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Cited by 467

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

How Much War Will we see?: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War

ELBADAWI, IBRAHIM, SAMBANIS, NICHOLAS·2002·Journal of Conflict Resolution

Abstract

Quantitative studies of civil war have focused on war initiation (onset) or war duration and termination and produced important insights into these processes. An empirical analysis of civil war prevalence is used to show that the prevalence or amount of war observed at any given time is important. Civil war prevalence is defined as the probability of observing either a new war onset or the continuation of an ongoing war or both. Two economic theories of war onset and duration are combined to estimate the prevalence of civil war across more than 150 countries and over 40 years. The analysis is consistent with the findings of earlier studies on war onset and duration. New findings that result from slight improvements in the data and estimation methods show that democracy and ethnic diversity are significant determinants of civil war prevalence.

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Crossref · 10.1177/0022002702046003001

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Metadata

Authors
ELBADAWI, I., & SAMBANIS, N.
Venue
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Published
2002-06
Volume
46
Issue
3
Pages
307-334
ISSN
  • 0022-0027 (ISSN-L)
  • 1552-8766
OpenAlex
W2027231509
Cited by
467
References
6
FWCI
67.69
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: How Much War Will we see?: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1177/0022002702046003001
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ELBADAWI, I., & SAMBANIS, N. (2002). How Much War Will we see?: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War. Journal of Conflict Resolution. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002702046003001

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.