognitive niches: An ecological model of strategy selection.
Marewski, J. N., & Schooler, L. J. (2011) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/a0024143 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
ESTIMATING THE SHADOW ECONOMY: A ‘NAIVE’ APPROACH *
Frey, B. S., & Weck‐Hannemann, H. (1983) · Oxford Economic Papers · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.oep.a041582 · Cited by 205 · see citing works
The Superego, the Ego, and the Id in Statistical Reasoning
Gigerenzer, G. (2002) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0013 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Performance of a composite as a function of the number of judges
Libby, R., & Blashfield, R. K. (1978) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(78)90044-2 · Cited by 203 · see citing works
Starbuck, W. H. (2006) · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199288533.001.0001 · Cited by 202 · see citing works
Time pressure, training and decision effectiveness
Zakay, D., & Wooler, S. (1984) · Ergonomics · doi:10.1080/00140138408963489 · Cited by 197 · see citing works
The Usefulness of Unit Weights in Creating Composite Scores
Bobko, P., Roth, P. L., & Buster, M. A. (2007) · Organizational Research Methods · doi:10.1177/1094428106294734 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Good judgments do not require complex cognition
Marewski, J. N., Gaissmaier, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2009) · Cognitive Processing · doi:10.1007/s10339-009-0337-0 · Cited by 190 · see citing works
Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”
Rozin, P. N., & Nemeroff, C. J. (2002) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.013 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Bailing and jailing the fast and frugal way
Dhami, M. K., & Ayton, P. (2001) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.371 · Cited by 191 · see citing works
Murphy, K. R., & Shiarella, A. H. (1997) · Personnel Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1744-6570.1997.tb01484.x · Cited by 190 · see citing works
- Authors
- Einhorn, H. J., & Hogarth, R. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Chicago (US)
- INSEAD (FR)
- ORCID
- Hogarth, Robin M.
- Venue
- Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1975-04
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 171-192
- ISSN
- 0030-5073 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2107426741
- Cited by
- 673
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 11 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 17 · 2012: 13
- FWCI
- 30.12
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Organizational Behavior and Human Performance (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Applications
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- composite variables, component weighting, linear regression, predictive power, decision-making, sample size effects
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review