Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers
Abstract
A neoclassical growth model is used to empirically test for the influences of a civil war on steady-state income per capita both at home and in neighboring countries. This model provides the basis for measuring long-run and short-run effects of civil wars on income per capita growth in the host country and its neighbors. Evidence of significant collateral damage on economic growth in neighboring nations is uncovered. In addition, this damage is attributed to country-specific influences rather than to migration, human capital, or investment factors. As the intensity of the measure used to proxy the conflict increases, there are enhanced neighbor spillovers. Moreover, collateral damage from civil wars to growth is more pronounced in the short run.
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The adverse economic consequences of civil wars tend to spill beyond the conflict states, having an important negative impact on economic growth in neighboring countries.
“Moreover, the adverse economic consequences of civil wars tend to spill beyond the conflict states, having an important negative impact on economic growth in neighboring countries (Murdoch and Sandler 2002).”
From Dynamics and Logics of Civil War (2017) · cites this paper as Murdoch and Sandler 2002
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Territory, Proximity, and Spatiality: The Geography of International Conflict1
Starr, H. (2008) · International Studies Review · doi:10.1111/1468-0009.00011-i1 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Natural disasters, economic growth and spatial spillovers: Evidence from a flash flood in Brazil
Lima, R. C. D. A., & Barbosa, A. (2018) · Papers of the Regional Science Association · doi:10.1111/pirs.12380 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
- Authors
- MURDOCH, J. C., & SANDLER, T.
- Affiliations
- The University of Texas at Dallas (US)
- University of Southern California (US)
- ORCID
- SANDLER, TODD
- Venue
- Journal of Conflict Resolution
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2002-02
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 91-110
- ISSN
- 0022-0027 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-8766
- OpenAlex
- W1969679372
- Cited by
- 534
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 32 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 23 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 27 · 2015: 27 · 2014: 27 · 2013: 20 · 2012: 21
- FWCI
- 47.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Conflict Resolution (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic Growth and Productivity
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Natural Resources and Economic Development
- Keywords
- civil war, economic growth, spatial spillover effects, neighboring countries, per capita income, neoclassical growth model, conflict intensity, short-run and long-run effects, collateral damage, migration, human capital, investment
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